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2EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Evolution of the weekly EUaverage price for Broiler
150
160
170
180
190
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012
3EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Percentual change of Broiler prices June 2012
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
- 1 year
- 1 month
4EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Price of Basic Ingredients 2009 - 2012
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil Oct Jan-12 April Juil
Euro
/ to
nne Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
5EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 & 2012)
120
150
180
210
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan2012
| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
€u
ro/
To
nn
01 Nearby
2012 Nov
2013 Jan
2013 Mar
Delivery:
6EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 - 2012)
160
180
200
220
240
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan2012
| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
€/T
on
n
01 Nearby
2012 Aug
2012 Nov
2013 Mar
Delivery:
Since Nov. 201130% increase
7EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2011 & 2012)
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
1 600
| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan2012
| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
01 Nearby
2012 Jul
2012 Aug
2012 Nov
2013 Mar
Delivery:
since Dec 2011 50% increase
8EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Eu
ro
/ T
(fe
ed
)
Eu
ro
/ 1
00
kg
(B
ro
ile
r)
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2007 - 2011
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from March Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from May
9EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
10EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn
0
150 000
300 000
450 000
600 000
750 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
0
150
300
450
600
750
Realis
ed
sla
ug
hte
r
in 1
000 T
Forecast Realised Poultry slaughter
11EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 11
Brazil 679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 587 404 71.0% 231 698 69.6% - 4%
Thailand 146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 154 229 18.6% 67 337 20.2% - 1%
Chile 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 34 276 4.3% 44 306 5.4% 17 830 5.4% + 4%
China 15 0.0% 5 690 0.6% 9 997 1.2% 13 735 1.7% 5 598 1.7% - 4%
Argentina 20 416 2.3% 20 576 2.3% 15 760 2.0% 15 630 1.9% 5 617 1.7% + 4%
Israel 6 252 0.7% 5 470 0.6% 7 249 0.9% 7 084 0.9% 1 750 0.5% - 15%
Croatia 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 2 650 0.3% 2 714 0.3% 1 101 0.3% + 4%
USA 393 0.0% 386 0.0% 439 0.1% 99 0.0% 99 0.0% + 575%
Uruguay 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 2 0.0% 7 0.0% 1 0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27 891 087 875 886 803 120 827 420 332 879
% change - 2% - 8% + 3% - 2.4%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-May 122011
12EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Imports of selected Poultry products
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
100 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
in Tonnes cwe
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
13EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU Poultry meat ImportI MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU
( Tonnes cwe)
238 148 240 658 231 698
59 321 67 904 67 337
2 392
326 137340 944 332 879
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
Tonn
es c
w
Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons
I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)
471 213 502 957 503 467
221 935286 098 300 731
768 405
880 117 905 491
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
1000EUR
Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons
14EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected DestinationsCompared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 11
Hong Kong 58 669 6.0% 88 357 8.7% 151 529 12.0% 188 366 13.4% 67 096 11.4% - 16%
Saudi Arabia 95 132 9.7% 97 485 9.6% 118 010 9.3% 151 247 10.7% 59 446 10.1% - 7%
Benin 83 405 8.5% 84 885 8.4% 115 022 9.1% 126 006 8.9% 50 468 8.6% + 4%
Russia 230 113 23.4% 227 555 22.4% 245 429 19.4% 115 025 8.2% 42 929 7.3% - 1%
Ukraine 112 443 11.4% 89 314 8.8% 86 028 6.8% 81 735 5.8% 37 536 6.4% + 33%
Ghana 31 530 3.2% 28 689 2.8% 41 094 3.3% 68 953 4.9% 27 802 4.7% + 15%
Yemen 26 673 2.7% 36 331 3.6% 39 628 3.1% 37 970 2.7% 17 446 3.0% + 9%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21 386 2.2% 20 893 2.1% 27 748 2.2% 29 960 2.1% 12 849 2.2% + 15%
Switzerland 28 201 2.9% 28 111 2.8% 29 804 2.4% 29 270 2.1% 11 863 2.0% - 3%
Vietnam 39 488 4.0% 39 971 3.9% 31 661 2.5% 29 086 2.1% 11 816 2.0% - 11%
Malaysia 17 888 1.8% 22 676 2.2% 25 895 2.0% 20 965 1.5% 11 610 2.0% + 48%
U.A.Emirates 25 858 2.6% 24 429 2.4% 20 231 1.6% 21 122 1.5% 9 740 1.7% - 25%
EXTRA EU 25/27 982 285 1 015 639 1 264 120 1 410 658 587 385
% change + 3% + 24% + 12% + 6.2%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-May 122011
15EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
2010 |J an11
2011 |J an12
i nTonnes
cwe
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
16EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU Poultry meat ExportEU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat
( Tonnes cwe)
50 830 80 205 67 096
55 203
59 44640 323
48 618 50 46866 748
43 415 42 929
232 690
294 275312 244
64 209
438 189
553 204587 385
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
Tonn
es c
w
Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a
Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons
EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)
48 747 65 760 72 076
60 801
79 54543 726
57 05368 90752 06165 836
329 546
419 579
451 735
98 172
545 242
712 263
798 900
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
10
00
E
UR
Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a
Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons
17EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
302277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891 876
803827
333
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
867
9821 016
1 264
1 411
587
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-May12
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
I MPORTS EXPORTS
18EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Cumulated quantity of weekly requests
for Export licenses in the Poultrymeat sectorfor Gatt year 2012 - 2013.
