2017 ECONOMY OUTLOOKPractical PerspectiveSupriya R. Yuwono, SE. MM.

BRIEF TOPICS• 2017 economy projection• World in 2017, and what it mean to Indonesia• Regime change and strategic change in Indonesia• What can we do in 2017• Q & A

GDP GROWTH INDONESIA

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016012345678

Quarter 1Quarter 2Quarter 3Quarter 4Full Year

BI MONEY SPREAD DATA (BILLION)

• Broad Money(M2) – Cash + Checking Account + Saving + Time Deposit• 2010: 2,471,206• 2011: 2,877,220• 2012: 3,307,508• 2013: 3,730,409• 2014: 4,173,327• 2015: 4,548,800• 2016 – SEPT: 4,737,631

JUMLAH PINJAMAN BANKTahun 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep-16

Pinjaman (Miliar) 1,783,601 2,223,685 2,738,054 3,323,790 3,707,916 4,083,150 4,244,375 Pertumbuhan 24.7% 23.1% 21.4% 11.6% 10.1% 3.9%

http://www.bi.go.id/id/statistik/seki/terkini/riil/Contents/Default.aspx

SCOPING THE WORLD

• The economy size in ASEAN is valued at 2.2 trillion US dollars and so far has attracted 35% of foreign direct investments to the region.

• Indonesia remains the core economic driving factor with its contribution of 35%, followed by Vietnam and Malaysia.

ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK• Country 2016 2017• Brunei Darussalam 1.0 2.5• Cambodia 7.0 7.1• Indonesia 5.0 5.1• Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 6.8 7.0• Malaysia 4.1 4.4• Myanmar 8.4 8.3• Philippines 6.4 6.2• Singapore 1.8 2.0• Thailand 3.2 3.5• Viet Nam 6.0 6.3• Average 4.5 4.6

WORLD BANK PROJECTIONECONOMIC GROWTH 2016-2018

Country 2016 2017 2018Indonesia 5.1  5.3  5.5China  6.7  6.5  6.3World  2.4  2.8  3.0Emerging Markets  3.5  4.4  4.7

WORLD ECONOMY STABILIZATION

• EU economy grew up to 0,4% in 2016.• First time in 12 months, there is no nation in EU had any decrease in

economy as of December 2016.• USA grew up to 0,7% in 2016.

• https://youtu.be/rZazFpcBCgg

REGIME CHANGE• A ‘Mental Revolution’ in the economy is absolutely needed. While we

used to sit down passively and await foreigners to come to us looking for commodities they need and all we needed to do was to sell them, it is now the time for us to pro-actively seek new opportunities in conducting businesses and attracting investments

Thomas Lembong, Minister of Trade Republic Of Indonesia – Currently positioned as head of Investing Coordination Board (BKPM - since 27th July 2016)

TAX AMNESTY• IDR 137 trillion repatriated at 1st stage.

• IDR 141 trillion repatriated at 2nd stage.

• Total of IDR 278 trillion out of IDR 1,000 trillion goal.

• 3rd stage until end of March 2017.

PERUBAHAN DI INDONESIA• BPJS – Health Care Program• TAX• Government • Public Facility construction• Government program towards investor more aggressive and supportive.

STRATEGY 2017• CASH IS KING! How much? Financial situation in Indonesia?

• Investment in real sector.

• Facing Tax in Indonesia.

• Foreign investment opportunity.

QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS