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transcript
DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
A Time-Dependent and Policy-Driven Process to Underpin
Disaster Resilience
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of
North Carolina, USA
THE STATE OF THE WORLD: UNPREPARED
REALITY: 200 Nations and 7 Billion People are Investing Over 6 Trillion Dollars Each Year in Urban Development and Billions in Education.REALITY: Each Year, approximately 700-900 Events Cause Economic losses in the $ Billions With Large Tolls in Mortality and Morbidity and a Loss Potential That is Increasing Exponentially With Time.
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYCOMMUNITYDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•NATURAL HAZARDS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
GOAL: DISASTER GOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE
•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY IENCE
FOUR PILLARS OF FOUR PILLARS OF RESILIENCERESILIENCE
GOAL:FROM UN—PREPARED
TO A STATE OF
PREPAREDNESS FOR ALL NATURAL
HAZARDS
GOAL:FROM UN—PREPARED
TO A STATE OF
PREPAREDNESS FOR ALL NATURAL
HAZARDS
The Goal:Making Cities Disaster
Resilient
Concentrating all Available Resources on The Urgent Goal ISDR Introduced to the
World on
October 13th, 2010
A PART OF THE UNITED NATIONS’ WORLD DISASTER REDUCTION
CAMPAIGNCoordinated by the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster
Reduction (ISDR)
THE WAY FORWARD THE WAY FORWARD
DISASTER RESILIENCE
IN
EVERY CITY IN EVERY REGION OF THE WORLD
AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE
DISASTER RESILIENCE
IN
EVERY CITY IN EVERY REGION OF THE WORLD
AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY CITY THROUGHOUT WORLD EVERY CITY THROUGHOUT WORLD TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY CITY THROUGHOUT WORLD EVERY CITY THROUGHOUT WORLD
ADOPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION POLICIES &
/PROGRAMS
ADOPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION POLICIES &
/PROGRAMS EUROPEEUROPEEUROPEEUROPE ASIA ASIA ASIA ASIA
MEDITERRANEANMEDITERRANEANMEDITERRANEANMEDITERRANEAN SUB-SAHARA SUB-SAHARA
AFRICAAFRICA
SUB-SAHARA SUB-SAHARA
AFRICAAFRICA
CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN
BASINBASIN
CARIBBEAN CARIBBEAN
BASINBASINISLAND NATIONSISLAND NATIONSISLAND NATIONSISLAND NATIONS
THE AMERICASTHE AMERICASTHE AMERICASTHE AMERICAS
HAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDS
ELEMENTS OF RISKELEMENTS OF RISKELEMENTS OF RISKELEMENTS OF RISK
EXPOSUREEXPOSUREEXPOSUREEXPOSURE
VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITYVULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY LOCATIONLOCATIONLOCATIONLOCATION
RISKRISKRISKRISK
HAZARD, VULNERABILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
HAZARD, VULNERABILITY, AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
• WHERE WILL THE NAT. HAZARD OCCUR?
• WHEN?• PHYSICAL EFFECTS?• HOW BIG OR SEVERE?• WHAT IS AT RISK?• THE VULNERABILITIES?• EXPECTED DAMAGE?• EXPECTED SOCIO-
ECONOMIC IMPACTS?
• WHERE WILL THE NAT. HAZARD OCCUR?
• WHEN?• PHYSICAL EFFECTS?• HOW BIG OR SEVERE?• WHAT IS AT RISK?• THE VULNERABILITIES?• EXPECTED DAMAGE?• EXPECTED SOCIO-
ECONOMIC IMPACTS?
GOAL: The implementation of
policies by local governments that will move their cities towards disaster
resilience.
An Unique Opportunity:
This is an opportunity for the world’s more than 1 million cities to
adopt the ISDR’S urgent goal of becoming disaster resilient as
quickly as possible, and to find ways to make it happen.
