Post on 26-Apr-2018
transcript
AVIATION STATISTICS & DATA: A VITAL TOOL AVIATION STATISTICS & DATA: A VITAL TOOL FOR THE DECISION MAKING PROCESSFOR THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS
AVIATION STATISTICS & DATA: A VITAL TOOL AVIATION STATISTICS & DATA: A VITAL TOOL FOR THE DECISION MAKING PROCESSFOR THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS
ACI Airport Statistics and Forecasting Workshop
Narjess TeyssierICAO ICAO
Chief Economic Analysis & Policy SectionChief Economic Analysis & Policy Section
London, 3rd March 2011
Narjess TeyssierICAO ICAO
Chief Economic Analysis & Policy SectionChief Economic Analysis & Policy Section
London, 3rd March 2011
Monitoring air transport development: Statistics, analysis and forecastsMonitoring air transport development: Statistics, analysis and forecasts
FORECASTINGFORECASTING
MARKET
ANALYSES
MARKET
ANALYSES
Safety
Sustainable
STATISTICSSTATISTICS
ICAO : an independent and reliable source of information on civil aviation matters
Sustainable
Air transport
Development Environment
Security
ICAO ICAO Statistics Statistics PProgrammerogramme foundationsfoundationsICAO ICAO Statistics Statistics PProgrammerogramme foundationsfoundations
Chicago Convention (Art. 54, 55, and 67Chicago Convention (Art. 54, 55, and 67))
Each contracting State undertakes that its international airlines shall, in accordance with requirements laid down by the Council, file with theCouncil traffic reports, cost statistics and financial statements showing among other things all receipts and the sources thereof.
CouncilCouncil
Air Transport
55
and the sources thereof.
Assembly Resolutions (Assembly Resolutions (A37A37--20, 20, App. BApp. B):):
�� Whereas the development of ICAO’s validation Whereas the development of ICAO’s validation
and storage and storage Integrated Statistical Database Integrated Statistical Database
provides Contracting States and other provides Contracting States and other
users with an efficient online system for users with an efficient online system for
the retrieval of statistical data;the retrieval of statistical data;
�� Requests the Council, calling on national Requests the Council, calling on national
experts in the relevant disciplines as experts in the relevant disciplines as
required, to examine on a regular basis the required, to examine on a regular basis the
statistical data collected by ICAO statistical data collected by ICAO and etc…and etc…
AssemblyAir TransportCommittee
StatisticsDivision
StatisticsPanel
Aviation statistics collection, Aviation statistics collection, dissemination and use : a value chaindissemination and use : a value chainAviation statistics collection, Aviation statistics collection, dissemination and use : a value chaindissemination and use : a value chain
12 existing reporting forms12 existing reporting forms
COMMERCIAL AIR CARRIERS STATISTICS
� A Commercial air carrier traffic by carrier
� A-S Total traffic of all commercial air carriers of a State
� B On-Flight Origin and Destination
� C Traffic by Flight Stage
� D Fleet and Personnel
COMMERCIAL AIR CARRIERS STATISTICS
� A Commercial air carrier traffic by carrier
� A-S Total traffic of all commercial air carriers of a State
� B On-Flight Origin and Destination
� C Traffic by Flight Stage
� D Fleet and Personnel
77
� EF Financial Data
AIRPORTS
� I Airport traffic by airport
� I-S Total traffic of all the airports in the territory of a State
� J Financial data
AIR NAVIGATION SERVICES PROVIDERS
� K Financial data
� L Traffic
CIVIL AIRCRAFT ON REGISTER
� H Number of aircraft in the register
� EF Financial Data
AIRPORTS
� I Airport traffic by airport
� I-S Total traffic of all the airports in the territory of a State
� J Financial data
AIR NAVIGATION SERVICES PROVIDERS
� K Financial data
� L Traffic
CIVIL AIRCRAFT ON REGISTER
� H Number of aircraft in the register
Most popular seriesMost popular series
Match MultiMatch Multi--Stage and single LegStage and single Leg
88
Flight Stages
paxA - B 120A - C 50A - D 30B - C 80B - D 25C - D 60
TOTAL 365
A - B B - C C - D12050 5030 30 30
8025 25
60
200 185 500
OFOD
� 23-27 Nov 2009: Tenth Session of the Statistics Division (STA/10)
� RECOMMENDED AMENDMENTS IN THE CURRENT AIR TRANSPORT REPORTING FORMS:� PARTIAL REMOVAL OF THE OFOD PUBLICATION RESTRICTIONS
� A DOPTION OF A STATISTICAL CLASSIFICATION
� 23-27 Nov 2009: Tenth Session of the Statistics Division (STA/10)
� RECOMMENDED AMENDMENTS IN THE CURRENT AIR TRANSPORT REPORTING FORMS:� PARTIAL REMOVAL OF THE OFOD PUBLICATION RESTRICTIONS
� A DOPTION OF A STATISTICAL CLASSIFICATION
STA/10 OutputsSTA/10 Outputs
� A DOPTION OF A STATISTICAL CLASSIFICATION
� POSTING OF A LIST OF WORLDWIDE LCCS
� NEED TO NOMINATE DGCA´S FOCAL POINTS FOR STATISTICS, ETC..
