Norden The Green Valley of Europe: Global Trends For Electric Vehicles

Presentation to Nordic Council Programme on Energy Transport Programme, Iceland, August 29, 2011

Jørn Bang Andersen, Senior Advisor Innovation

Nordic Innovation: www.nordicinnovation.org

j.andersen@nordicinnovation.org© Jørn B. Andersen 2011

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Why the’Green Valley of Europe’?

To Make Norden

• A Leading Test Bed for Green

Transport and Green Energy

• Attractive to Green Investments

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- Reduce Local Pollution

- Oil Prices and Shortage

- Global Climate

- Technology Advancements

- Smart Grid

Megatrends for Vehicle Electrification

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Public Vehicles In Use Five Times

More Than Private Ones© Jørn B. Andersen 2011

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Global Policies For

Electric Transport

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Fuel savings Environmental impactGovernment incentives

Global All

USA

EU

Japan

China

Environment Government incentives

Economics and Environment Drivers For Electric

Vehicles Market

Source: http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Newsroom/News-releases/Global-demand-for-electric-cars-could-outweigh-near-term-supply 10

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Incentives Financial Non-

financial

ManufacturingR&D Investment

• $ 25 billion for an Advanced Manufacturing Vehicle incentive program to technology that achieves 25% higher fuel economy

• $ 2.4 billion in grants for electric vehicle development in 2009

X

InfrastructureInvestment

• $400 million for demonstration projects and evaluation of plug-in hybrid and electric infrastructure

• $54 million for tax credits on alternative refueling property, including charging

• $100 million grant for 5-City “EV Project” infrastructure deployment

X

Vehicle Purchase

• $7,500 consumer tax credits for new purchase of PHEV/EV

• Additional state level purchase incentives up to $5,000 for PHEV/EV

• Many states provide HOV lane access, designated parking space programs

X

X

U.S. Government Electric Vehicle Policy (2010)

Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,

Incentives Financial Non-

financial

ManufacturingR&D Investment

• China is committed to spending $15 billion on building and selling electric cars from 2011-2016

X

InfrastructureInvestment

• Hangzhou plans to have 23,000 EVs on its streets by the end of 2012, and 3,500 charging poles

• Authorities are building infrastructure and trialing EV taxis and buses

X

Vehicle Purchase

• China offers $9,000 in subsidies toward full electric cars in EV trial cities of Shanghai, Changchun, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Hefei and Beijing.

X

12Source: http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/epaper/2011-05/19/content_12539963.htm © Jørn B. Andersen 2011

China Government Electric Vehicle Policy 2011

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Incentives Financial Non-

financial

Manufacturing

R&D Investment

• £350 million for research and demonstration

projects

• Germany + 1 billion Euros for R&D in Electric

Vehicles in 2013

X

Infrastructure

Investment

• UK £25,000 charging points in London

• France to invest 1.5 billion Euros in

infrastructure for Electric Vehicles X

Vehicle Purchase

• Private electric vehicles are exempt from annual

circulation tax in the( UK)

• Company electric cars are exempt for the

company car tax for first five years after

purchase (UK)

• Starting from 2011, purchasers of electric and

PHEVs will receive a discount of 25% of vehicle

list price with a cap of £ 5,000; the

• government has set aside £230 million for the

incentive

• Electric vehicles are exempt from congestion

charging in the (UK)

X

X

European Electric Vehicle Policies 2011

Asia Europe North America

Coordinated City Pilots Independent City Pilots Coordinated City Pilots

- China 20 city pilots

program & national EV

program

- Japan - Yokohoma

- London

- Paris

- Berlin

- EV project: Tennesse,

Arizona, California,

Oregon, Washington

- 5-15 EV deployment

Communities

Fleets Fleets Fleets

- Bus/garbage trucks

- Taxis

- Private cars

- Passenger cars

- Delivery fleets

- Passenger cars

- Commercial vehicles

Public/ Depot Charging

Infrastructure

Public Charging

Infrastructure

More Emphasis on Home

Charging

- Fast charging

- Bus/Fast Swap Stations

- Public charge points

- Street/garage

- Train stations

- Stores/shopping centers

- Home/appartment

garage

- Some public charging

Source: The China New Energy Vehicles Program 2011 World Bank, in part, and 2011 PRTM Management Consultants,14

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Bohrs Quadrant Pasteur’s Quadrant

Common Man’s Quadrant

Edison’s Quadrant

Low

High

Low High

Quest for

Fundamental

Understanding?

Consideration of Use?

Nordic

Electric

Transport?

Donald E. Stokes: Pasteur's Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation, 1997

What Avenues Open For Nordic Electric Transport?

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Thank You

© Jørn B. Andersen 2011

www.jornbangandersen.com