Post on 20-Jul-2020
transcript
windeurope.org
Europ e a n w indp owe r
Pierre Tardieu Chief Policy Officer WindEurope
W ind Europ e : Re p re se nt ingt he w hole wind ind us t ry
W ind t urb ine manufact urers
Power ut ilit ies
W ind farm developers
Financia l services
Component manufact urers
+ Nat ional w ind associat ions
Research inst it ut es
Inst a llat ion / logist ics
4 5 0MEMBERS
e.g.
e.g.
e.g.
e.g.
e.g.
e.g.
e.g.
16 9 GW24%
24%
13%
12%
8%
5%
5%19%
14%
44%
21% 9%
11%6%
10%3
19
5
23
4
5
7
3
9
33
6
56
143
GW installed
Penetration
11%
0.5
W ind p owe r a cross Europ e
12 % of 2 0 17 EU p owe r
d e m a nd
5%2
2 nd la rge s t p owe r ca p a cit y in t he EU
2 0 17 key f igures
12 .5 GW onshore w ind
3 .1 GW of fshore w ind
15 .6 GW installed in EU13 turbines/ day 55% of new
power generat ion
2 0 17 p owe r ca p a cit y a d d it ions
2 0 17 a d d it ions a nd d e com m iss ions
Annua l ins t a lla t ions
6 ,5 7,18 ,6 8 ,1
9 ,7 9 ,0 8 ,910 ,9
10 ,0 10 ,5 9 ,811,5
12 ,50 ,10 ,1
0 ,30 ,3
0 ,60 ,9 0 ,8
1,21,6
1,5 3 ,01,6
3 .1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GW
Annual gross capacity addit ions
onshore offshore
2 0 17 ca p a cit y a d d it ions6 countries had record installations
Count r ies w ith record year
P rovid ing b a se loa d p owe r
European wind energy generation in 2017
Belgium
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17)
Portugal
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17)
UK
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17)
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17) Germany
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17) Central West
Europe
W ind Powe r va r ia b ilit y (16 De ce m b e r 2 0 17)
Re cord ne w ca p a cit y fina nce d in 2 0 17
8 ,1 6 ,5 6 ,7 7,2
12 ,3 13 ,1 9 ,3
14 ,8 8 ,4 6 ,1 5 ,0
7,2
8 ,8
13 ,1 18 ,2
7,5
8 ,9
6 ,3 5 ,8 6 ,7
10 ,0 9 ,7 10 ,3 11,5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
10
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
2 0 10 2 0 11 2 0 12 2 0 13 2 0 14 2 0 15 2 0 16 2 0 17
New
cap
acity
fina
nced
(GW
)
New
ass
ets
finan
ced
(€bn
)
Onshore Wind Offshore Wind New Capacity FinancedSource: W indEurope
- 19 %
+12 %
Cost re d uct ion: Onshore w ind
0,0
2 0 ,0
4 0 ,0
6 0 ,0
8 0 ,0
10 0 ,0
12 0 ,0
14 0 ,0
IT- 2 0 13 IT- 2 0 13 IT- 2 0 14 UK- 2 0 15 IT- 2 0 16 ES- 2 0 17 DE- 2 0 17 ES- 2 0 17 DE- 2 0 17 TR- 2 0 17
€/M
Wh
St r ike pr ices in auct ions
P r ice re d uct ion: Offshore w ind
15614 5
12 4 12 2
10 2
786 9 6 8
6 2
8 5
6 5 6 5
2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017
Walneyextension
Race Bank East Anglia BorkumRiffgrund
Horns Rev III BorsseleI & II
Krigers Flak BorsseleIII & IV
Cluster 1 TritonKnoll
Hornsea II Moray
W he re is t he m oney going?
