Post on 22-Aug-2014
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transcript
The Futureof HealthcareThe Art of the Possible
FuturistStrategy advisorAuthor
@rossdawson
it’s just u ne ve n ly
d is tr ib u te d
The future is already here
- William Gibson, author
Driving Forces
Leadership
WorkDataBehaviourHomeCommunityMedicine
Driving Forces
Technology Society
Structure
EXPONENTIALDRIVERS EXPECTATIONS
MODULARECONOMY
Technology Society
Structure
EXPONENTIALDRIVERS EXPECTATIONS
MODULARECONOMY
Information accelerates
Flickr credit: kainet
Wherever you go
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
IndiaRussia
PhilippinesBrazilChina
GermanyFrance
New ZealandUK
NetherlandsUSA
AustraliaJapan
Source: Kleiner Perkins Caulfield Byers, as of Q2 2013
Global smartphone penetration
Smartphone penetration
Smartphone growth
Machines overtaking man
Soaring data
Source: IDC
The potential of bio-informatics
At your command
Technology Society
Structure
EXPONENTIALDRIVERS EXPECTATIONS
MODULARECONOMY
We expect
more
Flickr credit: monasosh
Power to the individual
Excellence
2:503:43
4:104:13
5:035:12
5:526:286:28
7:177:43
0:00 1:12 2:24 3:36 4:48 6:00 7:12 8:24
JapanSwitzerland
FranceGermany
BrazilSpain
United KingdomItaly
United StatesAustralia
New Zealand
Hours per month on social media
Global social media usage
Participation
Source: Nielsen
Transparency
Health costs more
Source: OECD
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
%
Total health expenditure as proportion of GDP
United States
New Zealand
Australia
Technology Society
Structure
EXPONENTIALDRIVERS EXPECTATIONS
MODULARECONOMY
Transaction costs slide
The global modular economy
Flickr credit: Ssppeeeeddyy/
Matching demand and availability
Technology Society
Structure
EXPONENTIALDRIVERS EXPECTATIONS
MODULARECONOMY
Work
Work can be done anywhere
The rise of telehealth
Machines plus humans
The humanisation of work
Flickr credit: Dell
Free learning for all
Data
The power of big data
The best minds of my generation are thinking about how to make people click ads. That sucks.- Jeff Hammerbacher
Tracking activity
We will wear computers
Measuring blood sugar
Managing your disease
Health diagnostics at home
First-pass diagnosis
Behaviour
Flickr credit: Paolo Fefe
In 2017 there will be over 3.4 billion smartphones and tablets, 1.7 billion people will have downloaded medical health apps.- mHealth App Developer Economics 2014, Research2Guidance
What you should be doing
Games for health
Psychographics for behaviour change
Home
Flickr credit: James Thompson
Tech-enabled mobile nursing
Tracking medicine behaviours
Interfaces to helping homes
Household robots
Emotional robots
Robots or real dogs?
Flickr credit: ^rika^
Community
Online communities
Learning from others
People-powered health
Source: People Powered Health Co-Production Catalog, NESTA
Local social networks
Medicine
Personalised medicine
Sharing health data
Aggregating genetic data
Leadership
The only way you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety
Understanding the system and the levers
Individuals in control
The journey of creating the future
Driving Forces
Leadership
WorkDataBehaviourHomeCommunityMedicine