SOME OF THE KINDS OF DISASTERS THAT
HAPPENED DURING 2010-2011 DEMONSTRATE THE URGENT NEED FOR
RESILIENCE
LANDSLIDES: 2010
• MACHU PICCHU
•SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
•MADEIRA (PORTUGAL)
• BRAZIL (RIO DE JANEIRO)
•TAIWAN
•SANTA MARIA TLAHUITOLTAPEC
SEVERE WINDSTORMS: 2010
XynthiaTropical Storms and Hurricanes:
Atlantic BasinTropical Storms and Hurricanes:
Pacific BasinTyphoonsCyclones
THE RESILIENT CITIES CAMPAIGN
THE CAMPAIGN WILL SUCCEED WHEN CITIES ARE PREPARED FOR ALL NATURAL HAZARDS, AND ARE REDUCING DISASTER
RISKS TOWARDS ZERO
EVERY REGION HAS CITIES WITH EVERY REGION HAS CITIES WITH “CHAMPIONS” TO PROVIDE “CHAMPIONS” TO PROVIDE LEADERSHIPLEADERSHIP
EVERY REGION HAS CITIES WITH EVERY REGION HAS CITIES WITH “CHAMPIONS” TO PROVIDE “CHAMPIONS” TO PROVIDE LEADERSHIPLEADERSHIP
200 NATIONS AND 7
BILLION PEOPLE
200 NATIONS AND 7
BILLION PEOPLE
NORTH AMERICA
NORTH AMERICA
CARIBBEAN BASIN
CARIBBEAN BASIN
SUB-SAHARAAFRICA
SUB-SAHARAAFRICA
MEDITER-RANEAN
MEDITER-RANEAN
ISLAND NATIONS ISLAND NATIONS
ASIA ASIA
SOUTHAMERICASOUTH
AMERICA
EUROPEEUROPE
THE GOAL OF EVERY CITYTHE GOAL OF EVERY CITY
• LESS RISK!• PREPARED FOR
ALL NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES)
• LESS RISK!• PREPARED FOR
ALL NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES)
F A C E IS THE KEYF A C E IS THE KEY
• FACTS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY!
• COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL ALLIANCES!
• CHANGE IN THINKING!
• EFFORTS THAT BUILD LOCAL CAPACITY FOR PREPAREDNESS
USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS A USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS A BASIS FOR LOCAL PUBLIC POLICIESBASIS FOR LOCAL PUBLIC POLICIES
USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS A USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS A BASIS FOR LOCAL PUBLIC POLICIESBASIS FOR LOCAL PUBLIC POLICIES
SEED BED FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
CAMPAIGHSTHAT MEET COMMUNITY
NEEDS
SEED BED FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
CAMPAIGHSTHAT MEET COMMUNITY
NEEDS
RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT
RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT
RESILIENT TRANSPORTATION
RESILIENT TRANSPORTATION
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGYSCIENCE &
TECHNOLOGY
ENVIRONMENTALPROTECTION
ENVIRONMENTALPROTECTION
POLICYIMPLEMENTATION
POLICYIMPLEMENTATION
RESILIENT ENTERPRISE RESILIENT
ENTERPRISE
NATURAL &TECH. HAZARDS
NATURAL &TECH. HAZARDS
CONSTRUCTIONTECHNIQUES
CONSTRUCTIONTECHNIQUES
CITY PLANS
CITY PLANS
FOR DISASTER
FOR DISASTER
RISK REDUCTION
RISK REDUCTION
- Perspectives
- Perspectives
On Science, Policy,
On Science, Policy,
And EDUC.
And EDUC.
HOW TO FAIL HOW TO FAIL HOW TO FAIL HOW TO FAIL
FACTFACT: NO CITY CAN REDUCE ITS DISASTER RISKS WITHOUT A : NO CITY CAN REDUCE ITS DISASTER RISKS WITHOUT A LONG-TERM STRATEGIC EFFORT.LONG-TERM STRATEGIC EFFORT.
FACTFACT: NO CITY CAN REDUCE ITS DISASTER RISKS WITHOUT A : NO CITY CAN REDUCE ITS DISASTER RISKS WITHOUT A LONG-TERM STRATEGIC EFFORT.LONG-TERM STRATEGIC EFFORT.
GOALS:GOALS:GOALS:GOALS:
DISASTER DISASTER RISK RISK
REDUCTIONREDUCTION
DISASTER DISASTER RISK RISK
REDUCTIONREDUCTION
CAPACITY CAPACITY FOR FOR
DISASTER DISASTER RISK RISK
REDUCTIONREDUCTION
CAPACITY CAPACITY FOR FOR
DISASTER DISASTER RISK RISK
REDUCTIONREDUCTION
DISASTER DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCEDISASTER DISASTER
RESILIENCERESILIENCE
HOW TO SUCCEEDHOW TO SUCCEEDHOW TO SUCCEEDHOW TO SUCCEED
SOCIALSOCIAL
SCIENCESCIENCE
SOCIALSOCIAL
SCIENCESCIENCE
PHYSICAL PHYSICAL SCIENCESSCIENCESPHYSICAL PHYSICAL SCIENCESSCIENCES
ENGINEERINGENGINEERING
SCIENCESSCIENCES
ENGINEERINGENGINEERING
SCIENCESSCIENCES
SUCCESS:SUCCESS: A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS IN EVERY CITY A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS IN EVERY CITY SUCCESS:SUCCESS: A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS IN EVERY CITY A STATE OF PREPAREDNESS IN EVERY CITY
STRATEGIC GOALSTRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE : WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY SECTOR OF THE CITYCAPACITY IN EVERY SECTOR OF THE CITY
STRATEGIC GOALSTRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE : WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY SECTOR OF THE CITYCAPACITY IN EVERY SECTOR OF THE CITY
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
ISLAND NATIONS
BUILD ON CULTURAL DIVERSITY OF NATIONS IN THE REGION
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster RISKRISK
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster RISKRISK
BUILD TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY FOR INCREASED COMMITMENT
IMPROVE COMMUNICATIONS
INCREASE AND IMPROVE PARTNERSHIPS
FOCUS ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS AND INNO-VATIVE IMPLEMENTATION
DEVELOP FINANCIAL RESOURCES
INCREASE RESILIENCE OF COMMUNITIES BY REDUCING VULMERABILITIES