Source: W indEurope
1,5
0 ,6
0 ,6
0 ,7
0 ,7
0 ,8
1,0
1,0
1,2
2,6
5.0
6 .7
Others
Serbia
Norway
Ireland
Greece
Italy
Spain
France
Russia
Sweden
UK
Germany Onshore
Offshore
2 0 17 ca p a cit y a d d it ions
Persistent geographic concentration
0%
10 %
2 0 %
3 0 %
4 0 %
5 0 %
6 0 %
70 %
8 0 %
9 0 %
10 0 %
2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 10 2 0 11 2 0 12 2 0 13 2 0 14 2 0 15 2 0 16 2 0 17
Ge rm a ny Ibe ria n p e ninsula , Ita ly & Gre e ce Fra nce & Be ne lux
Nord ics & Aus tria UK & Ire la nd Ce ntra l a nd Ea s te rn Europe
Germany 42%
2 0 17 ca p a cit y a d d it ions
Persistent geographic concentration
0%
10 %
2 0 %
3 0 %
4 0 %
5 0 %
6 0 %
70 %
8 0 %
9 0 %
10 0 %
2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 10 2 0 11 2 0 12 2 0 13 2 0 14 2 0 15 2 0 16 2 0 17
Ge rm a ny Ibe ria n p e ninsula , Ita ly & Gre e ce Fra nce & Be ne lux
Nord ics & Aus tria UK & Ire la nd Ce ntra l a nd Ea s te rn Europe
UK & IE 30%
2 0 17 ca p a cit y a d d it ions
Persistent geographic concentration
0%
10 %
2 0 %
3 0 %
4 0 %
5 0 %
6 0 %
70 %
8 0 %
9 0 %
10 0 %
2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 10 2 0 11 2 0 12 2 0 13 2 0 14 2 0 15 2 0 16 2 0 17
Ge rm a ny Ibe ria n p e ninsula , Ita ly & Gre e ce Fra nce & Be ne lux
Nord ics & Aus tria UK & Ire la nd Ce ntra l a nd Ea s te rn Europe
France & Benelux 14%
24
Europ e ’s offshorew ind fa rm s
3 ,14 8 MW inst a lle d & gr id - conne ct e d
2 0 17 is a re cord ye a r
UK1,68 0 MW
Germany1,250 MW
Belgium165 MW
Finland60 MW
France2 MW
Const ruct ion sum m a ry2 0 17
Work ca rrie d out in 2 5 offshore wind
fa rm s
13 offshore wind fa rm s we re g rid
conne ct e d
One s it e wa s fully d e com m iss ione d
15 MW
5.9 MW21% larger than in 2016
Turb ine s a re ge t t ing la rge r…
Source: W indEurope
Ye a rly a ve ra ge of ne wly- ins t a lle d offshore wind turb ine ra t e d ca p a city
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
GW
onshore offshore Low High Ce ntra l
2 0 2 0 out look
Out look t o 2 0 2 2
-
5 0 0
1.0 0 0
1.5 0 0
2 .0 0 0
2 .5 0 0
3 .0 0 0
3 .5 0 0
4 .0 0 0
4 .5 0 0
2 0 18 2 0 19 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 2 2
Inst
alle
d ca
paci
ty (M
W)
UK
Ge rm a ny
Ne the rla nds
Fra nce
Be lgium
De nm a rk
Ita ly
Portuga l
-
1.0 0 0
2 .0 0 0
3 .0 0 0
4 .0 0 0
5 .0 0 0
6 .0 0 0
2 0 2 1 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 3 2 0 2 4 2 0 2 5 2 0 2 6 2 0 2 7 2 0 2 8 2 0 2 9 2 0 3 0
Ann
ual I
nsta
lled
capa
city
(2
02
1-2
030
)
UNITED KINGDOM NETHERLANDSGERMANY FRANCEDENMARK BELGIUMMiss ing ca p a city to re a ch 6 GW ta rge t
Opt imal target of 6 GW/ yr
Out look t o 2 0 3 0
0
5 0
10 0
15 0
2 0 0
2 5 0
3 0 0
3 5 0
4 0 0
4 5 0
200
52
006
200
72
008
200
92
010
201
12
012
201
32
014
201
52
016
201
72
018
201
92
020
202
12
022
202
32
024
202
52
026
202
72
028
202
92
030
GW
Onshore Offshore Low High
Cum ula t ive ins t a lla t ions by 2 0 3 0
3 2 3 GWof w ind in t he cent ra l scenar io
397 GW of w ind in the high scenario
256 GW of w ind in the low scenario
2030Sha re of w ind in t he EU’s p owe r d e m a nd
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 8 0%
SloveniaHungarySlovakia
LuxembourgMalta
Czech RepublicBulgaria
ItalyFinland
LatviaAustriaCroat ia
LithuaniaSweden
RomaniaCyprusPolandFranceGreece
BelgiumSpain
UKPortugal
GermanyNetherlands
EstoniaIreland
Denmark
EU28
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2030
EU share = 29 .6%
Top 8Denmark 73%Ireland 67%Estonia 58 %Netherlands 50%Germany 46%Portugal 39%UK 38 %Spain 34%
Policy re com m e nd a t ions
3 5 % re ne wa b le e ne rgy t a rge t
+ €92bn of investments+ 132,000 jobs
Rob ust Na t iona l Ene rgy a nd Clim a t e Act ion p la ns
Vis ib ilit y
Gua ra nt e e s of Orig in
RE- Source P la t formPromoting a better framework for renewable energy sourcing
at EU and national level
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