Collect/connect The future of library collections and collection management Libraries Australia...

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Collect/connectThe future of library collections and collection management

Libraries Australia

Adelaide, 27 October 2011

Caroline Brazier, Director of Scholarship and Collections

Looking towards 2020

Changing demand for services

1.83 2.1

6 2.47

2.54 2.6

4 2.87

2.87

2.80

2.69

2.67 2.7

7 2.87 3.0

0 3.16

3.23

3.29

3.32

3.29 3.3

83.4

4 3.69 3.9

2 4.11

4.18

4.26

4.28

4.23

3.91

3.69

3.29

2.86

2.49

2.19

1.86

1.67

1.51

1.32

1.16

0.0 M

0.5 M

1.0 M

1.5 M

2.0 M

2.5 M

3.0 M

3.5 M

4.0 M

4.5 M

UK Demand OS Demand All Demand

Document Supply 1973 – 2011

Reading Room demand 2005 – 2011

Items Consulted per Year

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

4000000

4500000

05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11

Looking towards 2020

Changing models of publishing

UK journals: print to digital migration

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Year

Pe

r ce

nt

of

ou

tpu

t

Print % Parallel % Electronic %Source: EPS 2004

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

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2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Year

Pe

r ce

nt

of

ou

tpu

t

Print % Parallel % Electronic %

UK books: print to digital migration

Source: EPS 2004

2020: What leading thinkers told us

STM research will continue to be well funded at the expense of research in A&H

Increasingly, consumers will have the opportunity to pay what they want for e-books. Willingness to pay will indicate value

Lifelong learning will become more important because of the need to learn new skills to remain employable

Technology removes burdens from information specialists – there will be a smaller, distributed network of specialists who guide people to resources

Academic publishing will go through the same cultural change that the newspaper industry is going through now

Computers enable you to do things faster and therefore the rate of change increases

The university will be light on its feet and run like a venture-capital firm, with more disruptive people in it

By 2020, the word ‘digital’ will have no meaning because everything will be digital

Digital natives will assume everything is on the web

Stories will be conveyed through interactive computer games rather than books

Legal redress (re. illegal file sharing) is impossible when technology is so far advanced of any control

If a service can be charged for, then the public sector should not be involved

It will be possible for people spread across the world to work simultaneously on the same piece of digital text

2020: And what it might mean for libraries?

‘BL should have a far larger team focused on web developments. At the Guardian, 150 out of 450 staff worked directly on web developments during the transition from a print to a web-based product.’

‘With public libraries closing, a digital BL could become the knowledge point for the citizen after school’

‘Libraries need to act soon and comprehensively or Google or someone else will do it’

‘BL should replicate the Glastonbury festival feeling and, at the same time, provide the great scholastic silence’

‘Libraries should not continue to buy so much material but should develop national strategies to ensure adequate coverage’

‘Libraries should be loved by a few people rather than liked by a lot’

‘The BL could copy the BBC and charge overseas customers for access to licensed material’

‘Libraries will need to continue to demonstrate value’

‘The BL needs to decide if it’s aiming at the mass market or the niche market’

‘All major research libraries will be interoperable’

‘People will use libraries as interactive

research spaces’

2020: Collecting is no longer enough

Create

Manipulate

Discover, Access

Collect, Catalogue, Preserve, Store

Capitalise

Passivesupport

Activesupport

What does this mean for library collections and collection management?

Create knowledge

through research

Enable search,

navigation and

discovery

Develop and

improve the research process

Store and preserve research

information

Aggregate research

information

Publish and disseminate

research outputs

Libraries and the research information cycle

Create knowledge

through research

Enable search,

navigation and

discovery

Develop and

improve the research process

Store and preserve research

information

Aggregate research

information

Publish and disseminate

research outputs

Can we transform traditional roles?

Create knowledge

through research

Enable search,

navigation and

discovery

Develop and

improve the research process

Store and preserve research

information

Aggregate research

information

Publish and disseminate

research outputs

Can we find new roles?

Transform traditional roles:

1. Aggregate research information

Shifting priorities to meet economic reality

Content Development 10 year overview

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12

Financial years

£m

Purchased Acquisitions Maintaining purchasing power

Collecting new content

2. Store and preserve research information

Transform traditional roles:

Green Library3,838,874

Red Library5,857,315Blue Library

5,579,486

2,226,01358%

3,379,25158%

3,110,62056%

1,266,21922%/23%

401,01610%/7%

410,21411%/7%

801,63121%/14%/

14%

Will you deduplicate?

Source: OCLC Worldcat

3. Enable search, navigation and discovery

Transform traditional roles:

From text to TXT

4. Develop and improve the research process

Find new roles:

Embed libraries in digital research

New skill sets to support digital research

5. Create knowledge through research

Find new roles:

Publicly funded

Closed Open

Commercially funded

Transform traditional roles:

6. Publish and disseminate

85 The Guardian81 Facebook80 Google69 Harvard 68 Tate Gallery 67 Library of Congress, Stanford, BBC 63 British Museum61 British Library56 JISC, Cambridge50 Europeana48 Bodleian, Hathi Trust40 Gale Cengage

In 2020, the British Library will be a leading hub in the global information network, advancing knowledge through our collections, expertise and partnerships

Advancing the world’s knowledge

In 2020, the British Library will be a leading hub in the global information network, advancing knowledge through our collections, expertise and partnerships

Advancing the world’s knowledge

Advancing the world’s knowledge

● Collections and collection management remain at the heart of what we do

BUT…● Learn to manage both

collaboration and competition

● Transform collection skills to give us new relevance

● Be open to new partnerships, within and beyond the library community

Thank you for listening