CHILDREN’S SERVICES STUDY - OCFL Newsroom · 2018-10-30 · Keith D. Carr, Principal Consultant ....

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C H I L D R E N ’ S S E RV I C E S S T U DY

K e i t h D . C a r r , P r i n c i p a l C o n s u l t a n t

R a n d y B . N e l s o n , P h . D . , S r . C o n s u l t a n t

Prepared for the Orange County Board of County Commissioners

1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline For Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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4

Approach and Methodology Data Collection and Review Interviews Onsite Visits to CSCs

Data Collection Sources CSCs (8) Independent CSCs, (2) Dependent Orange County School District CBC of Central Florida/DCF Regional Headquarters Orange County Early Learning Coalition (ELC) Florida Children's Council Children’s Trust of Orange County University of Central Florida (UCF) Orange County

1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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• 2016 and 2017 Children Trust Reports contained very similar and duplicative information.

• The approach and methodology of the Children’s Trust Reports and 2018 UCF Report did not identify the need at the community/neighborhood level.

• The macro approach used did not provide sufficient data to formulate a gap analysis or to best allocate our resources.

• All three reports included incorrect and misleading data. • The UCF report was inconsistent with the 2016 and 2017 Children’s

Trust Reports.

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Areas of Concern: Title 1 After School Programs Early Learning Waitlist Abuse Registry Calls vs. Verified Cases of Abuse Poverty Health Rankings Funding Gap is Significantly Less than the $58M

Tax Increase Requested

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1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline For Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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Challenges: Different Structures among CSC’s Variations in Funding Program Focus Areas are County Specific Reporting Methodologies Level of Involvement Varies Across CSC’s Local Needs, Trends and Events Drive CSC focus and

priorities

9

Rationale for Comparisons 10 Counties have established CSC’s 8 Counties are Independent 2 are Dependent 5 Counties that were most similar to Orange

County were selected for comparison

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These focus areas were organized under the following five major service categories: Strengthening Children and Families Educational Enrichment Services Mental and Physical Health Early Childhood Education Juvenile Justice/Prevention/Foster Care

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Strengthening Children and Families,

$14,771,511, 22%

Educational Enrichment, $13,163,362,

20%

Mental and Physical Health, $6,629,434

10%

Early Childhood Education, $18,064,767,

27%

Juvenile Justice/Prevention/Fos

ter Care, $13,510,724, 21%

Orange County Expenditures $66 M FY 16-17

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1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Provide Best Practice Option(s) 7. Summary

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Comparative Domains (Focus Areas)

Orange County

Broward CSC

Duval CSC

Hillsborough CSC

Miami-Dade CSC

Palm Beach CSC

Strengthening Children and Families

22 %

21 %

NA

30 %

12 %

6 %

Educational Enrichment Services

20 %

19 %

57 %

NA

NA

NA

Mental and Physical Health

10 %

25 %

18 %

20 %

13 %

28 %

Early Childhood Education

27 %

12 %

14 %

37 %

17 %

38 %

Juvenile Justice/Prevention/Foster Care

20 %

18 %

9 %

NA

37 %

13 %

14 *Data Source: Orange County Government and 2018 FL Statewide CSC Survey Responses

15 Source Data: State of Florida (Office of Early Learning)

School Readiness Wait List – August/2018

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1,901

2,738 3,032

3,381 3,369

2,860

2,439

1,960 1,718

0

602

1,650

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

July 2017 Aug 2017 Sept 2017 Oct 2017 Nov 2017 Dec 2017 Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018 June 2018

School Readiness Waitlist - July 2017 to June 2018

Data Source: State of Florida –Office of Early Learning

Volunteer Pre-Kindergarten (VPK) – Provides cost-free kindergarten to all 4 year olds. There is no waitlist for VPK as of 10/26/2018

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22%

18% 21% 20%

25%

19%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Orange Broward Duval Hillsborough Miami-Dade Palm Beach

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Children Under 18 in Poverty - 2016

27% 26% 25% 23% 22%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

19

18 17

12 12 13

21

16 15

0

5

10

15

20

25

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

20 Data Source: County Health Rankings

1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review of Existing Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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The domains* (focus areas) used in this review as a baseline were as follows: Individual Family Community Education

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*Evidenced Based Model: Communities That Care (CTC) prevention model

Community Level Assessment Framework

Communities That Care Prevention Model: (Community, Family, School, Individual) Utilized evidenced-based Communities That Care (CTC) prevention model as the assessment framework.

