Post on 16-Dec-2015
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CA.Rudramurthy.ACA, CFTe, M.COM, MFM, M-PHIL, PGDBA,
PGDMM.RESEARCH HEAD – VACHANA INVESTMENTS
PVT LTD,
www.vachanainvestments.com9663 258 258/ 99 7225 7225.
What is INVESTMENT?It is the sacrifice of Current Consumption
in anticipation of a future benefit.Investment involves a certain cash outflow
in anticipation of an uncertain future cash inflow.
It is a strategic game of Risk and Return Tradeoff.
Investment in short refers to Postponed consumption and a Game of Genius.
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Things to be considered before Investing:
RETURN
RISK
LIQUIDITY
SECURITY
CONVENIENCE
ODDS – Stoploss Vs Targets
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Various Alternatives of Investment:
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EQUITY
PREFERENCE
DEBENTURES
MONEY MARKET
DERIVATIVES
GOLD
BANK
COMMODITY
POST OFFICE
REAL ESTATE
PROVIDEND FUND
INSURANCE/ULIPS
MUTUAL FUND
GILT SECURITIES
BULLION
ART - MANUSCRIPT
CA.RUDRAMURTHY
EQUITY SHARES• EQUITY CAPITAL IS OWNERSHIP CAPITAL.
• EQITY SHAREHOLDERS COLLECTIVELY OWN THE COMPANY.
• THEY BEAR THE RISK AND ENJOY THE RETURN.
• EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS HAVE RESIDUAL CLAIM TO THE INCOME OF THE FIRM.
• THEY HAVE RIGHT TO VOTE AT EVERY RESOLUTION PLACED BEFORE THE COMPANY
• THEY ENJOY PRE-EMPTIVE RIGHT.
• THEY HAVE RESIDUAL CLAIM ON THE ASSETS OF THE COMPANY AT THE TIME OF LIQUIDATION.
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STOCK MARKET CLASSIFICATION:• BLUE CHIP SHARES
• GROWTH SHARES
• INCOME SHARES
• CYCLICAL SHARES
• DEFENSIVE SHARES
• SPECULATIVE SHARES
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HOW TO BUY:HOW TO BUY:
• PRIMARY MARKETPRIMARY MARKET
• SECONDARY MARKETSECONDARY MARKET
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INVESTMENT PROCESS:1. Investment Planning.2. Choice of asset mix.3. Portfolio Strategy.4. Selection of Securities.5. Portfolio Execution.6.Portfolio Evaluation and
Re-Allocation.
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Asset Allocation and Wealth Management:Asset allocation refers to Investing different
proportions of your wealth in various Real and Financial Assets.
Investments can be made into different asset classes such as Bank Deposits, Debt Markets, Equity Markets, Preference Shares, Mutual funds, Real Estate, Precious Metals and stones, Insurance, Derivatives, Commodities, Currencies, Aesthetic articles, Vehicles, etc…….
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Asset Allocation and Wealth Management:Do Remember that “ CASH IS KING” and
never have liquidity crunch in your asset allocation. Sit always with some proportion of cash in your Portfolio for future opportunities.
Consider various factors like Age, Income levels, Number of Dependents, Future growth, Business Cycles of various assets, etc.
Making Wealth is Simple but Holding it is Very Difficult.
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IMPORTANCE OF ASSET ALLOCATION IN BUILDING A PORTFOLIO:
Over 60%-70% of Success in a Portfolio management process depends on ideal asset allocation.
Asset allocation mainly depends upon Risk tolerance level and Investment time horizon.
Monitoring the performance on expected lines is a must.
Change in market outlook should result in rebalancing of asset allocation done earlier.
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Terminologies used in Capital Markets:INVESTOR Vs TRADER Vs SPECULATOR:An Investor follows a Passive Approach to
investment unlike Traders and Speculators who follow Active Approach.
Investors risk levels and expected returns are much lower than trader and speculators.
An Investor is a forced Trader or a Speculator many a times.
An Investor is a Longer time Gambler !!!12CA.RUDRAMURTHY
Terminologies used in Capital Markets:INVESTOR Vs TRADER Vs SPECULATOR:A Trader is a calculated risk taker compared to
speculator.Trader favors the ODDS whereas Speculator
goes against it.Identify your Best Spot based on your Human
Character !!!Be within your boundaries of operation and
never change the spots. 13CA.RUDRAMURTHY
Terminologies used in Capital Markets:STOCK MARKETS:A Stock market or Equity market is a Publicly
traded market for Corporate Stocks and Derivatives at an agreed price determined by the forces of Demand and Supply.
The size of world stock markets was estimated about $36.6 Trillion as of 2008, and world Derivative market about $791 Trillion, which is 11 times the size of entire World Economy.
