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The Kent Community Risk Register has been published by the Kent Resilience Forum(KRF), having been prepared by the Kent Category 1 Responders in accordance with the
Civil Contingencies Act 2004 and associated regulations and guidance, all of which can beaccessed through the UK Resilience website ( www.ukresilience.gov.uk
). Its purpose is toassure the people of Kent that an assessment of potential risks has taken place and isinforming the approach to joined up emergency planning at a local level and at both the
regional and national level.
KKeenntt CCoommmmuunniittyy RRiisskk RReeggiisstteer r
Version 7.1, May 2010
Industrial Accidentand Environmental
Pollution
TransportAccidents
Severe Weather
Structural
Human Health
Animal Health
Industrial Action
InternationalEvents
IndustrialTechnical Failure
Civil Disturbance
Mass Gatherings
To be reviewed by November 2010
All requests for further information should be addressed in writing to:Kent Resilience Forum Secretariat, KRF Business Management Support Unit, Kent Police,
Coldharbour, London Rd, Aylesford, Kent ME20 7SL.
A Glossary of Terms andList of Acronyms are
available on pages 36-39
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Kent Community Risk Register – Likelihood
Likelihood of an occurance over the next 5 years
1 Low >0.005% chance >1 in 20,000 chance
2 Medium Low >0.05% chance >1 in 2,000 chance
3 Medium >0.5% chance >1 in 200 chance
4 Medium High >5% chance >1 in 20 chance
5 High >50% chance >1 in 2 chance
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Kent Community Risk Register – Impact Categories
The Categories of Impact
Health
SocialEconomic
Environment
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Kent Community Risk Register – Health Impact
Encompassing direct health impact (numbers of people affected, fatalities, injuries, human illness or injury,health damage) and indirect health impacts that arise because of strain on the health service.
1 Limited • Insignificant number of injuries or impact on health
2 Minor • Small number of people affected, no fatalities, and small number of
minor injuries with first aid treatment.
3 Moderate
• Moderate number of fatalities with some casualties requiringhospitalisation and medical treatment and activation of MAJAX, theautomated intelligent alert notification system, procedures in one or more hospitals.
4 Significant
• Significant number of people in affected area impacted with multiple
fatalities, multiple serious or extensive injuries, significanthospitalisation and activation of MAJAX procedures across a number of hospitals.
5. Catastrophic• Very large numbers of people in affected area(s) impacted with
significant numbers of fatalities, large number of people requiringhospitalisation with serious injuries with longer-term effects.
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Kent Community Risk Register – Social Impact
Encompassing the social consequences of an event, including availability of social welfare provision; disruption
of facilities for transport; damage to property; disruption of a supply of money, food, water, energy or fuel;disruption of an electronic or other system of communication; homelessness, evacuation and avoidancebehaviour; and public disorder due to anger, fear and/ or lack of trust in the authorities.
1 Limited
• Insignificant number of persons displaced and insignificant personal supportrequired
• Insignificant disruption to community services, including transport services and
infrastructure.
2 Minor • Minor damage to properties
• Minor displacement of a small number of people for <24 hours and minor personalsupport required
• Minor localised disruption to community services or infrastructure for <24 hours.
3 Moderate
• Damage that is confined to a specific location, or to a number of locations, but
requires additional resources• Localised displacement of >100 people for 1-3 days
• Localised disruption to infrastructure and community services.
4 Significant
• Significant damage that requires support for local responders with externalresources
• 100 to 500 people in danger and displaced for longer than 1 week. Local respondersrequire external resources to deliver personal support
• Significant impact on and possible breakdown of delivery of some local communityservices.
5. Catastrophic
• Extensive damage to properties and built environment in affected area requiringmajor demolition
• General and widespread displacement of more than 500 people for prolongedduration and extensive personal support required
• Serious damage to infrastructure causing significant disruption to, or loss of, keyservices for prolonged period. Community unable to function without significantsupport.
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Kent Community Risk Register – Economic Impact Scale
Encompassing the net economic cost, including both direct (e.g. loss of goods, buildings, infrastructure) andindirect (e.g. loss of business, increased demand for public services) costs.
1 Limited • Insignificant impact on local economy.
2 Minor • Negligible impact on local economy and cost easily absorbed.
3 Moderate• Limited impact on local economy with some short-term loss of
production, with possible additional clean-up costs.
4 Significant• Significant impact on local economy with medium-term loss of production• Significant extra clean-up and recovery costs.
5. Catastrophic
• Serious impact on local and regional economy with some long-term,
potentially permanent, loss of production with some structural change• Extensive clean-up and recovery costs.
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Kent Community Risk Register – Environmental Impact Scale
Encompassing contamination or pollution of land, water or air with harmful biological/ chemical/ radioactivematter or oil, flooding, or disruption or destruction of plant or animal life.