IMPROVE PUBLIC EDUCATION AND AWARENESS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
REDUCE PHYSICAL, SOCIAL, AND ENTERPRISE VULNERABILITIES
ACCELERATE EDUCATION (WITH FOCUS ON RISK REDUCTION TECHNIQUES
INCREASE CAPACITY TO MITIGATE DAMAGE/LOSS OF ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS
ENHANCE PUBLIC HEALTH
IIPROVE CAPACITY FOR PERFORMING LOSS ESTIMATIONS
ESTABLISH AN AFRICAN CENTER OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT
ESTABLISH SUB-REGIONAL CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
CARIBBEAN BASIN NATIONS
INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS OF SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL RISKS
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
INCREASE UNDERSTANDING OF RISKS IN EVERY NATION
ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON ISLAND-SPECIFIC SCALES
ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON COMMUNITY SCALES
ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON NATIONAL SCALES
ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON REGIONAL SCALE
CONTINUE BUILDING BASIN-WIDE PARTNERSHOPS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
EUROPE
IMPROVE EARLY WARNING AND EARLY RESPONSE
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE
ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS
EMPOWER POLLITICAL WILL TO CHANGE POLICIES AND PRACTICES
TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT
CREATE A FORUM ON DISAS-TER RISK MANAGEMENT
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
MEDITERRANEAN REGION
INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS IN EVERY NATION
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE
ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS
EMPOWER POLITICAL WILL TO CHANGE POLICIES AND PRACTICES
TOWARDs SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT
CONTINUE IMPROVING PARTNERSHIPS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES IN TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES IN EACH REGION EACH REGION
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES IN TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES IN EACH REGION EACH REGION
ASIA
IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
REDUCE ALL URBAN VULNERABILITIES
IMPROVE ALL ASPECTS OF DATA MANAGEMENT
FORMATION OF CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
THE AMERICAS
IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO AVOID DISASTERS AS PART OF LAND-USE PLANNING
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersFocus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersGOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersFocus on Solutions For Reducing Disasters
IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO MATCH STRUCTURAL DESIGN WITH HAZARD DEMAND
IMPROVE EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, RESPONE, AND RECOVERY
IMPROVE DISASTER SCENARIOS
IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS AND EDUCATION
IMPROVE HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION MODELS AND MAPS
DEVELOP COMMUNITY REDUCE ALL URBAN VULNERABILITIES
IMPROVE ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
THE AMERICAS (CONTINUED)
IMPROVE MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS MODELS TO MANAGE RISK
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Focus on Solutions For Reducing DisastersDisasters
IMPROVE THE NEXT GENERATION OF BUILDING CODES AND STANDARDS
IMPROVE UNDERSTANDING OF INTERACTION OF HAZARD AND BUILT ENVIRONMENTS
INCREASED COLLECTION AND SHARING OF KNOWLEDGE
IMPROVE DATA COLLECTION AND MANAGEMENT
IMPROVE PROCESS FOR SHARING KNOWLEDGE AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
ENHANCING MULTIPLE EFFORTS IN CAPACITY BUILDING
CLOSE “IMPLEMENTATION GAP “
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT CITIES
INNOVATIVE IMPLEMENTATION IS THE KEY
OUTREACH BY KNOWLEDGE PRODUCING ORGANIZATIONS
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Success; FAILURE IS A LOSS Focus on Success; FAILURE IS A LOSS FOR EVERYONEFOR EVERYONE!!
GOAL: GOAL: Focus on Success; FAILURE IS A LOSS Focus on Success; FAILURE IS A LOSS FOR EVERYONEFOR EVERYONE!!
COUNTER-DISASTER TRAINING OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONS
PUBLIC AWARENESS TO GAIN SUPPORT FOR SUSTAINED IMPLEMENTATION
COORDINATED BUSINESS POLICIES AND PRACTICES
COORDINATED GOVERNMENT POLICES, PRACTICES, AND LEGISLATION
IMPROVED TRANS-BORDER LINKAGES BETWEEN COUNTRIES
IMPROVED LEVERAGING OF EXISTING INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS
COMMINICATION!
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS A “24/7” EFFORT
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS A “24/7” EFFORT
• PREVENTION (CONTROL THE SOURCE)
• PROTECTION (BUILD TO WITHSTAND)
• LAND-USE CONTROL (AVOIDANCE)
• PREVENTION (CONTROL THE SOURCE)
• PROTECTION (BUILD TO WITHSTAND)
• LAND-USE CONTROL (AVOIDANCE)