Dept. of Energy presentation to JFC

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Energy Sec. Jose Rene D. Almendras was the keynote speaker at the April 23, 2012 Energy Forum hosted by the Joint Foreign Chambers. He discussed in detail the Philippines' diversified energy mix and the development plans for energy resources. One of the highlights of his presentation involved a summary of the power situation for Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao as of April 2012.

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SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS Department of Energy

Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Primary Energy Mix

Oil

36.4%

Coal

17.3% NatGas

7.4%

Hydro

4.8%

Geothermal

21.0%

Biomass

13.1%*

Total Energy = 40.73 MTOE Shares Self-Sufficiency = 57.5% Green Energy = 46.3% RE = 38.9%

Note: a) Wind and Solar contribute 0.001% with total capacity of 39 MW

Biomass Breakdown Industry = 27% Residential = 67% Commercial = 6%

Biomass 0.05%

Solar and Wind 0.05%

Geothermal 43.11%

Hydro 9.79%

Natural Gas 13.78%

Coal 25.69%

Oil 7.52% Total Energy = 19.81 MTOE

Shares Self-sufficiency = 66.8% Green Energy = 66.8% RE = 53.0%

Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Power Generation Fuel Mix

Gross Generatiopn = 67,743 GWh

Coal

34.40%

Oil Based

10.48%Natural Gas

28.81%

Geothermal

14.66%

Hydro

11.52%

Wind

0.09%

Solar

0.002%Biomass

0.04%

Note: Generation data includes grid connected, embedded, and off-grid generators

Total Generation = 67,743 GWh Shares Self-sufficiency = 62.9% Green Energy = 55.1 % RE = 26.3%

Diversified Energy Mix 2010 Power Generation Mix

Energy Resource Development

a. Fossil Fuel Oil and Gas Exploration

b. Renewable Energy

c. Liquified Natural Gas

On-going Challenge of Hydro Carbons

Oil/Hydro Carbons

Global oil demand is expected to rise to 89.9 mb/d as

economic growth accelerates through end-2012;

Non-OPEC supply fell in March to 52.7 mb/d. For the

remaining months, supply is expected to grow to 53.4

mb/d

March OPEC supply held near 3 ½ year highs, up by 135

kb/d to 31.43 mb/d

Fuelling Sustainable Transport Program

Compressed Natural Gas

(CNG) Electric Tricycle (E-trike)

Energy Efficiency and Conservation

Electricity

Ave. Spot Price:

2010 – P6.75

2011 – P4.60

2012 – P5.08 (March 2012)

Power Situation April 2012

MW

Base-load

Intermediate

Peak

TIME OF DAY

Reserve Margin Requirement

Bilateral

Contract

Spot

Market

Capacity Mix LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO

BASELOAD POWER PLANTS:

63.94%

BASELOAD POWER PLANTS:

71.88%

BASELOAD POWER PLANTS:

37.31%

Note: • Base-load Power Plants are the facilities used to meet some or all of a given continuous energy demand,

and produce energy at a constant rate, usually at low cost relative to other facilities available to the system

Installed Capacity = 11,869 MW

Installed Capacity = 2,393 MW

Installed Capacity = 1,971 MW

Geothermal Hydro

Coal Oil-based

Natgas

Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP

Legend: 2012 System Peak Demand

2012 Max Peak = 7,463 MW

Min Capacity = 7,592 MW

Max Capacity = 9,127 MW

2012 Min Peak = 5847 MW

Required Reserve Margin

Required Reserve Margin

Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP

Legend:

Geothermal Hydro

Coal Oil-based

2012 System Peak Demand

2012 Max Peak = 1,423 MW

2012 Min Peak = 1,205 MW

Min Capacity = 1,545 MW

Max Capacity = 1,843 MW

Required Reserve Margin

Required Reserve Margin

2012 Curtailed Demand

Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP

Legend:

Geothermal Hydro

Coal Oil-based

2012 Curtailed Demand = 1,219 MW

2011 Min Demand = 1,034 MW

Max Capacity = 1,287 MW

Min Capacity = 1,097 MW

Required Reserve Margin

Required Reserve Margin

Power Supply-Demand Situation

Notes: • Source of data, NGCP Daily Operation Report • * Actual System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Luzon-Visayas Grid • * Projected System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Mindanao Grid

Power Supply and Demand LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO

Available Capacity 9,127 1,843 1,280

Peak Demand* 7,346 1,423 1,300

Surplus/(Deficit) 1,781 420 (20)

Required Reserve Margin 1,588 257 150

Peak Demand + Reserve Margin

8,934 1,680 1,450

Surplus/(Deficit) @ Demand + Reserve Margin

193 163 (170)

Pulangi after repair

100

Embedded Generation

74

SEC. JOSE RENE D. ALMENDRAS Department of Energy