• Body Level One

• Body Level Two

• Body Level Three

• Body Level Four

• Body Level FiveDrPatrickDixon

ChairmanGlobalChangeLtdFounderGlobalInnovatorsLtd

TakeHoldoftheFutureHowglobaltrendswillimpactourworldandchangeexecuAveeducaAon/MBAs

ALLBIGTRENDSARERELATED

InsAtuAonalBlindness

to waste on things you do not believe in

LifeistooShort

Whocaresaboutthenewstrategy?

teamsandcustomersneedtofeelitmaMers

Whyshouldtheygrow?

AllleadershipcomesfromourVISIONofabeMerfuture

Complexity and scale

create risks

Title Text

LawsuitswillbefarlargerthanFines

• ClicktoeditMastertextstyles

18

Panama

• ClicktoeditMastertextstyles

20

• ClicktoeditMastertextstyles

21

Strategies and Business School case studies often

overtaken by events

World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting

or redesign a programme

Agility means more than

one strategy or career

Yet many trends changing more

slowly than people think

Cash growing - bank branches continue -

music - fashion - food, homes - classrooms -books - where are all 3D TVs and robots?

3D scans - 3D printing

WGP2005-2014(%,constantprices)

VietnamGDP1985-2011

$3.4trillion

>>$2.4trillion

Reserves

One word will dominate all

FUTURE

The future is about

EMOTION

85% of world population will

be living in emerging markets

in 10 years

1 billion will migrate over next 30 years

Science,technologyengineering,

maths

MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets

ChinaandIndiadominate

STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs

EuropeDying4couplestoproducesinglegreatgrandchild

1millionover90yearoldsinItalyin12yearsAme

Title Text• Body Level One

– Body Level Two

• Body Level Three

– Body Level Four

» Body Level Five

!55

Can we stop ageing ?

•Pigsteethgrowninsiderats•Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum

Grow New Teeth

Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells

Slowornoageinginanimals->pensions Japanwomengain15minutesoflifeexpectancyeveryhour

• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales

• No signs of getting old

TRIBES

TEAMS

OWNERS

!67

Demandforunusualvenuesisgrowing

Little Data often matters

most

Big Data = PatternLittle Data = Person

Night Flight or Day Flight Going out or coming home? – work, food, drink,

chat, party, unwind, dark, quiet, sleep, leave

Predict failure - detect error repair automatically

!75

VAST SCALE

AcrossEU,10grocerscapture50%ofsales

World too small for more than:

2 airline manufacturers3 mobile operating systems

10 large pharma5 large auto companies

Consolidation means fewer, larger, business school clients

and more in-house exec ed

8%wageinflaAoninChinapartoffsetbycurrencyfall

• Body Level One

• Body Level Two

• Body Level Three

• Body Level Four

• Body Level Five

Shorter global supply chains

Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but now growing

LESS than production

NearshoringBoom

LocaAonMarkeAng

REALLYMATTERS

FromMARKETINGcampaigntoALWAYS-ON

CONVERSATION

93

94

1.5m components tracked perfectly in Airbus supply chain

250millionwearabledevicesby2023

$20bnto$70bnby2025

99

Payments to home by migrants

are driving Innovation

Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / payHigher income model

201020132015

TelcoBanks

• 90%MicrosohR&D• SalesForceR&D>$3bnpa

CLOUD

103

WebofThings-BigData-Cloud180bnspamemailsaday

600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeople’sdetailslostinsingleaMack70%largecorporaAonshavebeenhacked

100,000aMacksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007

WorriesaboutUS,Russia,ChinapenetraAonofweb/cloudfollowingPrism

• ClicktoeditMastertextstyles

106

All true innovation is radical and divergent

Benchmarking is toxic to risk management

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

Shale gas oversupply US petrochem boom

$135bn will be invested soon in 215

new plants

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert

Output up 10% in 2014

75% global growth in green energy is in China

• InJune2013electricitypricesin

Meeting full capacity of Tesla new factory will require entire global

output of lithium batteries

CO2 emissions stable for 24

months of global economic growth

to waste on things you do not believe in

LifeistooShort

Compliance alone is dead: keeps execs out of prison but

cannot protect brand or careers, and is no guide to future ethics

Fastwaytodestroyshareholdervalueis

tofocusonit

LessonfromNon-Profitsforeverybusinessschool

Connectwithallthepassionspeoplehaveandtheywillfollowyoutotheendsoftheearth,

promotewhatyoudowithpride,andmayevenbewillingtoworkfor

youfornexttonothing

AllleadershipcomesfromVISIONofabeMerfuture

BuildingaBeMerWorldpurposeofeverybusinessschool

andofallgreatbusiness

• Body Level One

• Body Level Two

• Body Level Three

• Body Level Four

• Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon

Chairman Global Change Ltd

globalchange.com@patrickdixon