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FAO-OEA/CIE-IICA Working Group on Agricultural and Livestock Statistics for Latin America and the Caribbean (25th Session)
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil,10-12 November 2009
Statistics Division
Global Strategy for the Improvement of Agricultural Statistics
Overview of the presentation
What is the global strategy? Why do we need a global strategy? Key components of the strategy Governance to meet strategic goals Worldwide consultation on the Strategy Capacity building and the way forward
What is the global the Global Strategy? An initiative of the United Nations Statistical Commission
(UNSC) = apex entity of the global statistical system; Partnership between International Agencies, developed and
developing countries 2 intergovernmental process for its adoption:
UNSC and National Statistical Offices FAO Governing Bodies and Ministries of Agriculture
Long-term plan to respond to the statistical needs of the 21st century (a living document)
Feasible and sustainable for developing countries Basis for a renewed initiative of capacity building in agricultural
statistics: mobilization of resources
Decisions of the 40th UN Statistical Commission A global strategy is needed to meet the increasing demand for
information at both the international and country levels; Agricultural and rural statistics are essential for policymaking
and Agricultural Ministries have an important role to play in the compilation of agricultural statistics;
FAO should lead the development of the global strategy, involving the Ministries of Agriculture through its governing bodies;
A Friends of the Chair group (FoC) is established to steer the process, with FAO and the United Nations Statistics Division serving as secretariat;
Friends of the Chair group to report back on the progress made to the UNSC at its 41st session.
Actions taken by FAO
Facilitating the creation of the Friends of the Chair group of the UN Statistical Commission
Working with partners to prepare the background document Organizing a series of meetings in which the new global
strategy on Agricultural Statistics will be reviewed
Members of the FoC Group of the UNSC
Brazil (chair) Australia China Cuba Ethiopia Italy Morocco Philippines Russian Federation Trinidad and Tobago Uganda USA
FAO (secretariat) UNSD (secretariat) EUROSTAT (observer) World Bank (observer)
Preparation of the background document ESS working closely with other international development
partners (World Bank, African Development Bank, EUROSTAT, PARIS21, UN Statistics Division, US Dept of Agriculture)
ESS coordinating input from all FAO Departments with substantial statistical work
A draft of the Global Strategy was discussed at a Satellite Meeting of the ISI, Maputo, 13-14 August 2009
Detailed review and validation of the Strategy by more than 100 Senior experts from all regions
A more strategic document explaining the process followed and the steps ahead of us is available for this meeting and will be discussed at the FAO Conference, 18-23 Nov. 2009
Seminar with FAO Permanent Representatives, Rome, 22 June 2009
Satellite Meeting of the ISI, Maputo 13-14 August 2009 FAO Regional Consultations (Bangkok, Accra, Rio de Janeiro) PARIS21 Consortium Meeting, Dakar, 16-18 November 2009 The FAO Conference, Rome, 18-23 November 2009 UN Statistical Commission, February 2010, for final endorsement Implementation plan of the Global Strategy will be prepared in
2010
Meetings to discuss the strategy
Why do we need a global strategy?
Basic data requirements are not met, especially in devel. countries
countries’ capacity in agricultural statistics declined since early ’80s declining resources allocated to agricultural statistics by countries
and development partners (low priority) Emerging data needs (impact of agr. on environment; investment
in agr.; biofuels; water and land use, etc.) Need of a new conceptual framework
Agricultural statistics not integrated in the National Statistical System
Lack of coordination between NSO & Min. of Agriculture National Statistical Plan do not cover agricultural stat.
Lack of sound basis for agricultural development and food security policy formulation, implementation, monitoring and evaluation
Response rates low & declining
--Percentage Response to FAO by region-- Region
Production Land use Machinery
Europe 66 71 64 Asia & Pacific 63 32 33 Americas 38 17 28
Africa 34 13 13 Near East 37 37
Current status of agricultural statistics
Declining number of countries reporting basic production
Loss of statistical capacity Agriculture left out of National Strategies for
Development of Statistics Duplicative efforts-conflicting numbers Forestry, fisheries outside national and agricultural
systems
Statistics current statusThe Dilemma – who does what?
National Statistics Offices Ministry – Departments of
Agriculture Land Management/Natural
Resources Agencies Marketing Boards/ Commissions Health, education agencies Development efforts by donors,
WB
Each Collects data for own usewith results that
do not alwaysagree – and limited
ability toshare data
Assessment of Agricultural Statistics
The assessment remains to be completed Need for a standard assessment framework
similar to the one used for the national statistical system
The scope of capacity building initiatives will depend on the assessment of the statistical system to meet the requirements of the global strategy
Data requirements andConceptual Framework
Menu of indicatorsMinimum set of“core-national”
Data items
Integrate Agriculture into
National statistics System
Methodology to Integrate
Agriculture
MasterSampleFrame
IntegratedData Base
Integrated SurveyFramework
Governance and Statistical Capacity Building
Key components of the Global Strategy
Conceptual Framework
Natural Environment,
(climate, soil, water)
Output andUtilization
Food, feed, seed,Fiber, Etc.