� RECOMMENDED NEW DATA COLLECTIONS AND PROCESSES IMPLEMENTATION
� To implement a form on aviation personnel licenses and training
� To introduce a new collection process on fuel consumption by commercial air carriers
� ETC…
� A DOPTION OF A STATISTICAL CLASSIFICATION
� POSTING OF A LIST OF WORLDWIDE LCCS
� NEED TO NOMINATE DGCA´S FOCAL POINTS FOR STATISTICS, ETC..
� RECOMMENDED NEW DATA COLLECTIONS AND PROCESSES IMPLEMENTATION
� To implement a form on aviation personnel licenses and training
� To introduce a new collection process on fuel consumption by commercial air carriers
� ETC…
Internal and external surveysInternal and external surveys
Research objectives:
Research was required amongst existing:
�Internal users to ICAO STA site (free access) and
�External users to ICAOData.com
Research objectives:
� Understand which information is important in users’ job roles
� Explore how the data accessed from both sites are used
� Identify any improvements which users would like to see
Methodology
� An online survey was emailed to around 1000 users and subscribers
� An incentive of entry into a free prize draw was offered to boost response
� External users: a 10% response rate & Internal users: a 21% response rate
Some general commentsSome general commentsSome general commentsSome general comments
“The content is quite useful. The reason it doesn't score higher is the confusing layout and difficulty finding what you want.
“Very frustrating when trying to access data at an aggregated level.”
“ICAO secure site is very important for ICAO membership countries…there they can find many important and useful information’’
“Great source of air transport information, very useful for data analyses.”
“I find it invaluable for my research so I am sure my peers would find it equally useful”
“Very frustrating when trying to access data at an aggregated level.”
“Data has proven not to be particularly helpful as at times quite unreliable”
“Very useful information…the data collected and disseminated by ICAO are very useful to the Aviation Statistics Centre of Canada as they complement our own aviation programme”
79%
32%
27%
Carry out air transport industry analysis and market studies
Produce reports for internal customers
Produce reports for external
Usage of the dataUsage of the data
62%Carry out air transport industry
analysis and market studies
ExternalExternal usersusersExternalExternal usersusers
InternalInternal usersusersInternalInternal usersusers
Data from ICAO are most often usedto carry out industry analysis and market studiesData from ICAO are most often usedto carry out industry analysis and market studies
27%
23%
16%
11%
4%
Produce reports for external customers
Import ICAO data into own database
Use to help generate sales / business leads
Academic purposes
Other
Spontaneous response
Other: To construct a model, To understand safety issues
62%
71%
26%
25%
11%
analysis and market studies
Produce reports for internal customers
Produce reports for external customers
Import ICAO data into own database
Other Security & Safety analysesForecastsBilateral negotiations
ExcellentFair
18%
Poor
4%
Users´ OpinionUsers´ Opinion
ExternalExternal usersusersExternalExternal usersusers InternalInternal usersusersInternalInternal usersusers
Excellent
18%
Fair
14%
Poor
2%
Excellent
29%
Good
49%
18%
Good
66%
Around 80% rate both sites as excellent or goodAround 80% rate both sites as excellent or good
66% 23% 10%Airline Traffic Statistics
Essential Important (but not essential) Not useful (but I am interested) Not useful or interesting
Rating of different types of information Rating of different types of information according to importance according to importance Rating of different types of information Rating of different types of information according to importance according to importance
Airline and airport traffic statistics are equally essential for most respondentsAirline and airport traffic statistics are equally essential for most respondents
InternalInternal & External users& External usersInternalInternal & External users& External users
55%
43%
30%
32%
30%
65%
10%
18%
32%
37%
32%
39%
42%
26%
27%
31%
12%
18%
29%
24%
25%
8%
35%
36%
1%
2%
9%
5%
3%
1%
6%
15%
Airline Traffic Statistics by route (Origin / Destination)
Airline Traffic Statistics by route (Traffic by Flight stage)
Airline Financial Results
Airline Fleet Information - Utilisation
Airline Fleet Information - Fleet size
Airport traffic information
Airport financial information
Airline Personnel and remuneration statistics
�General comments referred to improving the quality of data already available by:
•.Completing and updating the missing data for airlines and airports (for consistency purposes)
• Providing the recent years for airlines data
Suggested Improvements to both sitesSuggested Improvements to both sites
�New data collection:
� Up-to-date Bilateral Air Services Agreements (ASAs)
�Fuel consumption by a/c type
� CO2 emissions by air carrier �Data processing:
�Country breakdown on incidents and accidents
�Traffic statistics for General Aviation
�Data processing:
� Improve set up and layout of the
websites, seen as old-fashioned
and not user friendly
�Include pictures, graphs, etc..
