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2011 Strategic Review
- The Inventory Analysis
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 3 – Cumulative Forecast Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLWFigure 3 – Cumulative Forecast Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
Stock
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2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
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2029
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2103
2105
2107
2109
2111
2113
2115
2117
2119
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
LLW VLLW
Total: 4.4 million m3
VLLW: 3.3 million m3
LLW: 1.1 million m3
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 4 – Annual Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLWFigure 4 – Annual Raw Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW
0
20000
40000
60000
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100000
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Stock
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Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
LLW VLLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 5 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 5 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
2%DSRL,
73,230 , 2%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 24,030 ,
1%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
0%
Magnox North, 291,260 ,
7%
Magnox South, 195,668 ,
4%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
0%
Ministry of Defence, 52,159 ,
1%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
RSRL, 103,184 ,
2%
Sellafield Ltd, 3,313,854 ,
75%
Culham JET, 6,570 ,
0% URENCO, 2,811 ,
0%Westinghouse,
239,933 , 5%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 6 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 6 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK LLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
9%
DSRL, 57,879 ,
5%GE Healthcare Ltd,
16,730 , 2%LLWR,
17,693 , 2%
Magnox North, 257,860 ,
24%
Magnox South, 190,986 ,
17%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
1%
Ministry of Defence, 30,798 ,
3%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
RSRL, 20,246 ,
2%
Sellafield Ltd, 384,671.,
35% Culham JET, 6,570 ,
1% URENCO, 125 ,
0%
Westinghouse, 1,358 ,
0%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 7 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 7 – Raw Waste Arisings of UK VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
DSRL, 15,351 ,
0%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 7,300 ,
0%
Magnox North, 33,400 ,
1%
Magnox South, 4,682 ,
0%Ministry of Defence,
21,362 , 1%RSRL,
82,938 , 3%
Sellafield Ltd, 2,929,182 ,
88%
URENCO, 2,686 ,
0%
Westinghouse, 238,575 ,
7%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 8 – Material Proportions in Raw LLW arisings between 2010 and 2120 (te)Figure 8 – Material Proportions in Raw LLW arisings between 2010 and 2120 (te)
Soil/Rubble, 529,985,
45%
Metals, 483,969 ,
41%
Soft Organics, 57,772 ,
5%
Plastic/Rubber, 42,044 ,
4%Other,
35,678 , 3%
Wood, 13,127 ,
1%
Graphite, 13,071 ,
1%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 9 – Raw LLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)Figure 9 – Raw LLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Graphite Metals Plastic/Rubber Soft Organics Soil/Rubble Wood Other
Material Category
Mas
s (te
)
Post 2100
2060-2100
2030-2060
2010-2030
Stock
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 10 – Material Proportions in Raw VLLW between 2010 and 2120 (te)Figure 10 – Material Proportions in Raw VLLW between 2010 and 2120 (te)
Graphite, 1,826 ,
0%
Metals, 294,025 ,
8%
Plastic/Rubber, 26,523 ,
1%
Soft Organics, 66,642 ,
2%
Soil/Rubble, 2,993,137 ,
85%
Wood, 48,016 ,
1%
Other, 92,227 ,
3%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 11 – Raw VLLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)Figure 11 – Raw VLLW Materials Arisings by Time Period (te)
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Graphite Metals Plastic/Rubber Soft Organics Soil/Rubble Wood Other
Material Category
Mas
s (te
)Post 2100
2060-2100
2030-2060
2010-2030
Stock
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 12 – Activity Distribution of LLW and VLLW VolumesFigure 12 – Activity Distribution of LLW and VLLW Volumes
0
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<4 4 - 40 40-200 200-4000 > 4000
Activity Band (Bq/g)
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
LLW
VLLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 13 – 10 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2020)Figure 13 – 10 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2020)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 14 – 110 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2120)Figure 14 – 110 Year UK Regional Distribution of Raw LLW and VLLW (2010 - 2120)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 16 – Actual Container Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005/2006 FYFigure 16 – Actual Container Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005/2006 FY
612 HHISO's 573 HHISO's
342 HHISO's378 HHISO's
296 HHISO's
14 THISO's 83 THISO's
72 THISO's
64 THISO's
27 THISO's
20 Misc
25 Misc
16 Misc
37 Misc
2 Misc
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10
Financial Year
No. o
f Con
tain
er R
ecei
pts
Misc
THISO's
HHISO's
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 17 – Packaged Volume Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005Figure 17 – Packaged Volume Receipts at the LLW Repository since 2005
0 0 0 0 0
182
351
230 287.5
184
425.5
11,934 11,174
6,669 7,371
5,772
1,079
936
832
23
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10
Financial Year
Pack
aged
Vol
ume
(m3)
Misc
THISO's
HHISO's
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 18 – Activity Distribution of Historic DisposalsFigure 18 – Activity Distribution of Historic Disposals
