Post on 12-Apr-2016
description
transcript
ALTAVOX ELECTRONIC
WEEK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7ATLANTA 33 45 37 38 55 30 18BOSTON 26 35 41 40 46 48 55CHICAGO 44 34 22 55 48 72 62DALLAS 27 42 35 40 51 64 70L.A. 32 43 54 40 46 74 40TOTAL 162 199 189 213 246 288 245
WEEK -5 -4 -3 -2 -1ATLANTA 45 38 30 58 37BOSTON 62 18 48 40 35CHICAGO 62 22 72 44 48DALLAS 42 35 40 64 43L.A. 43 40 54 46 35TOTAL 254 153 244 252 198
8 9 10 11 12 13 AVERAGE58 47 37 23 55 40 4018 62 44 30 45 50 4228 27 95 35 45 47 4765 55 43 38 47 42 4835 45 38 48 56 50 46
204 236 257 174 248 229 222
WEEK
ATLANTA3 week forcast
-5 45.00-4 38.00-3 30.00-2 58.00-1 37.001 33.00 41.67 -8.67 -8.67 8.67 8.672 45.00 42.67 2.33 -6.33 2.33 11.003 37.00 38.33 -1.33 -7.67 1.33 12.334 38.00 38.33 -0.33 -8.00 0.33 12.675 55.00 40.00 15.00 7.00 15.00 27.676 30.00 43.33 -13.33 -6.33 13.33 41.007 18.00 41.00 -23.00 -29.33 23.00 64.008 58.00 34.33 23.67 -5.67 23.67 87.679 47.00 35.33 11.67 6.00 11.67 99.33
10 37.00 41.00 -4.00 2.00 4.00 103.3311 23.00 47.33 -24.33 -22.33 24.33 127.6712 55.00 35.67 19.33 -3.00 19.33 147.0013 40.00 38.33 1.67 -1.33 1.67 148.67
AVERAGE 39.69MAD 13 weeks : 11.44TS : -0.1165919
MAPE ATALANTA 3 weeks28.8%
MAPE ATALANTA 5 weeks28.1%
Actual Demand 3 week
forcastDeviation 3rd week
RSFE 3rd week
ABS DEV 3rd Week
Sum of ABS DEV
ATLANTA3 week forcast 5 week forcast
8.67 -1.00 41.60 -8.60 -8.60 8.60 8.605.50 -1.15 39.20 5.80 -2.80 5.80 14.404.11 -1.86 40.60 -3.60 -6.40 3.60 18.003.17 -2.53 42.00 -4.00 -10.40 4.00 22.005.53 1.27 38.00 17.00 6.60 17.00 39.006.83 -0.93 41.60 -11.60 -5.00 11.60 50.609.14 -3.21 41.00 -23.00 -28.00 23.00 73.60
10.96 -0.52 35.60 22.40 -5.60 22.40 96.0011.04 0.54 39.80 7.20 1.60 7.20 103.2010.33 0.19 41.60 -4.60 -3.00 4.60 107.8011.61 -1.92 38.00 -15.00 -18.00 15.00 122.8012.25 -0.24 36.60 18.40 0.40 18.40 141.2011.44 -0.12 44.00 -4.00 -3.60 4.00 145.20
MAD 13 weeks : 11.17TS : -0.322314
MAPE ATALANTA 3 weeks
MAPE ATALANTA 5 weeks
MAD 3rd Week
TS 3rd Week
5 week forcast
Deviation 5rd week
RSFE 5rd week
ABS DEV 5rd Week
Sum of ABS DEV
ATLANTA5 week forcast
8.60 -1.007.20 -0.396.00 -1.075.50 -1.897.80 0.858.43 -0.59
10.51 -2.6612.00 -0.4711.47 0.1410.78 -0.2811.16 -1.6111.77 0.0311.17 -0.32
MAD 5rd Week
TS 5rd Week TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
WEEK
BOSTON3 Week forcast
-5 62-4 18-3 48-2 40-1 351 26.0 41.0 -15.0 -15.0 15.00 15.00 15.002 35.0 33.7 1.3 -13.7 1.33 16.33 8.173 41.0 32.0 9.0 -4.7 9.00 25.33 8.444 40.0 34.0 6.0 1.3 6.00 31.33 7.835 46.0 38.7 7.3 8.7 7.33 38.67 7.736 48.0 42.3 5.7 14.3 5.67 44.33 7.397 55.0 44.7 10.3 24.7 10.33 54.67 7.818 18.0 49.7 -31.7 -7.0 31.67 86.33 10.799 62.0 40.3 21.7 14.7 21.67 108.00 12.00
10 44.0 45.0 -1.0 13.7 1.00 109.00 10.9011 30.0 41.3 -11.3 2.3 11.33 120.33 10.9412 45.0 45.3 -0.3 2.0 0.33 120.67 10.0613 50.0 39.7 10.3 12.3 10.33 131.00 10.08
AVERAGE 42MAD 13 weeks : 10.08TS : 1.223919
