Post on 21-Dec-2015
transcript
Case Studies in LCA
H. Scott Matthews
reminders
• HW #3 Back– Can decide whether to do #4 now
• Project pres. schedule for Monday• HW #4 and reports due next week
Extended Producer Product Responsibility (EPR)
or “Aiming towards Closed-Loop Supply Chains”
EPR in US• Safety – labeling and potential liability
– Children choking on toys– Laptops overheating
• Malfunction – warranties• Leasing/Services as marketing opportunity
– Copying machines– Vehicles (airplanes, railcars, automobiles)– Solvents– Carpet
EPR in US(cont.)• Batteries: legislated return programs
– Lead acid battery deposits and restrictions– Rechargeable battery recycling act (big issue – use of post
to send batteries)
• Recycling encouragement programs– Aluminum– Steel– Motor vehicles– Computers
European EPR
• Voluntary agreements for product takeback: automobiles, electronic products, packaging
• Industry sponsored disassembly and recycling operations
Example: European Power Tools
• Mfg. agreement to support takeback and recycling of power tools.
• Collection at retail stores, ship in bulk to recycling center, repair or shredding.
• Recycling loses money for each power tool (shipping + handling > material sale)– charges to mfg of power tool.– Charges roughly equal reverse logistics costs.
Power Tools (cont.)• Relatively few power tools returned
– Lack of incentive to return.– Pile up in attics, basements, garages, etc.– Export of used tools to Eastern Europe
• Re-manufacturing possibility – Markus Klausner– Re-manufacturing more profitable than
recycle: return a rebate for returns– Re-manufacturing depends upon motor
Datalogger
• Device inserted into power tool to record use and temperature.
• Read-out to aid re-manufacturing decision making
• Ancillary use – effective way to gather information on actual power tool use.
BOSCH Datalogger
Datalogger (cont.)
• Cost of datalogger incurred for all power tools.
• Profit only for returned power tools suitable for re-manufacturing
Wish to Encourage More Returns
Design for End-of-Life
• Easier disassembly• Information on materials – on product or
in database?• Limited number of materials• Valuable materials – reduce life cycle
cost?• Mfg. Incentive for DfE-o-L?
Electronics Packaging Takeback
• From earlier Lecture, how to organize system for cost/environment?
• Current system “ships and forgets”• Leads to significant packaging waste• How can system be redesigned?• What are tradeoffs?
• See Matthews California Management Review, 2004 paper (given out in class)
Packaging Takeback System
Manuf.System
PartPackaging
Transport/Delivery
Emissions, (Less?) Cardboard Waste
Computer Assembly
Cardboard Manuf.
Unboxed Part
Empty Box
Transp/Logistics
Reused Box
Energy
Emissions
LCI and Accounting
• Life Cycle Inventories are inherently accounts of effects as estimated
• As discussed earlier, using and interpreting inventories a challenge
• This is major current research area• Only limited useful results (we’ll see)
Vectors to Scalars• Converting an inventory of even similar effects (e.g.
air pollution) into some common unit is difficult• It makes sense to understand how the accounting
world works and pursues similar issues• Also to put in context environmental cost accounting
and see how LCA can inform those efforts
Externalities / External Costs
• Real costs to society, but not paid by producers or reflected in typical corporate accounting systems.
• Estimate external costs from air emissions of conventional pollutants (e.g., SO2, CO, NO2, VOC, PM, GWP).
• Direct and indirect effects of suppliers should be included.
