GUJARAT PRE POLL PARLIAMENTARY

SURVEY

PRESENTED TO:MR.ADITYA K V

GUJARAT

• The Gujarat Vidhan Sabha ( ગુ�જરા�ત વિ�ધા�ન સભા�) or the Gujarat Legislative Assembly is the unicameral legislature of the Indian state of Gujarat.

• It is situated in the capital Gandhinagar. The first was elected in 1962.Presently, 182 members of the Legislative Assembly are directly elected from the single-seat constituencies and one member is nominated.

• In 1962 the first Gujarat Legislative Assembly was elected with 154 seats.

• In 1966 the number was raised to 166. In 1971 the number was raised to 182.

• In 1976 the government imposed a moratorium on further changes until after the results of the 2001 census were tallied.

SURVEY

• Speaker of the assembly – Vajubhai Rudabhai

• Chief minister – Narendra Modi• Voting system – first-pass-the-post• Last election – 2007• Our survey (questionnaire) is done through

social media integration.• Pages visited on facebook– gujarati blogs,

modi nu gujrat, bharatiya janata party, ahmedabad etc.

• Total number of respondents - 157

QUESTIONNAIRE

• Survey form link: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1rz74sxZfIrIonFiwc8TFtmnlYQPT-m0AHe--4F2yBH8/viewform

RESULTS & FINDINGS

GENDER

Male 117 75%

Female 40 25%

LEVEL OF EDUCATION REACHED

Literate-no formal education

16 10%

Primary 4 Middle School

3 2%

High School 17 11%

College-no degree

35 22%

College-degree & above

60 38%

Post graduate

29 18%

DEDUCTION

• H0 = preference to vote is not decided by level of education

• Ha = preference to vote is decided by level of education

• Calculated result = H0 accepted. ( through chi-square )

OCCUPATION

Govt. Employee

40 25%

Self Employed

39 24%

Business 44 28%

Housewife

11 7%

Student 14 9%

Pvt. company employee

12 8%

Other 0 0%

OCCUPATION

• H0 = preference is not decided by level of occupation.

• Ha = preference is decided by level of occupation.

• Calculated result = H0 accepted. (through chi-square)

CASTE

SC 11 7%

ST 9 6%

OBC 28 18%

Others 110 70%

DEDUCTION

• H0 = preference to vote is not decided by caste.

• Ha = preference to vote is decided by caste.

• Calculated result = Ha accepted. (through chi-square)

RELIGION

Hindu 97 61%

Muslim 20 13%

Christian 10 6%

Sikh 7 4%

Buddhist 2 1%

Jain 3 2%

Parsi 4 3%

Others 17 11

ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE NEXT YEAR?

Yes 144 91%

No 14 9%

(if no) WHY?

Not likely to be here

18 19%

Do not feel like voting

18 19%

Fear of violence etc.

11 12%

Others (Specify)

48 51%

HAVE YOU MADE UP YOUR MIND ABOUT WHO TO VOTE IN COMING

ELECTION?

Yes 142 89%

No 18 11%

LOKSABHA ELECTION 2009, WERE YOU ABLE TO VOTE?

Yes 125 79%

No 23 14%

Don't remember

11 7%

DEDUCTION

• H0 = preference to vote this year is not decided by vote casted last year.

• Ha = preference to vote this year is decided by vote casted last year.

• Calculated result = H0 accepted. (through P-test)

(IF NO) WHAT WAS THE MAIN REASON?

Not eligible 16 15%

Not included in voter’s list

7 7%

Out of station 8 8%

Not well 14 13%

Did not feel like voting

10 10%

Prevented by some people

6 6%

Somebody had already voted

3 3%

Fear of violence at polling station

3 3%

Any other (Specify)

37 36%

GENERAL CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY IMPROVED, REMAINED SAME

OR WORSENED?

Improved 115 73%

Remained the same

35 22%

Worsened 8 5%

WHICH MATTERS MORE? CANDIDATE OR PARTY?

Party 52 33%

Candidate 34 21%

Both 65 41%

Don't Know/Can’t say

8 5%

OPINION ABOUT PRESENT WORKING OF THE CONGRESS GOVT.

1 42 27%

2 51 32%

3 18 11%

4 33 21%

5 13 8%

WHO WOULD YOU LIKE TO BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER?

Narendra Modi

126 79%

L.K. Advani 6 4%

Sonia Gandhi 6 4%

Rahul Gandhi 12 8%

Manmohan Singh

5 3%

Mulayam Singh Yadav

3 2%

Rajnath Singh

1 1%

DEDUCTION

• H0 = preference is not decided by potential prime minister candidate.

• Ha = preference is decided by potential prime minister candidate.

• Calculated result = Ha accepted. (through chi-square)

WHICH PARTY WILL YOU VOTE FOR IN THE NEXT ELECTIONS?

BJP 139 87%

INC 11 7%

Shiv Sena

2 1%

Others(Specify)

7 4%

CONCLUSION

• As per the poll we conducted, Narendra Modi (BJP) is the most preferred candidate for the next Loksabha elections.

BY:AKSHAY RATURI (1002)

ASHISH CHOUKSEY (1004)CHITRANSH SHRIVASTAVA (1009)

NIHAL SINGH SUHAG (1017)GOKUL KUMAR (1012)

SOMSUBHRA CHATTERJEE (1024)