Halftime HighlightsMinnesota at Mid-

Decade

Minnesota Ranks

•1st in home ownership•2nd in labor force participation•3rd highest in high school completion

•5th lowest poverty rate•9th highest per capita income

Trends in the ’00s

•Population growth comparable to 1990s

•Income growth slow•Job growth slow•Poverty rate higher•Regional disparities widen

Growth Rate of the 1990s Continues in this Decade

1.4%

1.1%

0.7% 0.7%

1.2%1.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the Minnesota State Demographic Center

Average Annual Rates of Growth

Minnesota Average: 5.8% -9.4% to -5.0% -5.0% to .0% .0% to 5.8% 5.8% to 10.0% 10.0% to 29.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State Demographic Center and Metropolitan Council

Rapid Growth in Suburban Counties

Percent change, 2000 to 2005

Peak Population Year

Source: U.S. Census

1920 to 1940 1950 to 1960 1970 to 1980 2000

Deaths Outnumber Births in 30 Counties

-687 to 0 0 to 1,000 1,000 to 10,000 10,000 to 42,967

Net Migration Rate 2000 to 2005

Per 100 Population in 2000

-6.8 to -2.6 -2.6 to -.1 .0 to 7.4 7.4 to 21.5

Median Age Is on the Rise in Minnesota

35.4

34.4

36.336.6

35.6

37.7

Total Males Females

Median age20002005

Source: 2000 Decennial Census; 2005 Census Bureau age estimates

0.7

6.8

-1.2

16.7

4.9

5.0

-4.9

7.9

-2.2

18.6

4.7

4.0

0 to 14

15 to 24

25 to 44

45 to 64

65+

Total

Age group

% change 2000 to 2005

U.S. MinnesotaSource: U.S. Census Bureau estimates

Age Group Trends Are Similar in Minnesota and

U.S.

Latinos are Fastest Growing Population

Source: Census 2000, ACS 2005

7.0

28.9

20.5

24.4

20.4

21.0

2.0

4.0

0 20 40

Total

White

Afr. American

Native Am.

Asian

2 or more races

Latino

Total Minority

PercentData is for race alone.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Source: U.S. Census Bureau estimates

Children and Young Adults Are More Diverse than Older

PeoplePercent non-white or Latino in Minnesota, 2005

U.S.: $34,856

$ 24,820 to $ 30,267

$ 30,267 to $ 32,836

$ 32,836 to $ 36,778

$ 36,778 to $ 54,985

Minnesota’s Income Ranks 9th

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Minnesota $37,373

State: 13.4% .1 to 11.5% 11.5 to 16.0% 16.0 to 19.1% 19.1 to 29.9%

Income Growth Lags in Twin Cities

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

State 2004 Income: $36,184

$21,318 to $26,528 $26,528 to $28,413 $28,413 to $31,999 $32,000 to $48,045

Incomes Highest in MetroSource: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Job Growth Is in ServicesSource: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development

13,7524,530

-12,524

-36820,057

-10,458-19,688

68,832 73,317

Goods Production Loses Jobs

Source: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development

9,712 1,989

-48,344-38,727

All Goods Prod.

Construction

Manufacturing

Ag, For., Fish.

Wage Gains Barely Ahead of Inflation

Source: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development

$651

$770 $736

$898

$785 $755

$912

$795$681

2000 2000 infl. adj. 2005

Minnesota’s Unemployment Rate Lower than Nation’s

4.0%

4.8%

5.8% 6.0%5.5%

5.1%

4.0%4.6%4.8%

4.5%

3.1%

3.8%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

U.S. Minnesota

Unemployment Highest in NorthSource: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development

Minnesota Unemployment Rate 4.0%

3.0% to 4.0%

4.0% to 6.0%

6.0% to 9.9%

Labor Force Growth Slower in the 2000s

Average annual growth in labor force

1.3

1.6

1.0

1.6

1.3

0.9

1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2005

Minnesota U.S.

Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development

Commute Times Highest in Metro But Little Change Since

2000Source: Congressional Districts, Census 2000, ACS 2005

21.119.2

21.9

17.7

24.320.8

23.321.323.925.3

23.12118.8

22.2

18.5

26.821.323.1

05

1015202530

Dist.1

Dist.

2

Dist.

3

Dist.

4

Dist.

5

Dist.

6

Dist.

7

Dist.

8

Min

neso

ta

Min

ute

s

2000 2005

Minnesota Average Commute Time was 22.2 (+/– 0.2 minutes) in 2005, 21.9 in 2000.

Enrollments are Lower in Elementary Grades

Public School Enrollment by Grade

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Source: Minnesota Department of Education

Minnesota High School Graduation Rates Rise

SlightlyRatio of graduates to 10th graders 3 years before

0.827

0.832

0.836

0.8470.852

2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005

Source: Minnesota Department of Education

Degrees Awarded by Minnesota Post-Secondary

Institutions

11,020

25,402

8,106

975 1,568

14,320

29,986

11,444

1,032 1,659

Associate Bachelor's Master's Doctorate FirstProfessional

2000-2001 2003-2004

Source: Minnesota Office of Higher Education

Legislative Districts No Longer Equal

Source: Census 2000, 2005 State Demographic Center and Metropolitan Council Estimates

Suburban Districts Biggest

6

7

1

8

2

3 45

2005 Population

618,399 to 622,424 632,365 to 647,064 703,577 to 714,396

Suburban Districts Biggest

Variation from 2005 Average (650,636)

-32,237 to -18,271 -4,592 to -3,572 52,941 to 63,760

What Challenges Lie Ahead?

• Can Minnesota ensure that all residents achieve at the highest levels?

• Population growth relies on increases in minority populations

• Minority populations have less education, lower incomes, higher labor force participation, more single parent families

Halftime Highlights on the Web

•http://www.demography.state.mn.us/

•Full report in .pdf format•Supplementary tables in .csv format

•Slide presentation in .ppt format