Post on 03-Jan-2016
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Climate variability and predictabilityover South Eastern European regions
Overview
• Main types of regional climate variability
• Regional predictability• Indicators for the winter 2013-
2014
Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st and 2nd EOFs of winter temperature
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
Sources of climate variability and predictability in winter1st EOF of winter precipitation
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
Coupled modes of variabilitytemperature and precipitation anomalies coupled with
SLP anomalies1st CCA modes for temperature and precipitation
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
ROC maps for above normal tercile of temperatute
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
ROC maps for above normal below of temperatute
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
ROC maps for below normal tercile of precipitation
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
ROC maps for above normal tercile of precipitation
From draft paper on predictability over Southern Eastern Europe
What about next winter?
No clear NAO signal…