1 Limited • Insignificant impact on environment.
2 Minor • Minor impact on environment with no lasting effects.
3 Moderate • Limited impact on environment with short-term or long-term effects.
4 Significant • Significant impact on environment with medium- to long-term effects.
5. Catastrophic• Serious long-term impact on environment and/ or permanent damage.
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Impact
Catastrophic 5 1.15, 1.19 3.5, 3.6, 3.8 5.1
Key
Signific
ant 4 1.1, 1.2, 1.11, 1.13,
1.14, 1.16, 1.20, 2.5, 2.6, 2.8, 4.3, 4.4,8.2
1.9, 1.17, 1.18, 1.22,
1.25, 9.5
3.9, 3.11, 7.3, 9.6 3.1, 3.2, 3.4, 3.7,
3.10VeryHigh
M
oderate 3 1.3, 1.21, 2.10, 2.11,
4.1, 9.3, KRF51.8, 1.10, 2.1, 2.2,2.3, 2.4, KRF1,KRF7, 3.3, 9.1
KRF 8, 5.2, 9.7,KRF6
2.9, 7.2, 9.2 1.26, 2.7, 9.4
High
Minor
2 1.27, 4.2 KRF4 1.23, 6.1, 6.2, 7.1,8.1
5.3 1.23, 1.24, 7.4
Medium
Insignificant 1
Low
Low
(1)
Medium Low
(2)
Medium
(3)
Medium High
(4)
High
(5)
Likelihood
Kent Community Risk Register – Summary Risk Rating Matrix
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Kent Community Risk Register – Headings Explained
RiskReferences
provided to allLRFs by the
CivilContingencies
Secretariat
Detailedhypothetical
scenariodescribing a
possible hazard
Overallcategory for a
group of similar
hazards
Describes theimmediate
hypotheticalconsequences or significance of the
event
The Likelihoodthis event may
occur in theKRF area – see
page 3
The Overallimpact should
the event occur
– see pages 4-8
The overall risk ratingwhen considering
Likelihood and Impact
– see pages 3-10
Plans, Guidanceand Systems thatalready exist torespond to the
consequences of
the hazard
The latestdate this riskwill next be
reviewed
The priority ratingto determine theorder in whichrisks should be
addressed(regardless of risk
rating), with 5
being the highest.
The CapabilitiesRequired to respondto the consequences
of the hazard
The Agency in theKRF who has leadresponsibility for
assessing the risk
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Kent Community Risk Register – Threats
The National Risk Register (NRR) is a national picture,derived from the National RiskAssessment, of the risks of emergencies. The Matrix (right)gives an indication of therelative likelihood and impact of
the high consequence risks thatare outlined in the NRR. Itincludes the risk of a number of kinds of terrorist attacks, shownhere as attacks on crowdedplaces, transport systems, andcritical infrastructure, andattacks using non-conventional
(or in other words chemical,biological, radiological andnuclear) materials. In planningfor emergencies the KRF takeinto account the impact thatsuch attacks would have in thelocal area as much as we do theimpacts of other hazards of amore local nature.
Further details on the NRR canbe found via the Cabinet Officewebsite:http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/reports/national_risk_register.aspx
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Kent Community Risk Register - Exclusion Register
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y g g
Ref.Hazard Sub-Category
Outcome DescriptionLocal LeadAssessor
Summary of Reasons for ExclusionReview By
Date
Hazard Category - Industrial Accidents and Environmental Pollution
H2 Fire or explosion at anonshore ethylene gas pipeline Up to 3km around site causing up to 500 fatalities and1500 casualties. Kent Fire & RescueService No risk of this type in the KRF area Oct-10
HL26 Localised fire or explosion atan onshore ethylene gas
pipeline
Up to 1km around site, causing up to 150 fatalities and450 casualties.
Kent Fire & RescueService
No risk of this type in the KRF areaOct-10
H3 Fire or explosion at an oilrefinery
Up to 3km around site causing up to 500 fatalities and1500 casualties. Depending on the location and size of
the release, the fire could burn for several days.N/A
No risk of this type in the KRF areaOct-10
HL27 Localised fire or explosion at
an oil refinery
Up to 1km around site, causing up to 150 fatalities and
500 casualties.N/A
No risk of this type in the KRF areaOct-10
H6 Fire or explosion at anoffshore oil/gas platform
Local to site causing up to 200 fatalities and up to 200casualties.
N/ANo risk of this type in the KRF area
Oct-10
Hazard Category - Industrial ActionH35 Industrial action by key Rail
or London Undergroundworkers
Strike action resulting in the total shut down of either theLondon Underground or rail network on a national scale(e.g. action by key workers such as signallers) for morethan 3 days. Greater impact if action occurs in a co-
ordinated manor
Kent Police
This risk could not be realised in this area and in any event theimpact would be very low.
Oct-10
Hazard Category - N/AN/A N/A Operation Stack
Kent PoliceThe Risk Assessment Group considered this a control put in placeto mitigate the impact of a risk (HL13), rather that a specific riskitself. See also risk KRF8.
Oct-10
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