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
400.000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51w eek
ton
nes
Cumulated attributions
Average available
19EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
€uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/ 10 Rupee
1
3
5
7
I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I
source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm
India RBRZ RealUSA $
20EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Broiler prices The EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
50,00
75,00
100,00
125,00
150,00
175,00
08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave w orld)
2001 2002 2003 2004
20052006 2007 2008
2009 2010 2011 2012
EU Market Situation for Eggs
Management Committee 21 June 2012
22EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption
85
105
125
145
165
185
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
Price
Pack
ers
sta
tion
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012
23EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Percentual change of Egg prices June 2012
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
- 1 year- 1 month
24EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2012
0
40
80
120
160
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51
€u
ro/ 100kg
EU Low difference Eggs for Consumption US High breaking
86,7% increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 28 201240% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 27 2012
25EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 ja fe mr ap m jn jl au se oc no de
Euro
/ 10
0kg
marge
feed
egg
Avg Margin
26EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
0
7 500
15 000
22 500
30 000
37 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
27EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
4 000
5 500
7 000
8 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
0
40
80
120
160
Pric
e €
uro
/10
0k
g
28EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 11
USA 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 13 439 42.9% 5 417 28.4% 7 431 41.9% + 168%
Argentina 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 7 888 25.2% 7 898 41.5% 5 790 32.7% + 100%
Mexico 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 425 4.5% 556 2.9% 1 017 5.7% + 2129%
Albania 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 3 208 10.2% 1 303 6.8% 735 4.1% + 219%
India 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 3 211 10.2% 1 505 7.9% 560 3.2% - 5%
Israel 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 941 3.0% 547 2.9% 523 3.0% + 70%
Canada 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 2 0.0% 0 0.0% 344 1.9%
Brazil 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 20 0.1%
EXTRA EU 25/27 22 850 30 409 31 356 19 045 17 727
% change + 33% + 3% - 39% + 128.8%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-May 122011
EU Imports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
29EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU Egg ImportsTotal EU Import of Eggs (Tonnes eggs
equiv) incl. Hatch. Eggs.
8 957
2 775
7 431
4 051
2 888
5 790
2 520
1 268
2 867
18 226
7 749
17 727
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons
Total EU Import of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs.
8 4565 441
19 9053 205
2 338
4 506
1 678
3 176
15 771
9 853
34 072
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
J an- May 10 J an- May 11 J an- May 12
USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons
30EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
2010 |J an11
2011 |J an12
i n Tonnes egg equi v.
FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng
31EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 11
Japan 62 254 33% 47 238 31% 52 923 29% 65 982 30% 25 285 27% - 7%
Sw itzerland 44 229 24% 43 499 29% 45 107 25% 42 152 19% 19 050 20% + 1%
Russia 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 5 293 3% 4 947 2% 11 903 13% + 549%
Angola 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 10 227 6% 17 498 8% 6 373 7% - 3%
Libya 0 0% 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 3 534 4%
Thailand 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 6 180 3% 7 254 3% 2 401 3% - 9%
Ukraine 7 250 4% 4 304 3% 5 693 3% 4 422 2% 2 073 2% + 23%
Taiw an 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 7 145 4% 7 941 4% 1 852 2% - 34%
South Korea 1 859 1% 1 948 1% 2 495 1% 4 379 2% 1 159 1% - 23%
U.A.Emirates 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 5 864 3% 8 262 4% 1 051 1% - 76%
Norw ay 1 805 1% 963 1% 570 0% 1 300 1% 897 1% + 154%
Israel 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 1 308 1% 2 729 1% 361 0% - 72%
EXTRA EU 25/27 187 209 150 173 181 682 216 447 95 144
% change - 20% + 21% + 19% + 7.1%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-May 122011
EU Exports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)
32EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
Total EU Export of Eggs (T. eggs equiv.) Incl. Hatch. Eggs
19 15827 093 25 285
19 85918 773 19 050
16 141
34 510
29 057
11 903
58 462
88 82695 144
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
100 000
110 000
Jan-May 10 Jan-May 11 Jan-May 12
Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations
Total EU Export of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs
13 547 18 048 19 496
28 909 25 049 29 262
17 39232 585
65 674
39 63862 930
83 506
172 576
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
200 000
Jan-May 10 Jan-May 11 Jan-May 12
Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations
EU Egg Exports
33EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s ( i ncl udi ng Hat chi ng eggs)
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
2010 |J an11
2011 |J an12
i n Tonnes egg equi v.
FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng
34EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 19 July 2012
1018
23 18 1727
16
30
69
25 3039
45
2330 31
19 18
144
164
186
209
231
201 205
191
142
198 198202
167
187
150
182
216
95
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-May12
i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS
EU Egg Trade Balance