Automated Prediction

Perception, Law, and Policy

Overview

• Author

• Introducing Automated Prediction

• The Case For AP

• Other Considerations & Challenges

• Take Aways

• Discussion

Author

Dr. Tal Zarsky

BIG DATAPredictive Analytics

Automated Prediction (AP)

Automated Prediction (AP)

(Personal Information)

AP 3000

IN

OUTCRIME

PREDICTION

Automated Prediction (AP)

KEYWORD

IP ADDRESS WEBSITE

ASSOCIATION

PURCHASE

TARGET POOL

Probability

High

Automated Prediction (AP)

War on Terror

nctc.gov

-McKean, Virginia

The Greater Good?

PrivacySafetyvs

Cost & Efficiency

Human Driven Computer Driven

Vast Amounts of Data

- Hard for humans to analyze- Easily analyzed by computers- Programmed by humans - Errors and Bias

We Make Mistakes

Hidden Biases

Values

Beliefs

Prejudice

Identity

Culture

Status

Emotion

Equality & Fairness

Take Aways

• AP will be hard to do right but the positives outweigh the negatives

• Good for some complex and costlyproblems - hopefully terrorism

• If done right, AP will increase equality & fairness

Questions Comments

- Robot Fortune Teller London, England 1934