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Terminologies used in Capital Markets:BULL Vs BEAR:A BULL expects raise in the Price of the
Underlying asset, whereas a BEAR expects fall in its Price.
By being on a BULL, your probability of being right is only 1/3 rd since markets can either go up or come down or do nothing.
Be versatile to change based on changing market conditions.
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Terminologies used in Capital Markets:SENSEX AND NIFTY:Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitivity Index is a
Value Weighted Index composed of 30 Stocks that started on 1st Jan 1986.
Nifty comprises of Fifty stocks drawn from National Stock Exchange.
Index is consider to be the pulse of Domestic stock markets.
If you don’t know how to invest in markets, at least go along with the markets. (Index Investing)
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Terminologies used in Capital Markets:LONG Vs SHORT:LONG means Buying first and Selling next
whereas SHORT means Selling first and Buying next.
If you are Bullish on the markets go LONG and if you are Bearish go SHORT.
Markets are more risky and dangerous on the SHORT side than on the LONG side but SHORT side gives you quick and big money with BIG RISK!!!
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Terminologies used in Capital Markets:BLUE CHIP Vs MIDCAP Vs SMALLCAPS:Blue Chip also know as Large Cap Stocks are
investments in companies whose risks are lower than the average risks of investing in stock markets.
They are companies which have paid regular dividends, topped the Sectors and have high market capitalization.
Mid caps and Small caps have comparatively lesser market capitalization. 18CA.RUDRAMURTHY
Terminologies used in Capital Markets:BLUE CHIP Vs MIDCAP Vs SMALLCAPS:Look at the Percentage Returns and not the
Absolute Price Movements !!!Have a Diversified Portfolio consisting of all
with different weight ages based on your risk profiles.
Have also stocks under different categories representing different caps.
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Corporate Actions:
1. Bonus Issue: Dividend paid in the form of
shares. Given to existing shareholders holding
shares as on the record date. Share Price will
always adjust after bonus.
2. Stock Split: Reduction in the face value of
shares. Will result in price adjustment on the
downside.20CA.RUDRAMURTHY
Corporate Actions:
3. Reverse Stock Split: Increase in the face value of
the share. Results in upward adjustment of prices.
4. Right Issue: Any further issue of equity shares is
made first to the existing shareholders.
5. Buy Back of shares: Company using its Cash
reserves to buy shares at premium to market price.
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How to Invest in Stock Markets:Open a D-Mat and Trading account with a
Broker.Requires PAN card, Address Proof and Identity
Proof.Bank account can be connected to D-Mat
account for making and receiving payments.You Should know how to Select stocks that suits
your Investment Theme and Styles.Know when to Buy, when to Sell, when to Hold
and when to Do Nothing.22CA.RUDRAMURTHY
How to Place your Orders: You can Buy and Sell Shares either Online or
through Offline. Offline trading involves placing orders through
phone by calling the dealer. Online trading involves Placing orders yourself
through internet and computer! Frequently Asked Questions:
a)How many demat/trading a/c’s one can have?
b)Minimum and Max Investment?
c)Investment Plan?23CA.RUDRAMURTHY
PROCESS FOR SELECTING STOCKS:• Set your Investment Theme.
• Determine the variables and Range of factors for Screening. (Fundamentals or Technicals)
• Collect necessary data and run the Screening test.
• Assess the result of Screening test and select a group of the best ones well diversified based on your Investment theme.
• Make the Investment Decision.
• Re-balancing, Re-Structuring and Feedback.24CA.RUDRAMURTHY
BUFFETTOLOGY:• CHOOSE SIMPLICITY OVER
COMPLEXITY
• MAKE YOUR OWN DECISION
• THINK FOR 10YEARS RATHER THAN 10MINUTES
• BE AN INVESTOR AND NOT SPECULATOR
• BUY BUSINESSES AND NOT STOCKS26CA.RUDRAMURTHY
BUFFETTOLOGY:• BUY BUSINESSES THAT HAVE ENDURING
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE.
• BUY LOW TECH AND NOT HIGH TECH.
• BETTER TO HAVE A SMALL PORTFOLIO WELL DIVERSIFIED.
• PRACTICE INACTIVITY NOT HYPERACTIVITY.
• DON’T LOOK AT THE TICKERS.
• VIEW MARKET DOWNTURNS AS BUYING OPPURTUNITIES.
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BUFFETTOLOGY:
• IGNORE THE MACRO AND FOCUS ON THE MICRO.
• TAKE A CLOSE LOOK AT MANAGEMENT.
• PRACTICE INDEPENDENT THINKING.
• STAY WITHIN YOUR CIRCLE OF COMPETENCE.
