Bangkok28 April 2016

FNA

Alan LaubschChief Community Builderalan@fna.fi

CELEBRATING A DECADE OF IMPACTS

CARBON MATTERS:GLOBAL TIPPING POINTS

Dragon King (Sornette 2009)

Black Swan (Taleb 2001, 2007)

vs.

What causes crises?

Now let’s find some dragons...

Three Energy “Dragon Kings”

Renewables

Divestment

Carbon PriceStranded

Assets

June 24 2014 Energy Tipping PointEnergy Phase Transition View Video

24 June Risky Business Report

Solar: Half way to 100%…

Energy Disruption: No escape for fossil fuels

Tesla vs Model T trajectory

All interesting things happen at the edges of the system. They do not happen at the solid core. In the edges where things are uncertain is where the evolution happens. - Vinod Khosla

Diffusion of Disruptive Innovation

Source: Wikipedia; see Geoffrey Moore’s “Crossing the Chasm” (1999)

Potential: Innovators imagine & build

Visible: Early Adopters sense & respond

Shared maps as mass collaboration platform: spark social intelligence

South Pole & FNA Collaboration… our first map

What should be on the map?

•Carbon has become a critical investment risk factor

•Evolutionary leap: from ego to ecosystems (Scharmer)

•Build collaboration platforms

The next 10 years: buckle up penguins...

… let’s hunt some dragons together

FNAAlan LaubschChief Community Builderalan@fna.fi