MAPE BOSTON 3 weeks24.3%
MAPE BOSTON 5 weeks24.3%
Actual Demand 3 week
forcastDeviation 3rd week
RSFE 3rd week
ABS DEV 3rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 3rd Week
BOSTON3 Week forcast 5 week forcast
-1.00 40.6 -14.6 -14.6 14.60 14.60 14.60 -1.00-1.67 33.4 1.6 -13.0 1.60 16.20 8.10 -1.60-0.55 36.8 4.2 -8.8 4.20 20.40 6.80 -1.290.17 35.4 4.6 -4.2 4.60 25.00 6.25 -0.671.12 35.4 10.6 6.4 10.60 35.60 7.12 0.901.94 37.6 10.4 16.8 10.40 46.00 7.67 2.193.16 42.0 13.0 29.8 13.00 59.00 8.43 3.54
-0.65 46.0 -28.0 1.8 28.00 87.00 10.88 0.171.22 41.4 20.6 22.4 20.60 107.60 11.96 1.871.25 45.8 -1.8 20.6 1.80 109.40 10.94 1.880.21 45.4 -15.4 5.2 15.40 124.80 11.35 0.460.20 41.8 3.2 8.4 3.20 128.00 10.67 0.791.22 39.8 10.2 18.6 10.20 138.20 10.63 1.75
MAD 13 weeks : 10.63TS : 1.749638
TS 3rd Week
5 week forcast
Deviation 5rd week
RSFE 5rd week
ABS DEV 5rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 5rd Week
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
WEEK
Chicago3 Week forcast
-5 62-4 22-3 72-2 44-1 481 44.0 54.7 -10.7 -10.7 10.67 10.67 10.672 34.0 45.3 -11.3 -22.0 11.33 22.00 11.003 22.0 42.0 -20.0 -42.0 20.00 42.00 14.004 55.0 33.3 21.7 -20.3 21.67 63.67 15.925 48.0 37.0 11.0 -9.3 11.00 74.67 14.936 72.0 41.7 30.3 21.0 30.33 105.00 17.507 62.0 58.3 3.7 24.7 3.67 108.67 15.528 28.0 60.7 -32.7 -8.0 32.67 141.33 17.679 27.0 54.0 -27.0 -35.0 27.00 168.33 18.70
10 95.0 39.0 56.0 21.0 56.00 224.33 22.4311 35.0 50.0 -15.0 6.0 15.00 239.33 21.7612 45.0 52.3 -7.3 -1.3 7.33 246.67 20.5613 47.0 58.3 -11.3 -12.7 11.33 258.00 19.85
AVERAGE 47MAD 13 weeks : 19.85TS : -0.638243
MAPE CHICAGO 3 weeks42.0%
MAPE CHICAGO 5 weeks42.0%
Actual Demand 3 week
forcastDeviation 3rd week
RSFE 3rd week
ABS DEV 3rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 3rd Week
Chicago3 Week forcast 5 week forcast
-1.00 49.6 -5.6 -5.6 5.60 5.60 5.60 -1.00-2.00 46.0 -12.0 -17.6 12.00 17.60 8.80 -2.00-3.00 48.4 -26.4 -44.0 26.40 44.00 14.67 -3.00-1.28 38.4 16.6 -27.4 16.60 60.60 15.15 -1.81-0.63 40.6 7.4 -20.0 7.40 68.00 13.60 -1.471.20 40.6 31.4 11.4 31.40 99.40 16.57 0.691.59 46.2 15.8 27.2 15.80 115.20 16.46 1.65
-0.45 51.8 -23.8 3.4 23.80 139.00 17.38 0.20-1.87 53.0 -26.0 -22.6 26.00 165.00 18.33 -1.230.94 47.4 47.6 25.0 47.60 212.60 21.26 1.180.28 56.8 -21.8 3.2 21.80 234.40 21.31 0.15
-0.06 49.4 -4.4 -1.2 4.40 238.80 19.90 -0.06-0.64 46.0 1.0 -0.2 1.00 239.80 18.45 -0.01
MAD 13 weeks : 18.45TS : -0.010842
TS 3rd Week
5 week forcast
Deviation 5rd week
RSFE 5rd week
ABS DEV 5rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 5rd Week
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
WEEK
Dallas3 Week forcast
-5 42-4 35-3 40-2 64-1 431 27.0 49.0 -22.0 -22.0 22.00 22.00 22.002 42.0 44.7 -2.7 -24.7 2.67 24.67 12.333 35.0 37.3 -2.3 -27.0 2.33 27.00 9.004 40.0 34.7 5.3 -21.7 5.33 32.33 8.085 51.0 39.0 12.0 -9.7 12.00 44.33 8.876 64.0 42.0 22.0 12.3 22.00 66.33 11.067 70.0 51.7 18.3 30.7 18.33 84.67 12.108 65.0 61.7 3.3 34.0 3.33 88.00 11.009 55.0 66.3 -11.3 22.7 11.33 99.33 11.04