137(5%)
743(29%)
766(30%)
852(33%)
63(2%)
0
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1000
<4 4 - 40 40-200 200-4000 > 4000
Activity Band (Bq/g)
No. o
f Con
sign
men
ts
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 19 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories since 1994Figure 19 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories since 1994
0
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1000000
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2000000
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3000000
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4500000
UKRWI 1994 UKRWI 1998 UKRWI 2001 UKRWI 2004 WIDRAM2005
WIDRAM2006
UKRWI 2007 WIDRAM2008
WIDRAM2009
UKRWI 2010
Radioactive Waste Inventory Type
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
VLLW
LLW
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 20 – Potentially Contaminated Land Stock and Future Arisings from 2010-2120 (m3)Figure 20 – Potentially Contaminated Land Stock and Future Arisings from 2010-2120 (m3)
Sellafield, 13,096,800 ,
99%
Capenhurst, 6,860 ,
0%
Springfields, 34,000,
0%
Aldermaston, 109,750 ,
1%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 21 – NORM Waste Arisings Over TimeFigure 21 – NORM Waste Arisings Over Time
0
100
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2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Years
Ap
pro
x vo
lum
e (m
3)
Oilfield NORM solids currently discharged offshore
Oilfield NORM solids currently delivered to shore
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
102,718
29,983
53,903
22,745
39,539
33,355
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Vo
lum
e (
m3)
2010 Radioactive Waste Inventory SMART Inventory review in situ SMART Inventory review with sizecorrection
Figure 32 – SMART Inventory Volume Projections up until C&M Phase (~2030)Figure 32 – SMART Inventory Volume Projections up until C&M Phase (~2030)
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 33 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2030)Figure 33 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2030)
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ck
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Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
SMART Inventory LLW Volume
Smart Inventory VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 34 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2120)Figure 34 – SMART Inventory Impact on the Cumulative Raw Arisings of UK LLW/VLLW (2010-2120)
0
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1000000
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4000000
4500000Sto
ck20
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1721
19
Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
Smart Inventory VLLW Volume
SMART Inventory LLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 35 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of UKRWI LLW and VLLW inc. 2D148 ReductionFigure 35 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of UKRWI LLW and VLLW inc. 2D148 Reduction
0
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1000000
1500000
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ck20
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19
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Raw
Volum
e (m
³)
2D148 VLLW Cumulative Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 36 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of ACCELS and UKRWI LLW and VLLWFigure 36 – Cumulative Raw Arisings of ACCELS and UKRWI LLW and VLLW
0
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1000000
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Stock
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2031
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Year
Raw
Volum
e (m
³)ACCELS VLLW Volume
ACCELS LLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 VLLW Volume
UKRWI 2010 LLW Volume
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 37 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 37 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW and VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%Ministry of Defence, 52,159 ,
2%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
0%
Magnox South, 185,664 ,
8%
Magnox North, 239,308 ,
11%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
1%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 24,030 ,
1%
DSRL, 73,230 ,
3%British Energy,
97,255 , 4%
Westinghouse, 239,933 ,
10%
URENCO, 2,811 ,
0% Culham JET, 6,570 ,
0%
Sellafield Ltd, 1,308,914 ,
56%
RSRL, 103,184 ,
4%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 38 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 38 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS LLW by Waste Producer (m3)
British Energy, 97,255 ,
9%
DSRL, 57,879 ,
6%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 16,730 ,
2%
Westinghouse, 1,358 ,
0%
URENCO, 125 ,
0%
Culham JET, 6,570 ,
1%
LLWR, 17,693 ,
2%
RSRL, 20,246 ,
2%
NNL, 2,445 ,
0%
Ministry of Defence, 30,798 ,
3%
Minor Waste Producers, 7,495 ,
1%
Magnox South, 180,982 ,
17%
Magnox North, 218,864 ,
21%
Sellafield Ltd, 384,671 ,
36%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 39 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)Figure 39 – Raw waste arisings of ACCELS VLLW by Waste Producer (m3)
Sellafield Ltd, 924,243 ,
70%
Magnox South, 4,682 ,
0%
Magnox North, 20,444 ,
2%
GE Healthcare Ltd, 7,300 ,
1%DSRL,
15,351 , 1%
Ministry of Defence, 21,362 ,
2%RSRL,
82,938 , 6%
Westinghouse, 238,575 ,
18%
URENCO, 2,686 ,
0%
2011 Strategic Review – NLWS/LLWR/16
Figure 40 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories including ACCELS ReductionsFigure 40 – Overview of Radioactive Waste Inventories including ACCELS Reductions
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
UKRWI1994
UKRWI1998
UKRWI2001
UKRWI2004
WIDRAM2005
WIDRAM2006
UKRWI2007
WIDRAM2008
WIDRAM2009
UKRWI2010
ACCELS2011
Radioactive Waste Inventory Type
Raw
Volu
mes
(m3)
VLLW
LLW