Post on 03-Jun-2020
transcript
A Demographic Snapshot of AustinAssociation of Local Government AuditorsMay 24, 2016
Ryan Robinson City DemographerPlanning and Zoning Department
1. A continuation of robust job and population growth.
2. Diversification dynamics are shifting.
3. A collapse in Austin’s housing affordability and the flight of families from the urban core.
4. Austin is still a mecca for millennials but is also now an emerging destination for retirees.
5. Stubborn socioeconomic separations may be getting worse.
6. Political landscapes are changing.
Snapshot Takeaways
A Demographic Snapshot of AustinRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
2
Austin is an open and tolerant city.
Austin is an international immigrant gateway.
Austin’s cultural vibrancy hasbecome one of our biggest economic development engines.
Austin is a magnet for entrepreneurs.
Austin is a well-educated city.
Austin’s physical--geographic setting is diverse.
3
4
Williamson
Travis
Bastrop
Caldwell
Hays
5
33rd Total Population = 2,000,860
6
11th27th in 199016th in 200014th in 201011th in 201310th by 2025…
7
8
Las Vegas
Jacksonville
DFW
Denver
HoustonAustin
Raleigh
Orlando
Nashville
San Antonio
10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas, 2014 to 2015
9
14th
10
11th …285K in five years
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
5th
Source: American Community Survey, 2013 1-year estimates, Table B15003.
21
22
Diversification is Shifting
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Incoming Streams of International Immigrants
31
Current Sources of Refugees Into Austin, 2014
El Salvador
Honduras
Cuba
Somalia
Sudan
Ethiopia
Iraq
Iran
Nepal
Burma
SOURCE: CARITAS, 2014
Syria
Laos and Cambodia
32
‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14
From Mexico
Children caught at the border,in thousands
5
10
15
Guatemala
El Salvador
Honduras
Source: New York Times,Children at the Border,July 28, 2014
33
34
35
Housing Affordability
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
Apartment and CondoProjects Under Construction,March 2015
47
48
Are we becoming Monaco on the Colorado?
49
Are we implementingour new Comprehensive Plan?
50
51
52
53
Family Flight
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
54
55
Single Year Age Cohorts
Single Year Age Cohorts
Single Year Age Cohorts
CasisLee
Mathews
Barton Hills
Travis Heights
Bryker Woods
Galindo
Zilker
Joslin
Becker
Dawson
Norman
Ortega
SimsCampbell
Allison
Maplewood
Govalle
MetzBrooke
Sanchez
Linder
Blackshear
Zavala
Oak Springs
Central Austin Elementary Schools
East Austin Elementary Schools59
Central and West Austin Elementary Schools: Total Enrollment2009 through 2015
Barton Hills, Becker, Bryker Woods, Casis, Dawson, Galindo, Joslin, Lee, Mathews, Travis Heights, Zilker60
East Austin Elementary Schools: Total Enrollment2009 through 2015
Allison, Blackshear, Brooke, Campbell, Govalle, Linder, Maplewood, Metz, Norman, Ortega, Sanchez, Sims, Zavala
6,004 6,075 6,070
5,816
5,355 5,337
5,133
5,000 5,100 5,200 5,300 5,400 5,500 5,600 5,700 5,800 5,900 6,000 6,100 6,200
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012
-13
2013
-14
2014
-15
2015
-16
61
62
Age Structure is Changing
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
63
64
DATA SOURCE: 2007 American Community Survey Data, Table B19113, US Census Bureau.65
66
Charlotte
Atlanta
Metro Areas with Fastest Growing Senior and Pre-Senior Population, 2000 to 2010
DFW
Colorado Springs
Pre-Seniors (age 55 to 64)
Seniors (age 65 Plus)
HoustonAustin
RaleighLas Vegas
Salt Lake City
Boise Madison
AlbuquerqueRiverside
Portland
67
8.0% of 1.8 million, or 140K
18% of 3.9 million, or 700K
68
Slide for “this is the best economy you’re likely to see data
69
Socioeconomic Separations
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
70
71
72
73
74
75
Source: American Community Survey, 2013 1-year estimates, Table B17001.76
Overall Poverty Rate, 2012 = 20.3%
77
Overall Poverty Rate, 2012 = 20.3%Overall Poverty Rate, 2013 = 17.8%
78
79
80
81
82
Political Landscapes
a Demographic SnapshotRyan Robinson
City DemographerCity of Austin
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100