2012 NCAA MARCH MADNESS

TREY RULE, ALEX STREET, VINCE DeLISE, CHESNEY YOUNG, and KENNY POPE

64 TEAMS ENTER THE TOURNAMENT

THERE ARE 4 REGIONS: SOUTH, EAST, WEST, MIDWEST 16 TEAMS IN EACH REGION

TEAM WINS 6 STRAIGHT TIMES TO WIN THE TOURNAMENT

BASIC INFO

ESPN REPORTED THAT THEY RECEIVED 6.45 MILLION BRACKET ENTRIES IN 2012

(97.7%) predicted Kentucky and Syracuse and Michigan State and North Carolina to advance to the Round of 32;

(67.9%) predicted all four No. 1 seeds to advance to the Sweet Sixteen

(28.3%) predicted all four No. 1 seeds to advance to the Elite Eight

(4.3%) predicted all four No. 1 seeds to advance to the Final Four

BRACKETOLOGY

(38.8%) entries predicted Kentucky and Duke would meet in the Elite Eight

(30.3%) entries predicted Kentucky to defeat Duke in the Elite Eight

continued

ANALYZE THE TOURNAMENT TO LEARN MORE ABOUT UPSETS, AVERAGE SCORE, AND AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

GOAL OF PROJECT

=IF function was used Compared seeds of competing teams True value resulted in “expected” False value resulted in “upset”

HOW TO DETERMINE UPSETS WITH EXCEL

=AVERAGE function was used Selected data and inserted into functionAverages were determined for each region and overall round averages scores were computed

HOW TO DETERMINE AVERAGE SCORE WITH EXCEL

=abs absolute value function Determined absolute difference between the

teams Used to compare the competitiveness between

teams in each round of the tournament.

HOW TO COMPUTE MARGIN OF VICTORY WITH EXCEL

ROUND 2

ROUND 2 10 TOTAL UPSETS:

4 IN SOUTH REGION NONE IN EAST REGION 2 IN WEST REGION 4 IN MIDWEST REGION

UPSETS

(12) VCU DEFEATED (5) WITCHITA STATE (11) COLORADO DEFEATED (6) UNLV

(10) XAVIER DEFEATED (7) NOTRE DAME

(15) LEE HI DEFEATED (2) DUKE

SOUTH REGION

NO UPSETS

EAST REGION

(9) ST. LOUIS DEFEATED (8) MEMPHIS

(15) NORTHFOLK ST DEFEATED (2) MISSOURI

WEST REGION

(12) SOUTH FLORIDA DEFEATED (5) TEMPLE

(13) OHIO DEFEATED (4) MICHIGAN

(11) NC STATE DEFEATED (6) SAN DIEGO ST

(10) PURDUE DEFEATED (7) ST. MARY’S

MIDWEST REGION

ROUND 2 SOUTH REGION – 73.5 POINTS

EAST REGION – 68.5 POINTS

WEST REGION – 78 POINTS

MIDWEST REGION – 67.5 POINTS

TOTAL – 71.875 POINTS A GAME

AVERAGE SCORE per GAME

ROUND 2 (FOR EVERY GAME) 11.13 POINTS

AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

ROUND 3

ROUND 3 ONLY 2 UPSETS:

BOTH UPSETS OCCURRED IN THE MIDWEST REGION

UPSETS

(13) OHIO DEFEATED (12) SOUTH FLORIDA

(11) NORTH CAROLINA STATE DEFEATED (3) GEORGETOWN

MIDWEST REGION

ROUND 3:

SOUTH REGION – 69.13 POINTS

EAST REGION – 63.5 POINTS

WEST REGION – 61.25 POINTS

MIDWEST REGION – 66.25 POINTS

TOTAL AVERAGE SCORE – 65.03 POINTS

AVERAGE SCORE per GAME

ROUND 3 (FOR EVERY GAME) 9.7 POINTS

AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

SWEET 16

SWEET 16 ONLY 2 UPSETS

BOTH OCCURING IN THE WEST REGION

UPSETS

(4) LOUISVILLE DEFEATED (1) MICHIGAN STATE

(7) FLORIDA DEFEATED (3) MARQUETTE

WEST REGION

SOUTH REGION – 84.25 POINTS

EAST REGION – 68.5 POINTS

WEST REGION – 56.75 POINTS

MIDWEST REGION – 63.75 POINTS

TOTAL AVERAGE SCORE – 68.3 POINTS

AVERAGE SCORE per GAME

SWEET 16 (FOR EVERY GAME)

8.375 POINTS

AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

ELITE 8

2 UPSETS IN THE ELITE 8:

(2) OHIO STATE DEFEATED (1) SYRACUSE

(2) KANSAS DEFEATED (1) NORTH CAROLINA

UPSETS

ELITE 8 (FOR EVERY GAME)

73. 25 POINTS

AVERAGE SCORE

ELITE 8 (FOR EVERY GAME)

9 POINTS

AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

FINAL FOUR

NONE

UPSETS

FINAL FOUR (BOTH GAMES)

64 POINTS

AVERAGE SCORE

FINAL FOUR (BOTH GAMES)

5 POINTS

AVERAGE MARGIN OF VICTORY

CHAMPIONSHIP

NO UPSET

UPSET

CHAMPIONSHIP

63 POINTS

AVERAGE SCORE

CHAMPIONSHIP

8 POINTS

MARGIN OF VICTORY

QUESTIONS?