2.5kg of product* 460kg of CO2e

*landfill

460kg CO2e

2.5kg

Gavin StarksCEO, AMEEhttp://www.amee.com

Climate change, globalization and war.Mapping international policy and markets.Data. All the data. Emerging ecosystems and change

“the median surface warming in 2091 to 2100 is 5.1°C compared to 2.4°C in the 2003 study”

source: MIT

“the cull during this century is going to be huge, up to 90%. The number of people remaining at the end of the century will probably be a billion or less.”

source: Lovelock

“If we burn all the coal, we might kick in a runaway greenhouse effect, if we burn all the tar shale and tar sands we definitely will ... leading to the Venus Syndrome. Caps aren’t going to work – we need a Carbon tax”

source: Hansen, Nasa

“capitalism is not up to the challenge ... it improperly and systemically undervalues the future ... it has become a kind of multi-generational Ponzi scheme ... we need a Carbon tax”

source: McKinsey

Peak oilPeak financePeak water

Peak uraniumPeak copper

Peak <resource> =>

Peak consumption

Are we moving to a post-scarcity society?

How might we delivertriple-bottom-line?

http://www.forumforthefuture.org/

TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONSERVICES NOT PRODUCTSREFRAMING VALUERATIONINGWAR

EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY

Rapid innovation in energy efficiency technologies has created a consumerist, low-carbon world.

Society balances delicately with ever-increasing reliance on new technology to mitigate continuing climate change.

http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/climate-futures

SERVICE TRANSFORMATIONHigh carbon prices mean businesses sell services rather than products.

Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is highly efficient.

A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global carbon emissions decline for the first year in history

REDEFINE PROGRESS

People rethink what a fulfilling life means.

Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger links with local communities are cultivated.

People are attracted to simplicity and focus much more on quality of life than economic prosperity.

ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY

Governments leave it too late and are forced to rationalise whole sectors and take control of citizens' lives.

Environmental refugees must find countries willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin to decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.

PROTECTIONIST WORLD

The world is divided into protectionist blocs. Countries wage war over scarce resources such as water.

Communities are divided and terrorists take advantage of the flux, targeting collapsed states.

THINGS TO DO MORE OF

THINGS TO EXPLORE

THINGS TOREALLY AVOID

TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONSERVICES NOT PRODUCTSREFRAMING VALUERATIONINGWAR

ENERGY IDENTITY

policy

legislation

frameworks

exchanges

trade

business

Data. All the data.

Renewable Obligations

Energy Efficiency

Carbon Reduction Commitment

Climate Change Bill

EU ETS

Kyoto Protocol

EU POLICY STACK

= 30min monitoring= 30min monitoring= mandatory purchases(>6GWh or >£500k/yr)

ENERGY IDENTITYThe digital embodiment of your physical consumption

citizens + things

private sector

public sector

cities

countries

Earth

Data. All the data.

purchases

buildings

travel + transport

fuel + water + waste

Energy Identity

Data. All the data.

materials

Policy

Science

Business

Technology

Delivering change

A measured response to resource scarcityMeasure behaviourMap behavioural changeEnable tradeWork symbiotically with existing ecosystems

"collaboration networks are to businesses what social networks are to consumers"

@Padmasree, CTO, Cisco

“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use”

"If Edison would wake up today and look at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left it"

“Data on your personal energy use belongs to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format”

“unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments, rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments”

+ =

Tim Berners-Lee at TED, “unlock all your raw data” Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”

Emerging ecosystems

Carbon/Energy ConsultanciesEQ2

NaturalLogicCarbonVisionGreenmonk.net

Software/SaaS &Systems Integrators

CarbonetworksCarbonmetricsCarbon HubSUN (OpenEco)MakeMeSustainableLivingLifeGreenSpecial Projects

Smart MetersCarbonmetricsISE

MediaThe Guardian (Data Store)

TradingMisys (OpenCarbonWorld)EarthCPSandbag

Standards-Commercial/RegistriesCO

2code

Special Projects

Standards-PublicDECC (UK Government)Environmental Agencies

AgenciesTorchboxJelerangAvvioClearleftEuroRSCG

Communities2DegreesThe Climate Group

BuildingsSpecial Projects

Travel & TransportationCarbonVoyageDopplr

Supply Chaindcarbon8Julies Bicycle

Gavin StarksCEO, AMEEgavin@amee.comhttp://www.amee.com