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How OpenStack is Paralleling Linux Adoption

(and how it isn’t)

Gordon Haff Cloud Product Strategy Red Hat 27 March 2014

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About Me

•  Red Hat Cloud Product Strategy

•  Twitter: @ghaff

•  Google+: Gordon Haff

•  Email: ghaff@redhat.com

•  Blog: http://bitmason.blogspot.com

•  Formerly: Illuminata (industry analyst), Data General (minicomputers/Unix/NUMA/etc.)

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A tale of two projects

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Linux was part and parcel of new computing wave

Linux came of age during the Internet infrastructure build-out

Transitions create opportunities

Transitions require new approaches

Source: Hobbes Internet timeline

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OpenStack is as well

By 2020… 40% of the industry's revenue and 98% of its growth will be driven by 3rd Platform technologies that today represent just 22% of ICT spending.

IDC, 2013

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But environment then much different

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From today

…mainstream IT organizations cannot ignore the influence and presence of OSS in their technology road maps... Those that do so place themselves at risk for technical and legal nightmare scenarios and/or miss out on significant competitive business value.

Gartner, Hype Cycle for Open-Source Software, 2013

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Open source 1990-2005: Commoditization

•  Innovation on the development and business models

•  Breaking down vertical stacks

•  Linux (specifically) enabled cross-platform *nix

•  Democratizing access

•  “Good enough” replacements for expensive and proprietary

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Open source 2005-2015: Innovation*

*YMMV depending upon workload type

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Adoption happens at uneven rates

The future has arrived — It’s just not evenly distributed yet.

William Gibson

Credit: Gonzo Bonzo, Wikimedia Commons

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Adoption differs by industry and geography

Credit: Wikimedia based on Geoffrey Moore’s technology adoption lifecycle

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Adoption differs by workload

•  rover.redhat.com

•  Unique snowflakes

•  Nurse back to health

•  piggie142.redhat.com

•  Almost identical

•  Simply replace

“Pets” a.k.a. traditional workloads

“Farm animals” a.k.a. cloud workloads

Credit: Tim Bell at CERN, Bill Baker at Microsoft, & others

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Widespread adoption isn’t immediate

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OpenStack is only 4ish years old

July 2010: OpenStack launches

Oct 2010: Austin code

release

Nov 2010: 1st design summit

Sept 2011: Diablo release

Sept 2012: OpenStack Foundation

launches. Folsom release.

Oct 2013: Havana release.

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Source: Linux Foundation, March 2012

Richness of community matters % Changes to Linux Kernel 2007-2012

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Commits in the OpenStack Havana release

Source: Bitergia

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But also differences

•  Governance

•  (Initial) motivation

•  Licensing

•  Structure of project

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A Trend Towards Permissive Licensing

•  Proven success of development model

•  Commercialization

•  Increased emphasis on communities

Source: Donnie Berkholz, RedMonk, April 2013

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Governance less understood than licenses

Source: http://www.visionmobile.com/blog/2009/08/open-is-the-new-closed/

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Commercial distributions aid business consumption

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Linux complements and ecosystem

•  Open source projects

•  ISV certifications

•  Hardware certifications

•  Device drivers

•  Training and education

•  Commercialization & support

•  Consulting

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OpenStack is similar

•  Host & guest operating systems

•  Platform-as-a-Service

•  Cloud management platform

•  Hardware enablement and certifications

•  Training and education

•  Commercialization & support

•  Consulting

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Takeaways

•  Transitions create opportunities

•  Don’t expect overnight perfection

•  Community matters

•  Governance matters (but it’s complicated)

•  Consumability matters

•  Ecosystem matters

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Is it true that:

Happy open source projects are all alike; every unhappy open source project is unhappy in its own way?

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QUESTIONS & LEARN MORE

MY INFO

Twitter: @ghaff

Google+: Gordon Haff

Email: ghaff@redhat.com

Blog: http://bitmason.blogspot.com