The model provides that Individual and community-level variables are analyzed in accordance with the four domains outlined in the CTC model;

COMMUNITY DOMAIN: Juvenile Arrest and Detention, EDUCATION DOMAIN: 3rd Grade Florida Standards Assessment (FSA) 12th Grade Graduation Rate FAMILY DOMAIN: Dependency Involvement, Abuse & Neglect Reports INDIVIDUAL DOMAIN: Teen Pregnancy

(Source Data: Hawkins, Catalano, & Miller 1992; Kim, Gloppen, Rhew, Oesterle, and Hawkins 2015; Kuklinski, Fagan, Hawkins, Briney, and Catalano 2015; Nelson 1998; Rhew et al., 2016; Shapiro, Oesterle, and Hawkins 2015). 23

681

475

382 377 329

223 211

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

32808 32805 32839 32811 32818 32810 32801

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Seven (7) of 53 residential zip codes have accounted for a yearly average of 5,352 (53%) juvenile arrests in Orange County over the past two (2) fiscal years (FY 16-17 and FY 17-18)

Zip Codes

Average Yearly Juvenile Arrests FY 16-17 and FY 17-18

25

405

322

250 227

188 157

130

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

32808 32805 32811 32839 32818 32801 32810

26 Zip Codes

Of the $5.1 million Orange County expended for its cost share of detention services during FY 2017-18, approximately $3.2 million were expended on youth residing in the seven (7) aforementioned zip codes.

Average Yearly Detention Admissions

FY 16-17 and FY 17-18

225

159 154 134

98 90 82 76 64 60 58 52

0

50

100

150

200

250

32808 32839 32811 32805 32703 32818 32810 34787 34761 32822 32825 32835

27 Zip Codes

Consistent with juvenile delinquency and adult jail arrests, six (6) of the seven (7) previously identified zip codes represent areas with the highest number of clients receiving dependency services.

Average Yearly Dependency (Foster Care) Involvement Clients

FY 16-17 and FY 17-18

52

46 43

36

30 27

22 21 19 19 19 18 14 13 13 12 11 11 11 9 8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

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Over the past two(2) fiscal years, there was a yearly average of 905 verified findings of abuse and neglect closed investigations. Fifty percent (450) involved child victims residing in 20 identified zip codes.

Zip Codes

Average Yearly Verified Findings of Abuse & Neglect

(Closed Investigations) FY 16-17 and FY 17-18

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Zip Code Rank

Zip Code # Juvenile of Arrest FY 2016-18

Elementary School Feeder Middle School Feeder High School

1 32808

1,362

Ridgewood Park - D (2017) Rolling Hills - D (2018) Rosemont – D (2017- 2018)

Meadowbrook Meadowbrook College Park - 32804

Evans Evans Evans

2 32805

949

Catalina – D (2017) Rock Lake – F (2018)

Memorial – 32805 Carver - 32811

Jones Oak Ridge - 32809 Jones

4 32811 753 Ivey Lane – F (2018) Carver Jones - 32805

5 32818

658

Hiawassee – D (2018) Pinewood – D (2017)

Robinswood Robinswood

Evans - 32808 Ocoee – 34761 Evans - 32808

6 32810

445

Lake Weston – D (2017) F (2018) Lockhart – D (2017) Riverside – D (2018)

Lockhart Lockhart Lockhart

Edgewater - 32804 Wekiva – 32703 Wekiva – 32703 Edgewater - 32804 Wekiva – 32703

7 32801 421 Nap Ford – D (2017) * *

8 32703

401

Phyllis Wheatley – D (2018) Apopka -32712 Piedmont Lakes Wolf Lakes – 32712

Apopka – 32712 Ocoee – 34761 / Wekiva Apopka 32712 / Wekiva

14 32807 246 Bridge Prep Academy – D (2017 – 2018) Englewood – D (2018)

* Stonewall Jackson

* Colonial

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76% 80%

40%

46% 48%

54%

71%

79%

37%

46% 47%

53%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

White Males White Females Black Males Black Females Hispanic Males Hispanic Females

2016-2017 FSA - ELA Scores 2017-2018 (Orange County) FSA - ELA Scores

3rd Grade Reading Proficiency Score s

Achieving Level 3 or Higher

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71%

79%

37%

46% 47% 53%

66% 73%

36%

44% 51%

57%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

White Males White Females Black Males Black Females Hispanic Males Hispanic Females

Orange County State FL

Reading Proficiency Score - Level 3 or higher

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83% 89%

79% 85%

69%

80% 89%

93%

82% 88%

70%

81%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

White Males White Females Hispanic Males Hispanic Females Black Males Black Females

High School Graduation Rates

2016-2017

Florida Orange County

33

72 68

44 48

42 43

35 37 32 34

31 29 24

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

32808 32839 32822 32818 32811 32703 32805 32809 32807 32712 32825 32810 34761 32824

Average Yearly Teen Pregnancies

CY 2016 and CY 2017

The was an average of 733 Teen Pregnancies in Orange County during calendar years 2016 and 2017.

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• The community level focused on the needs of Orange County youth allowed for a richer meso-level understanding of the prevalence and geographical locations of risk factors impacting a youth’s life choices and chances of success.

• It was revealed that the seven (7) previously identified zip codes tended to have high poverty levels, large minority populations, somewhat contiguous, and consistently ranked at the top for most of the risk factors analyzed.

• Zip Codes 32703 and 32822 were typically ranked directly after the above-referenced zip codes in the areas of juvenile arrests and detention admissions but were ranked similarly or higher on some of the other risk factors analyzed.

