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Emerging IEmerging ICCT Markets T Markets inin SouthSouth E East Europe ast Europe
Goran RadmanGoran RadmanMicrosoft CorporationMicrosoft CorporationChairman SEEChairman SEE
EU Lisabon AgendaEU Lisabon Agenda
Labour productivity by Industry Group on the basis of ICT taxonomy, EU and U.S., 1995-2001
EU US EU USTotal Economy 2.3 1.1 1.7 2.2
ICT Producing Industries 5.9 8.1 7.5 10.0 ICT Producing Manufacturing 8.4 16.1 11.9 23.7 ICT Producing Services 4.8 2.4 5.9 1.8
ICT Using Industries 2.0 1.2 1.9 4.7 ICT Using Manufacturing 2.4 -0.6 1.8 0.4 ICT Using Services 1.8 1.6 1.8 5.3
Non-ICT Industries 2.1 0.3 1.0 -0.2 Non-ICT Manufacturing 3.6 2.7 1.6 0.3 Non-ICT Services 1.2 -0.5 0.5 -0.3 Non-ICT Other 3.2 1.2 2.1 0.7
1990-1995 1995-2001
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ICT - producing manufacturing and ICT - using services
• EU 2010: US benchmarkEU 2010: US benchmark
• New Competitors: India and ChinaNew Competitors: India and China
• Agenda 2004-09: Jobs, Competitiveness and InnovationAgenda 2004-09: Jobs, Competitiveness and Innovation
SEE SEE WithWithin in the EUthe EU
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
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Italy Spain Be lgium Austria CEE SEE Ire land Portugal EU 12 Russia
SEE Region is slightly larger than Ireland and Portugal Markets, but holds significantly more potential
IT Spending (US$M)
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SEESEE Invests MoreInvests More
YE 2000-2008
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20081,12% 1,24% 1,33% 1,48% 1,55% 1,65% 1,74% 1,82% 1,89%
Investment driving factors: Infrastructure, privatization, EU
7,0%
9,0%
10,0%
10,0%
12,0%
13,0%
0% 5% 10% 15%
S & M
Bulgaria
Romania
Macedonia
Croatia
Slovenia
SEE Grows FasterSEE Grows Faster
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IT M
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Everage IT growth in EU 15 is less than 2% and 3% in EU 25.
SEE Creates JobsSEE Creates Jobs
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30.000
60.000
90.000
120.000
150.000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
General IT employment will increase by 35.000 new jobs to total over 148,073 in 2008. Over 50% of these jobs will be software or software
related employment
Other Services and ChannelsIT Hardware Other IT Professionals Total Software
Employees
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IDC
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……But Less NetworkedBut Less Networked
COUNTRY SCORE
RANK
United States 2,02 1
Singapore 1,89 2
…. …… …..
Slovenia 0,34 35
Croatia -0,23 57
Romania -0,23 58
Bulgaria -0,31 64
Serbia & Montenegro -0,63 80
Macedonia -0,67 82
Moldova -0,78 94
Bosnia and Herzegovina -0,87 97
Albania -1,04 106
Key factors:Key factors:
InfrastructureInfrastructure
ReadinessReadiness
Use of ITUse of IT
Source: Source: INSEAD, INSEAD, Networking Networking Readiness IndexReadiness Index
Less Less DevelopeDevelopedd
And Less CompetitiveAnd Less CompetitiveGROWTH COMPETITIVENESSGROWTH COMPETITIVENESS
Finland 1.USA 2.Sweden 3.….. Estonia 20.Slovenia 32.Czech Rep. 38.Hungary 39.Slovakia 41.Poland 51.……….Bulgaria 58.Croatia 62.Romania 67.Serbia & Mont. 80.Macedonia 85.Bosnia & Herz. 95.Albania 100.
BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESSBUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS
USA 1.Finland 2.Germany 3.……Estonia 26.Czech Rep. 27.Slovenia 32.Hungary 34. Slovakia 39.Poland 42.………Croatia 63.Romania 67.Bulgaria 78.Macedonia 83.Serbia & Mont. 86.Bosnia & Herz. 94.Albania 112.
LEADERSLEADERS
NEW EU NEW EU MEMBERSMEMBERS
SEESEE
Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2005-2006, WEF
SEE Main Focus AreasSEE Main Focus Areas
e-Governmente-GovernmentPublic service, efficiency, Public service, efficiency, transparency, cost reductiontransparency, cost reduction
e-Businesse-BusinessCompetitiveness, SME, innovationCompetitiveness, SME, innovation
e-Inclusione-InclusionEducation, curricula, skillsEducation, curricula, skills
What we can do?What we can do?
SEE E-GOVERNANCE CENTERSEE E-GOVERNANCE CENTER
e-Government policy and institutional capacity e-Government policy and institutional capacity building support through shared expertise, best building support through shared expertise, best practices and standards in public servicespractices and standards in public services
Support for multilateral exchange of IT skills, Support for multilateral exchange of IT skills, competencies and solutionscompetencies and solutions for public administrationfor public administration
Replicate Tallin (Estonia)Replicate Tallin (Estonia) EGC to Bled (Slovenia)EGC to Bled (Slovenia)
e-Governmente-Government
BUSINESS-TECHNOLOGY CENTERSBUSINESS-TECHNOLOGY CENTERS IT entrepreneurship and innovative SMEs IT entrepreneurship and innovative SMEs support through local incubatorssupport through local incubators
Incubator as source of new IT ideas, Incubator as source of new IT ideas, business solutions knowledge base and best business solutions knowledge base and best practice share-pointpractice share-point
BTC Varaždin (Croatia) asBTC Varaždin (Croatia) as model to be replicated model to be replicated throughout the regionthroughout the region
e-Businesse-Business
Multi-stakeholder PartnershipsMulti-stakeholder Partnershipsfor SEEfor SEE
PrivatePrivateSectorSector
InternationalInternationalCommunityCommunity
AcademiaAcademia
GovernmentGovernment
The Global Information Technology Report 2005 – 2006The Global Information Technology Report 2005 – 2006 (World Economic Forum)(World Economic Forum)
European Information Technology Observatory 2006European Information Technology Observatory 2006
The Economic Impact of IT The Economic Impact of IT (IDC)(IDC)
Further ReadingFurther Reading
2005 GLOBAL PC SOFTWARE PIRACY
PIRACY RATES PIRACY LOSSESCountry 2005 2004 2003 2005 $M 2004 $M 2003 $M Bosnia 69% 70% 13$ 12$ Bulgaria 71% 71% 71% 41$ 33$ 26$ Croatia 57% 58% 59% 51$ 50$ 45$ Macedonia 70% 72% 9$ 8$ Romania 72% 74% 73% 111$ 62$ 49$ Serbia/Montenegro81% 81% 104$ 93$ Slovenia 50% 51% 52% 33$ 37$ 32$ TOTAL SEE 67% 68% 64% 362$ 295$ 152$