� Send emails to users every time
new data are available
� Install an online application that
make calculation easier”
�Additional information requested:
� ICAO training programmes schedule
�List of focal points in each DGCA
Current layout of the statistics siteCurrent layout of the statistics site
Layout and data processingLayout and data processing
Why do we need Statistics?
� Air travel safety rates
� The environmental impact on air transport
� The sustainability of air transport development
ICAO Statistics ProgrammeICAO Statistics Programme
1 – Monitor ICAO Strategic Objectives
50
55
60
65
70
Fu
el
bu
rn
AAGR 1998-2008+2.5 %
Fuel consumption and efficiency evolution
1919
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Fu
el
bu
rn
Fuel consumed (USG) Lts per 100 ATK
AAGR 1998-2008-1.7 %
Source: ICAO based on OAG timetable
Why do we need Statistics?
� Air travel safety rates
� The environmental impact on air transport
� The sustainability of air transport development
ICAO Statistics ProgrammeICAO Statistics Programme
1 – Monitor ICAO Strategic Objectives
2 – Analyse the air transport market
Regional traffic overview for 2010 Regional traffic overview for 2010
North America
Intal Traffic: 6.2%
Dom Traffic: 1.5%
Europe
Intal Traffic: 6.7%
Dom Traffic: 12.2%
Middle East
Asia Pacific
Intal Traffic: 12.9%
Dom Traffic: 15.1%
Latin America
Intal Traffic: 11.4%
Dom Traffic: 15.9%
Africa
Intal Traffic: 10%
Dom Traffic: 4%
Middle East
Intal Traffic: 21%
Dom Traffic: 3.6%
World
Traffic: 8%
Capacity: 3.7%
Load Factor: +2 Pt
Market shares* achievedMarket shares* achieved
North America
Africa *3%
International passenger International passenger
traffictraffic**** Domestic passenger Domestic passenger
traffictraffic****
Africa *
International traffic represents 60% of the total passenger trafficInternational traffic represents 60% of the total passenger traffic
* Market share of the scheduled traffic of the airlines domiciled in the region
Europe 41%
Latin America4%
North America 17%
Asia Pacific 25%
3%
Middle East 10%
North America
55%
Africa *1%
Middle East 1%
Latin America 5%
Europe 8%
Asia Pacific 30%
**Expressed in Revenue Passenger Kilometre
Traffic recovery started in 2010, despite the volcanic ash impactTraffic recovery started in 2010, despite the volcanic ash impact
North America
World
Preliminary 2010 Forecast 2011 Forecast 2012
4.4%
Regional traffic* growth forecastsRegional traffic* growth forecasts
Source: ICAO
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Africa
Asia-Pacific
Europe
Latin America
Middle East
RPKs Growth in %
2000-2010 average growth
*Traffic of airlines domiciled in each region expressed in RPKs
Why do we need Statistics?
� Air travel safety rates
� The environmental impact on air transport
� The sustainable air transport development
ICAO Statistics ProgrammeICAO Statistics Programme
1 – Monitor ICAO Strategic Objectives
2 – Analyse the air transport market
3– Assess the impact of new regulations
40%
50%
60%
40%
50%Number of frequencies
Number of country-pair routes
As a % of international scheduled services
Air transport conducted under liberal arrangementsAir transport conducted under liberal arrangementsAir transport conducted under liberal arrangementsAir transport conducted under liberal arrangements
Frequencies Country pairs
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1995 1999 2004 2009
0%
10%
20%
30%
Source : ICAO
Toward more consolidation: Alliances, Airlines´ mergers and acquisitionsToward more consolidation: Alliances, Airlines´ mergers and acquisitions
3 Major alliances grouping : more than 60% of the worldwide scheduled traffic
Most well-known Non Aligned airlines
© ICAO All rights reserved.
This document and all informationcontained herein is the sole property ofICAO. No intellectual property rights aregranted by the delivery of this document orthe disclosure of its content. Thisthe disclosure of its content. Thisdocument shall not be reproduced ordisclosed to a third party without priorpermission of ICAO. This document and itscontent shall not be used for any purposeother than that for which it is supplied.
The statements made herein are based onthe mentioned assumptions and areexpressed in good faith. Where thesupporting grounds for these statementsare not shown, ICAO will be pleased toexplain the basis thereof.