Global Warming and Florida;Global Warming and Florida; What What youyou can do about it. can do about it.

UF, School of Building ConstructionAugust 29, 2002

Mark van SoestbergenInternational Carbon Bank and Exchange, Inc.

Carbon DioxideCarbon DioxideCatches infrared waves going into space

Distance between C and O; just right to catch infrared waves.

Gasoline is 85.5% carbonGasoline is 85.5% carbon

                                                                                                

1 gallon of conventional liquid gasoline turns into172 cubic feet / 4.87 cubic meters of CO2.

125 gallon make one ton CO125 gallon make one ton CO22

1 ton of CO2 easily fills up a 19,866 cubic feet / 556 cubic meters container.

                                                                                                   

10 ton CO10 ton CO22 fills Florida Field fills Florida Field 3 foot high 3 foot high

Every year, the average person in the United States produces 20 tons of CO2.

                                                                                                                    

                 

About 3Gt C are added About 3Gt C are added every yearevery year

The Asian brown haze, a cocktail of ash, acids, aerosols and dust that is 3 kilometers thick and now extends over 10 million square kilometres and covers large parts of South Asia, China and Indonesia.

Researchers estimated that breathing New Delhi's air was the equivalent of smoking 20 packets of cigarettes every day.Copyright 2002 IPS-Inter Press Service

Notice the air over the Tibetan Plateau very clear.

Most of this air pollution comes from human activities. The aerosol is notoriously rich in sulfates, nitrates, organic and black carbon, and fly ash.

These particles represent a health hazard to those people living in the region, and have a significant impact on the region's hydrological cycle and climate.Jacques Descloitres, MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA/GSFC 12-04-2001

Image courtesy the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE

01-11-2002

Image courtesy the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE

03-28-2002

Image courtesy the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE

03-29-2002

Provided by the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE

04-19-2001

Provided by the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and ORBIMAGE

08-22-2001

Climate ChangeClimate Changechanges everythingchanges everything

More CO2 changes plant behaviorMore CO2 increases temperature of the

atmosphere, the surface, the earth’s crust and the oceans

Distribution of energy through currents on the planet

Global hydro cycle; rain and moisture

The Coldest Areas The Coldest Areas Warm the MostWarm the Most

Summers will be real Summers will be real scorchersscorchers

FloridaFlorida-Average temperature increase of 5 ~10°F

-July temperature increase of ~ 15°F

-Reversal of summer-wet, winter-dry

-Change in soil / Fire risk

-Vectors

-Tropical diseases

-Sea level rise

-Intensive Storms

-Will happen anyway

Impacts on:

-Insurance

-Agriculture

-Health

-Tourism

-Tax Base

-Economy

Florida +5meter, very likely unavoidable.

Expected sea level increase 21st Century:+ 1.2 meter

Courtesy: PBS

Much reduction is Much reduction is needed to reach stabilityneeded to reach stability

8

4.7

Human emission rate in billion tC/yr

t

Equilibrium

Latent atmospheric C is about 188 billion ton

Emissions the earth absorbs in billion tC/yr

Climate Change:Climate Change:A hundred year problemA hundred year problem

Achieving carbon-neutrality (the switch to clean energy) = 30 years?

Absorption of latent carbon (sequestration) 7% of planet surface = 150 years?

Possible ApproachesPossible Approaches “ “The Big Picture”The Big Picture”

• Do nothing• Strategic adaptation (we move!)• Nuclear• Renewable Energy• Energy Efficiency• Sequestration• Price induced reductions• International Carbon Trading

What can What can you you do?do? Build Green Buildings! Build Green Buildings!

Lights vs Natural LightSolar HeatingSolar Electricity Water and Rain WaterGeo Cooling and HeatingAir DeliveryEnergy Star Products

Buildings consume 1/3 of the energy in the U.S.

How much money and how many emissions since the delivery of Little Hall?

What are the potential savings if it had been green?

$2,458,539

24,716tCO2

Little Hall used 967,700 gallons of water in 2001.

How much water would it use over a hundred year period?

96,770,000 gallons

If 10 tons CO2 fills Florida Field by 3 feet, how high would Little Hall’s stack of CO2 be?

200.4 feet

UF GHG Emission Projections

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000

1999

2000

2001

2002

2006

2012

tCO

2 BAU

Green

Annual budget vs electrical

- UM 470million/6million = 1.3%

- UCF 578million/9million = 1.6%

- UF 1,857million/26million = 1.4%

UF is planning to grow by 16% over the next 10 years..

What are the potential annual GHG and dollar savings if all new buildings are Green and operate at 50%?

2001 = 264,000tCO2 2012 = 307,000tCO2 BAU

1tCO2 reduction also saves $83 in MWh

21,000 tCO2 and $1,743,000 per year

How much over a hundred years?

2,100,000 tCO2 and $174,300,000

Conclusion:

Green Buildings save MONEY Green Buildings save the environment Green Buildings make for happy campers &

increase productivity

What will you be doing over the next few years?

Make Green Buildings!!

U.S. commitment under KyotoU.S. commitment under Kyoto

Regardless, somebody has to initiate action.

Links and ResourcesLinks and Resources

http://www.icbe.com/uf_audit/ http://www.ucar.edu/learn/1_1_1.htm http://www.ucsusa.org/environment/gulf.html http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/visitorcenter/lists.html http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/warming/ http://www.icbe.com/carbondatabase/reductions.asp http://www.climatesafe.com/intro/intro_flash.asp http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/advsearch.html

Contact ICBEContact ICBE

- Nice meeting all of you!

Mark van Soestbergenmark@icbe.com

352 367 1144 tel

352 335 9140 fax

Toward Climate Stability™