Summary of Valuations [$/metric ton]
Impact Min Median Max CO $1 $520 $1,050 CO2 (GWP) $2 $14 $23 NOx $220 $1,060 $9,500 PM $950 $2,800 $16,200 SO2 $770 $1,800 $4,700 VOCs $160 $1,400 $4,400
Application of Valuation:Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV)
• ICE and Battery Powered• Emissions and Fuel Economy Benefits• Toyota Prius - Performance not comparable to
current internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicle• Evaluate benefits of improved performance Prius and
Corolla ICE- Consumer and Social Perspectives
Hybrid Electric Vehicles
• Compare lifetime private and social costs of Prius and Corolla
• Private Costs– Vehicle purchase price– Maint. cost (battery replacement)– Fuel cost
• Social Costs– Costs of air pollutants and GHG emitted
Hybrid Electric Vehicles• Cost-effective means to achieve emissions
reductions?• Construct scenarios to equate lifetime costs
of Prius and Corolla– HEV price premium– Required gasoline price– Valuation of emissions reductions– Social value of abating carbon dioxide– Note data/assumptions from 2000 (may be
different now)
Table 1. Vehicle Attributes and Exhaust Emissions
Vehicle Car Class TestWt1.(lb.)
HC(g/mi)
CO(g/mi)
NOx
(g/mi)CO2
(g/mi)FuelEconomy(mpg)
Acceln.0-60 mph(sec)
SuzukiMetro
Sub-compact
2125 0.042
0.0830.30.34
0.040.11
158207
54.5 15.36
ToyotaPrius
Sub-compact
3000 0.060.1
0.50.55
0.050.13
177232
48.6 14.2
Perf-Prius4
Sub-compact
0.065
0.10.50.56
0.050.14
210273
42.74 10.5
ToyotaCorolla
Compact 2750 0.180.23
1.21.27
0.120.22
236309
36.5 9.78
Corolla-AT
Compact 0.185
0.241.21.27
0.120.23
254333
33.8 9.77
AHEV Sub-compact
0.060.09
0.50.53
0.050.10
121158
72.9 14.2
Table 3. Gasoline Prices and Social Valuations of Emissions and Carbon Dioxide thatMake a Hybrid Electric Vehicle and Corolla Comparable1
Vehicle Perf- Prius Prius AHEV2
$4,000 More Expensive Than Corolla-AT3
Gasoline Price4:$/gal
9.31 6.28 3.47
Emissionsmultiplier5
46 42 31
CO26: $/ton 586 320 141
$2,000 More Expensive Than Corolla-ATGasoline Price:$/gal
5.68 3.80 2.06
Emissionsmultiplier
25 20 9
CO2: $/ton 321 161 50No More Expensive Than Corolla-AT
Gasoline Price:$/gal
2.06 1.32 0.65
Emissionsmultiplier
4 - -
CO2: $/ton 55 2 -Breakeven Vehicle Price Difference7
Price: $ -306 148 1203No Battery Repl.:$ 1174 1628 2683
Attractiveness of Advanced Vehicles
Corolla-AT Perf. Prius Adv. CarPurchase Price plusBattery Replacement
$16,210 $22,100 ?
Fuel $ 5,520 $ 4,370 ?Consumer Total $21,730 $26,470 < $21,730?Air Pollutants* $ 260 $ 120 ?Carbon Dioxide* $ 640 $ 520 ?Social Total $22,630 $27,110 < $22,630?
* Includes vehicle and upstream emissionsVehicle Lifetime: 200,000 km, 12 yearsGasoline Price: $1.50/gallonAir Pollutants: $1400/ton HC, $1050/ton, NOx, $1060/ton COCarbon Dioxide: $14/tonAssumes zero discount rate
Hybrid Electric Vehicles
• Current Prius or Performance Prius is more costly than the fuel savings, air pollutant and CO2 emissions benefits would justify
• To be attractive economically, an HEV will have to offer features that cannot be offered by a conventional ICE
Conclusions
• Although controversial..– Valuation/weighting methods are helpful in
collapsing information into meaningful comparisons
• The types of comparisons possible are large with such methods
• The number of interesting policy problems to address is large
Resources
• We have GaBi license• Obviously, EIO-LCA• Lester Lave on ed. Board of IJLCA
– I have journal issues in my office
• Journal of Industrial Ecology• EPA:
– http://www.epa.gov/ORD/NRMRL/lcaccess/resources.htm
LCA Examples
LCA of American Cars
LEED Green Building Standard
• LEED standard all but begs you to do LCA to get credit points
LCA: Organic Foods
• Mixed - what would you expect?
Recycling MSW