Inputs to Production
(labor, capital, land,
Feed, seed, Etc.)
Socio-economic,Political
(Households, holdings’enterprises
InstitutionalFramework
(Markets, governmentGlobal economy)
Outcomes andResults
(National income,Food security)
The production process(growing crops, raising livestock,
Fish capture, timber removals)
Conceptual Framework
Based on good understanding of the user requirements Provides a ‘roadmap’ for the development of Agr.
statistics. Not methodological guidance nor stipulate what should be produced by countries
Facilitates the integration, and therefore the comparability, of statistics
Components: Scope, Data elements, Organization, Coverage, Units and Classifications
Conceptual Framework: Components Scope: should cover not only economic but also social and
environmental dimensions; Data Items: linking items from different dimensions Organization: SNA for the economic statistics; SEEA for
environmental statistics; Social statistics? SAM? Wye Handbook?
Coverage: all activities within the scope of agricultural statistics without any cut-offs on the basis of size, importance, location etc.
Units: economic statistics = farm business; social statistics = household; environmental statistics = land parcel.
Classifications: ISIC = agricultural activities; CPC = agricultural commodities; ISCO = agricultural occupations; Classifications of land + forest cover and land use
Menu of Data Items
Meets basic and emerging requirements: Metadata to estimate each indicator, sources, Technical notes/ classifications, etc More than any one country can do annually
Shows where data are overlapping (crop production/ land/water use/ input use, etc.)
Determine a minimum subset of core all countries agree to provide annually
Evaluate national needs to select additional items, determine frequency
Choice of Core Data Items for International Reporting
About 15 major commodities account for over 95 percent of world production Production, prices, trade,--balances Value added, food security, productivity Land, water use Plus Forestry, aquaculture & fishery
Major economic variables Labor, household income, agricultural income inputs,
demographics, consumption
Additional Items for National Statistical System
Factors to determine inclusion of additional crops and livestock items. Ranking of items by: Percent of land/water use Percent value of production Percent of HH/enterprises producing Distributions by size Scale—affect on environment, climate Permanent or temporary
Census of Population
And Housing
AreaFrame/ classifiedBy land use viaRemote sensing
Rural HH
Farm HH
AgCensus
Master Sampling Frame
Primary SamplingUnits
Villages/clusters
SampleGridspoints
Geo reference
NonHouseholdEnterprises
CensusEnumeration
areas
Developing Master Sampling Frame
Annual Survey(s) core & NationalHousehold holdings & enterprises
Periodic surveys,(2-5 year cycles)
QuarterlySemi-
AnnualMonthly
Supply and utilization, income, &Environmental accounts,
Food Balances, etc.
CommunitySurveys
WindshieldSurveys
AdministrativeData
RemoteSensing
Agribusinesses
IntegratedData Bases
Integrated Data collection & Survey Framework
Integrated data bases
Data Warehouse of Official Macro Statistics Harmonized definitions and classifications Each item appear one time; i.e. one official number
for everything from population, GDP, to maize forecast or production.
Micro data—long term view Connect across surveys & over time Increase analytical capabilities
The governance challenge
How coordinate efforts of Ministries of Agriculture, National Statistical Offices, and others?
Who does what—Master sample frame, Integrated Survey Frame work, Integrated data base?
Starting point—form a Statistical Council Build off strengths of each stakeholder
Technical expertise Subject matter knowledge
The governance challenge
Role of national organizations Add agriculture (forestry and fisheries) to National
Strategies for Development of Statistics Focus fund raising on national statistical system
Role of international organizations Focus capacity building and support for statistics on
overall national statistical system Centers of excellence-statistics (e.g. remote sensing)
Role of Donors Work with Statistical Council instead of separate
sectors
Capacity Building Challenge
Building the basic statistical infrastructure (frames; master samples; etc.)
Education and training on statistical methodology, technology (GPS), remote sensing
Data analysis—how to use the data to answer policy questions?
Build a sustainable system
Areas needing further research
Crop yield forecasts and estimates Multi-cropping Root crops Use of remote sensing with ground truth
Sampling and survey methodology for integrated survey framework
Use of remote sensing to monitor land use-early warning capabilities
Geo referencing survey data with satellite digitized frame Multi-purpose statistical framework about the
interrelationships between the economy, environment and society for agriculture and rural development
Worldwide Consultation on the Strategy National input—Min of AG, National Statistical Offices & other
stakeholders Review and update National Strategies for Development of
Statistics International input from stakeholders
ISI Satellite meeting on agricultural statistics Global written consultation 4 Task Teams of the FOC to revise key parts of the document:
conceptual framework; menu of indicators; integrated survey framework; assessment framework
Develop final strategy for 2010 UNSC Develop Implementation Plan
Thank you for your attention!