Chris Wiggins: "engagement & reality"

Post on 15-Jul-2015

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engagement & reality

chris.wiggins@columbia.educhris.wiggins@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

1851 1996

example:

millions of views per hour2015

data science: the web

is your “online presence”

data science: the web

is a microscope

data science: the web

is an experimental tool

data science: the web

is an optimization tool

news: 20th century

church state

news: 21st century

church state

engineering

news: 21st century

church state

engineering

supervised learning, e.g.,

“the funnel”innovation report, 2014

interpreting supervised learningsu

per

cool

stu

ff

collaboration w/b. chen

interpreting supervised learningsu

per

cool

stu

ff

optimization & learning, e.g.,

popular mechanics, 2015

getting to know the readers

daeil kim, cf. bit.ly/nyt-engagement

audiences matter

audiences matter

innovation report, 2014

R.I.P. good times

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

“a startup is a temporary organization in search of a repeatable and scalable business model” —Steve Blank

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

every publisher is now a startup

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

what else is there besides clicks?

what else is there besides clicks?

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

what else is there besides clicks?

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

“engagement”: examples

if your biz model is clicks,engagement=clicks

if your biz model is sharing,engagement=sharing

if your biz model is time on page,engagement=time on page

if your biz model is subscription…?

WWND?

WWND?what would $NFLX do?

from “data scientists @ work”

-Caitlin Smallwood VP, Science and Algorithms at Netflix

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

from “data scientists @ work”

-Caitlin Smallwood VP, Science and Algorithms at Netflix

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

WWND?if your biz model is subscription,machine learning can help:

Balance predictive power for true KPI (retention) with

1.interpretability2.should be

• easy to measure, • quick to measure, • or both

ML can help!“engagement” is hard to define. you choose:

1.poetry 2.philosophy3.science

Wbinan of f2) which predicts 1)

ML can help!“engagement” is hard to define. you choose:

1.poetry 2.philosophy3.science

WE CHOSE SCIENCE:• find 1) reality: KPI, preferably units of USD• find 2) interpretable and observable features• learn combination of 2) which predicts 1)

chris.wiggins@columbia.educhris.wiggins@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

ghost of science past

chris.wiggins@columbia.educhris.wiggins@nytimes.com@chrishwiggins

this talk: bit.ly/nyt-engagement

we’re hiring!