• IGNORE STOCK MARKET FORECAST.28CA.RUDRAMURTHY
BUFFETTOLOGY:
• BE FEARFUL WHEN OTHERS ARE GREEDY AND GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEARFUL.
• WAIT FOR THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST.
• AVOID THE COSTLY MISTAKES AGAIN.
• INVEST PRACTICALLY TO LEARN. 29CA.RUDRAMURTHY
Common Mistakes in Investing???Know the Company Better in terms of its Top
management, Nature of Business, Financial health, etc
If everyone has already bought the stock, who else will further buy the stock to take it up???
Investing is a Business and manage it like a Business!!!
Have a well diversified Portfolio and rebalance the same based on market movements.
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Common Mistakes in Investing???It is just not the Company which you are
buying is important, but also its Price for which you are getting it. (Value Investing)
Invest with a Plan and have an Investment Theme.
Do not base an investment decision just on tax concerns. After tax return of an another alternative may be higher than a tax free security.
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Common Mistakes in Trading???Just Calling the market direction is not
enough, Timing it is also very important !!!If a stock has fallen down by some percentage,
it should raise by more than its fall to reach back to its break even price. (Law of Gravity)
Do not Chase good news as it may have already been discounted in Price.
Do not Deviate from your Investment Objective.
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Common Mistakes in Trading???It is easy to PREACH but difficult to
PRACTICE.Don’t Trade when you Can’t afford to Lose !!!Trading requires Time.If you Can’t take a smaller loss, sooner or later
you will take the mother of all losses.Judging the underlying assets liquidity wrongly
ends up in a place of No Control.Always Play with House Money.
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Common Mistakes in Trading???Being right more than 50% of the times when
you call the market direction never makes you a successful trader. Figure out how to make money even if you are right 20% of the times.
Trade with the trend.Have stop loss when you trade and stick to it.If you can control yourself, then you can
definitely control the markets too.
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VACHANAOLOGY:Identify your Investment or Trading Style and
Stick to it.
Knowledge gives you money in markets, but Luck makes you to retain the money made in markets.
Remove at least 50% of your Profits when you make it and never put it back into markets.
Stop listening to Inside news and all other advices. Do your own Homework.
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VACHANAOLOGY:Never average a losing trade. You are adding salt
to your wound.
It is just not enough to follow the trend, but you should be a leader in it.
Have enough margin of safety and identify the risk reward of every potent trade before taking it.
Never buy or sell everything at one go. Also maintain enough cash for right opportunities.
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VACHANAOLOGY:Have patience like the Tiger hunting for a Deer
and jump on the opportunity at the right time only if you are sure to catch it.
When you make or lose too much of money, take a holiday trip.
Fear your loses and hope your profits and not the reverse.
“IF YOUR CUSTOMER MAKES MONEY, WE WILL ALSO AUTOMATICALLY MAKE.”
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RUDRAOLOGY:Have an Investment theme and Plan. Never
change it come what may???Be disciplined in markets or else markets are
disciplined enough to punish you !!!Remove atleast 50% of money when earned in
markets and put it in any other place other than markets.
Follow the rule in Investing or Trading which gives you money !!! There is no THE RULE FOR MAKING MONEY OR SUCCESS IN MARKETS.
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“Sir Isaac Newton” The most Intelligent Person who ever lived“I could calculate the motions of the Heavenly bodies, but not the madness of the people”He made 100% return (£7,000) on South Sea Shares and just months later got swept up in the wild enthusiasm of the market, and lost (£20,000). For the rest of his life he forbade anyone to speak the word “South Sea” in his presence.
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What made Newton Lose ???In the words of Graham, “Newton was far from an Intelligent Investor. By letting the roar of the crowd override his own judgment, the world’s greatest Intelligent person acted as a foolish Investor”.
In the words of CA.Rudramurthy,“Being an Intelligent Investor is more a matter of Character and Control of Human emotions than just Intelligence”
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Who is an Intelligent Investor ???“To invest successfully over a lifetime does not require a stratospheric IQ, Unusual business Insights, or Inside Information. What’s needed is a sound intellectual framework for making decisions and the ability to keep emotions from corroding that framework.”
Warren E.Buffett
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Who is an Intelligent Investor ???“The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism. The Intelligent Investor is a realistic who Sells to Optimists and Buys from Pessimists.”
Benjamin Graham
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Who is an Intelligent Investor ??? “If knowledge gives you Money in
Markets, Luck makes you to retain the Money made in markets. But Luck prefers only the Knowledgeable ones” “No one can give you more insights into the market than market itself. An average investor looks for reasons why markets are behaving like this? Whereas an Intelligent Investor acts according to the markets behavior”
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