10 43.0 63.3 -20.3 2.3 20.33 119.67 11.9711 38.0 54.3 -16.3 -14.0 16.33 136.00 12.3612 47.0 45.3 1.7 -12.3 1.67 137.67 11.4713 42.0 42.7 -0.7 -13.0 0.67 138.33 10.64
AVERAGE 48MAD 13 weeks : 10.64TS : -1.221687
MAPE DALLAS 3 weeks22.3%
MAPE DALLAS 5 weeks26.0%
Actual Demand 3 week
forcastDeviation 3rd week
RSFE 3rd week
ABS DEV 3rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 3rd Week
Dallas3 Week forcast 5 week forcast
-1.00 44.8 -17.8 -17.8 17.80 17.80 17.80 -1.00-2.00 41.8 0.2 -17.6 0.20 18.00 9.00 -1.96-3.00 43.2 -8.2 -25.8 8.20 26.20 8.73 -2.95-2.68 42.2 -2.2 -28.0 2.20 28.40 7.10 -3.94-1.09 37.4 13.6 -14.4 13.60 42.00 8.40 -1.711.12 39.0 25.0 10.6 25.00 67.00 11.17 0.952.54 46.4 23.6 34.2 23.60 90.60 12.94 2.643.09 52.0 13.0 47.2 13.00 103.60 12.95 3.642.05 58.0 -3.0 44.2 3.00 106.60 11.84 3.730.19 61.0 -18.0 26.2 18.00 124.60 12.46 2.10
-1.13 59.4 -21.4 4.8 21.40 146.00 13.27 0.36-1.08 54.2 -7.2 -2.4 7.20 153.20 12.77 -0.19-1.22 49.6 -7.6 -10.0 7.60 160.80 12.37 -0.81
MAD 13 weeks : 12.37TS : -0.808458
TS 3rd Week
5 week forcast
Deviation 5rd week
RSFE 5rd week
ABS DEV 5rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 5rd Week
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
WEEK
LA3 Week forcast
-5 43-4 40-3 54-2 46-1 351 32.0 45.0 -13.0 -13.0 13.00 13.00 13.002 43.0 37.7 5.3 -7.7 5.33 18.33 9.173 54.0 36.7 17.3 9.7 17.33 35.67 11.894 40.0 43.0 -3.0 6.7 3.00 38.67 9.675 46.0 45.7 0.3 7.0 0.33 39.00 7.806 74.0 46.7 27.3 34.3 27.33 66.33 11.067 40.0 53.3 -13.3 21.0 13.33 79.67 11.388 35.0 53.3 -18.3 2.7 18.33 98.00 12.259 45.0 49.7 -4.7 -2.0 4.67 102.67 11.41
10 38.0 40.0 -2.0 -4.0 2.00 104.67 10.4711 48.0 39.3 8.7 4.7 8.67 113.33 10.3012 56.0 43.7 12.3 17.0 12.33 125.67 10.4713 50.0 47.3 2.7 19.7 2.67 128.33 9.87
AVERAGE 46MAD 13 weeks : 9.87TS : 1.992208
MAPE LA 3 weeks21.4%
MAPE LA 5 weeks20.7%
Actual Demand 3 week
forcastDeviation 3rd week
RSFE 3rd week
ABS DEV 3rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 3rd Week
LA3 Week forcast 5 week forcast
-1.00 43.6 -11.6 -11.6 11.60 11.60 11.60 -1.00-0.84 41.4 1.6 -10.0 1.60 13.20 6.60 -1.520.81 42.0 12.0 2.0 12.00 25.20 8.40 0.240.69 42.0 -2.0 0.0 2.00 27.20 6.80 0.000.90 40.8 5.2 5.2 5.20 32.40 6.48 0.803.11 43.0 31.0 36.2 31.00 63.40 10.57 3.431.85 51.4 -11.4 24.8 11.40 74.80 10.69 2.320.22 50.8 -15.8 9.0 15.80 90.60 11.33 0.79
-0.18 47.0 -2.0 7.0 2.00 92.60 10.29 0.68-0.38 48.0 -10.0 -3.0 10.00 102.60 10.26 -0.290.45 46.4 1.6 -1.4 1.60 104.20 9.47 -0.151.62 41.2 14.8 13.4 14.80 119.00 9.92 1.351.99 44.4 5.6 19.0 5.60 124.60 9.58 1.98
MAD 13 weeks : 9.58TS : 1.982343
TS 3rd Week
5 week forcast
Deviation 5rd week
RSFE 5rd week
ABS DEV 5rd
Week
Sum of ABS DEV
MAD 5rd Week
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week
TS 3 Weeks
TS 3rd Week
TS 5 Weeks
TS 5rd Week