• Of the nine (9) zip codes highlighted above, seven (7) were predominantly minority populations with the exception of codes 32703 and 32801 .

1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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Areas of Critical Community Needs: Juvenile Prevention/Diversion Mental and Physical Health Early Childhood Education and Care Child and Student Homelessness, and System-wide Process and Data Management

Improvement

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FOREFRONT makes the following recommendations based on our review of the array of Orange County Family Services using the evidence-based Communities That Care Prevention Model (CTC). Based on our findings, seven (7) zip codes 32808 32805 32839 32811 32818 32810 32801 account for the majority of juvenile arrests and detention, dependency involvement, abuse and neglect reports, low 3rd grade FSA reading scores, low performing schools, teen pregnancies, and infant mortalities. In addition two additional zip codes appeared for teen pregnancy and graduation – 32822 and 32703.

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The recommendations for the additional funding cover the following areas: Operational Process Improvements: Use Evidenced-Based Practices for Newly Funded Children’s Services/Programs. Establish Common Outcomes for County Funded Children’s Services/Programs to

determine effectiveness. Data Management Improvements: Implement a common data and information sharing platform that creates the

opportunity to enhance greater Integration, Interoperability and Client Engagement across programs.

Community Input: Conduct a series of community-level focus groups and interviews utilizing the

County’s Neighborhood Centers for Families (NCF) with stakeholders to gather community input concerning children’s services needs in their neighborhoods to capture information that cannot be found in the data.

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Funding Formula Process: Across all of the categories (Individual, Family, Education, and Community)

assessed, nine (9) similarly situated zip codes consistently ranked more than 50% of the list for the aforementioned risk factors.

Orange County should develop a funding formula that ensures all Orange

County government children and family services funding (direct or indirect) specifically target these areas at a level commensurate to their need. Funding amounts and distribution should be proportionally allocated and data-driven.

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Funding - External Targeted Neighborhood Level Competitive Funding Program Establish a funding process, handled through the Orange County CCC/CRP

boards to provide evidenced based programs/services and neighborhood based programs/services with clearly defined outcomes in identified areas of community need.

The potential service providers would submit their funding proposals

through the established process for competitive review of their proposals and ranking for submission for funding consideration by the Board of County Commissioners.

Funding should be evidence-based and targeted towards reducing issues in identified zip codes with significant areas of community need based on the County’s children’s services five (5) focus areas.

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Funding – Internal Family Services Competitive Funding Pilot Designate a portion of additional funding to address some of the Family Services

Department’s identified Children’s Services areas of community needs. The FSD divisions would submit their funding proposals for a competitive review of their

proposals and ranking for submission for funding consideration by the Board of County Commissioners.

Funding should be evidence-based and targeted towards reducing issues in identified zip codes with significant areas of community need based on the County’s children’s services five (5) focus areas.

Services should be delivered within the zip code areas experiencing the most significant areas of community need the funding proposal is designed to address.

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Strategic and Targeted Partnerships Maximize impact through collaborative partnerships with other

public and private entities like Orange County Public Schools, Sheriff's Office, United Way, Boys & Girls Club, Urban League, Dr. Phillips Foundation and other grass roots entities (neighborhood organizations).

Therefore, we recommended that strategic and targeted

partnerships be utilized to address the significant needs of children and families residing in areas of critical need.

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Community Empowerment Zones (CEZ) The Community Empowerment Zones (CEZ) concept has great

potential and proven successful in other communities (i.e., Harlem Children Zone, and Promise Neighborhoods) where the CEZ areas had defined neighborhood boundaries.

Therefore, we recommended that Orange County consider the

implementation of a similar approach utilizing zip codes and or historically defined neighborhood or other methodology.

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1. Project Approach and Methodology 2. Review Children’s Trust Reports 3. Establish OC Baseline for Service Delivery 4. Compare Orange County Children’s Programs and

Services with Children’s Services Councils 5. Community Level Data 6. Options and Recommendations 7. Summary

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Independent Review Conducted by Outside Firm Existing Reports Reviewed CSCs and DSCs OC Children’s Services OC Comparison to CSCs Community Level Assessment Counties are Different and Focus Areas Vary No Standardization Decisions Based on Community Needs

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Performance Improvement Recommendations Data Driven Decision-Making Micro vs Macro Service Delivery Outcomes and Effectiveness Partnerships

Implementation

Decision on Funding of $20Million increase for Children’s Services Leadership Collaboration Partnerships

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ORANGE COUNTY

FUNDED CHILDREN’S

SERVICES REVIEW

4

GOVERNMENT AND COMMUNITY

STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEWS

3

SURVEY OF ALL CSC’S AND DSC’S

2 CHILDREN’S TRUST

& UCF REPORTS ANALYSIS

1

COMMUNITY AND NEIGHBORHOOD RISK ANALYSIS

5

OPTIONS & RECOMENDATIONS

6

GOVERNANCE PROCESS FOR

MANAGEMENT OF $20M

7