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1 Confidential & proprietary
© 2013. Confidential & proprietary
Clouds, Crowds & Traffic Ten Emerging Megatrends Impacting the Future of Transportation
Ted Trepanier
2 Confidential & proprietary
Market leader in North
America and Europe
Crowd-sourcing technology
pioneer
175 million consumers
reached daily
1.8 million
miles of road and
32 countries 200+
blue-chip customers
100 million
GPS-enabled vehicles &
devices
INRIX Powers the World's Largest Traffic Intelligence Network
3 Confidential & proprietary
TEN MEGATRENDS Reshaping Mobility
4 Confidential & proprietary
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Population of urban areas
UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011
Now 2050
5 Confidential & proprietary
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION
UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011
2025 2011 1980 2025 2011 1980
6 Confidential & proprietary
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Percentage of Chinese residents living in urban centers
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
2025
70%
Now
50%
7 Confidential & proprietary
INRIX Scorecard、2012
COST OF CONGESTION Annual hours wasted per driver
59
Los Angeles
65
Stuttgart
63
Paris
8 Confidential & proprietary
TTI; Centre for Economics and Business Research, 2012
COST OF CONGESTION Economic impact in billions
$121
United States
€7.8
Germany
€5.6
France
9 Confidential & proprietary
POLLUTION % of carbon emissions from vehicles
OECD, 2011
23%
10 Confidential & proprietary
POLLUTION World CO2 emissions
U.S. EIA, 2011
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029
MILLION METRIC TONS
United States
China
Europe (OECD)
India
11 Confidential & proprietary
ABI Research (ABI), 2012
CONNECTED CARS
Now 2017
11% 60%
12 Confidential & proprietary
URBAN MOBILITY Rise of on-demand transportation
13 Confidential & proprietary
!
!
D
G
D
V
D G
G
N
N
C C
C
C
C
V
G
N
D
Road sensor
Traffic camera
S
T
V
Commercial Vehicle GPS Probe
Consumer Vehicle GPS Probe
GPS-Enabled Smartphone Probe
Cellular Network Probe
!
!
Driver Generated Report
Accident
Construction
Event
S
T
S
S T
Incidents
Flow
Scotia Bank, 2011
THE “CROWD” 1.3 billion drivers by 2017
14 Confidential & proprietary
!
Road sensor
Traffic camera
Driver Generated Report
Accident
Construction
Event
Incidents
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2010
Examples of 15-Minute Real-Time Snapshots
15 Confidential & proprietary
!
Road sensor
Traffic camera
Driver Generated Report
Accident
Construction
Event
Incidents
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2013
Examples of 15-Minute Real-Time Snapshots
16 Confidential & proprietary
!
!
Road sensor
Traffic camera
Driver Generated Report
Accident
Construction
Event
Incidents
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Fall 2010
Examples of 15-Minute Real-Time Snapshots
17 Confidential & proprietary
!
!
Road sensor
Traffic camera
Driver Generated Report
Accident
Construction
Event
Incidents
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Spring 2013
Examples of 15-Minute Real-Time Snapshots
18 Confidential & proprietary
ACTIVE ROAD NETWORK MANAGEMENT Real-time data and analytics for millions of miles
19 Confidential & proprietary
FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION Big Data and ITS technologies will drive improved urban mobility
• Active/adaptive traffic management
• Dynamic traffic signal timing
• Variable HOT lanes • Congestion based tolling
• Multi-modal travel • Smart parking meters and
predictive availability
• Multi-mode management • Car sharing
Integrated corridor management
Network-wide analysis
System performance monitoring
20 Confidential & proprietary
2015 2020
25 billion
50 billion
CONNECTED DEVICES
Cisco IBSG, 2011
21 Confidential & proprietary
CONNECTED DEVICES Penetration of Internet usage by country
As of 6/30/2012
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
China UnitedStates
India Japan Brazil Russia Germany Indonesia UnitedKingdom
France
MILLIONS OF PEOPLE
Total population Internet users
40%
78%
11%
80% 46% 48% 83% 22%
84% 80%
Internetworldstats.com 6/30/2012
22 Confidential & proprietary
CONNECTED DEVICES 1.5 billion smartphones globally
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
China UnitedStates
Japan Brazil India UnitedKingdom
Korea Indonesia France Germany
MILLIONS OF PEOPLE
Smartphone subscribers
Informa, 2013
23 Confidential & proprietary
INRIX Concept, 2013
PERSONALIZATION Navigating your world
24 Confidential & proprietary
Would it be quicker to park and take the
train?
Is the roadway starting to ice up?
How long will it take to get to home or
work?
Where is the cheapest fuel along
my route?
What’s the best way to avoid this traffic?
Where is the closest available parking?
Where can I charge my electric vehicle?
How efficiently do I drive compared to others in my city?
25 Confidential & proprietary
IN-CAR INFOTAINMENT Adoption by 2019
68%
Strategy Analytics、2012
26 Confidential & proprietary
THE CONNECTED CAR
A
B
27 Confidential & proprietary
TRAFFIC
A
B
Traffic
!
28 Confidential & proprietary
DAILY NAVIGATION
A
B
Traffic Daily navigation
29 Confidential & proprietary
MULTIMODAL ROUTING
A
B
Traffic Daily navigation
Multimodal routing
30 Confidential & proprietary
ROAD WEATHER
A
B
Traffic Daily navigation
Road weather
Multimodal routing
31 Confidential & proprietary
LOCAL SEARCH
A
B
Traffic Daily navigation
Road weather
Multimodal routing
Local search
32 Confidential & proprietary
FUEL PRICES
A
B
Traffic Daily navigation
Road weather
Fuel prices
Multimodal routing
Local search
33 Confidential & proprietary
PARKING AVAILABILITY
A
Traffic Daily navigation
Multimodal routing
Road weather
Local search
Fuel prices
Parking availability
P
B
P
34 Confidential & proprietary
DRIVING FORWARD Ten Megatrends
The “Crowd”
Active Road Network
Connected Devices
Personalization
In-car Infotainment
Growth of Urbanization
Cost of Congestion
Pollution
Connected Cars
Urban Mobility
36 Confidential & proprietary
Image: Continental Automotive, 2013
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING “We should be able to do 90% of miles driven within 3 years.” – Elon Musk, Tesla
38 Confidential & proprietary
Twisted Trends
U.S. EIA, 2011
• Woman in the Workforce
• The Baby Boom
• Household Income
• Suburbanization
• Automobile Ownership
• Congestion
• Generational Preferences
39 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
It is well understood – We cannot build ourselves out of congestion.
40 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
It’s also been long assumed that VMT will continue to grow.
Then – the trend twisted
41 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
It is well understood – Maximum Freeway Capacity is near 2000 vphpl
Smart Cars will increase this to??? 3000 3500 4000 More…
42 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
Consider – decreasing demand – added capacity
43 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
What does this mean to the assumption? “We cannot build ourselves out of congestion”
44 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
Instead of planning for the Next Transportation Package…
45 Confidential & proprietary
The “Planners Challenge”
China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
Let’s think about planning for -
The Last Transportation Package
46 Confidential & proprietary
Multnomah County Bottlenecks
47 Confidential & proprietary
Thank You
Ted Trepanier ted@inrix.com www.inrix.com