Library Community Trends Stephen Abram SirsiDynix Executive Roadshow Birmingham, UK March 2006.

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Library Community Trends

Stephen AbramSirsiDynix Executive Roadshow

Birmingham, UKMarch 2006

Resistance is NOT futile!

The Virtuous TriangleThe Virtuous Triangle

Where am I coming from . . .?

•All Users•Library Users

•Academic•College•Public•School (pre-K-12)•Special, i.e.

•Government•Military•Medical•Corporate

•Global•Non-users

University and CollegesSchools and Public Libraries

Card Holders

Content &e-Resources:

eGov, Programs &

Alliances

Local and Government

Partners

DE Learning &Education

FutureComponent

Community Groups

FutureComponents

CollectionsConnections &

Resources

Emerging Model for Community, Learning and Research Enterprises

Faculties Students

Researchers

Clubs Hobbyists

Credit: adapted from Rick Luce, LANL

Usability

The A frame adopted

from newspaper

layout is not what

works.

Eyetools

Normative andMarket Data

Normative andMarket Data

PersonasPersonasUsability TestsUsability Tests

The LibraryWorld

The LibraryWorld

Normative DataNormative Data

PersonasPersonasUsability TestsUsability Tests

The LibraryWorld

The LibraryWorld

TheReal

World

TheReal

World

What is context?

• It’s not about the Library! It is about five very specific user spaces, communities:

LearningResearch

Entertainment

NeighbourhoodWorkplace

Source:LorcanDempsey

Content Map

Source: AISTI

Simple Stories about Value

• Florida• Florida's public libraries return $6.54 for every $1.00

invested from all sources!• South Carolina• The total direct and indirect return on investment for

every $1 expended on the state’s public libraries by SC State and local governments is $4.48—almost 350%!

Classic Technology Adoption

Source: Geoffrey Moore. Crossing the Chasm, 1991.

WhereAre We?

What if. . .

You can find 15,000,000 books through the Google 5 and the Open Content Alliance?

What if. . .

Does your 5 year plan consider this eventuality?

What if. . .

I can find a locally engaging experience through Google Maps and Google Local?

Google & Kansas City

booksBooks

Google and 3D

• San Francisco first…

Nano Phone, Cardphones, ...

What if. . .

An easy seamless DRM Payment system develops through PayPal / Verisign / eBay / Google Wallet?

99¢

Get your Texthead to Nexthead

• MP3’s• Streaming Media• Voice search

Next Massive Wave of Broadband Expands

Secure Broadband

Wireless

Secure Broadband

Wireless

Low-Power-Consumption

Mobile/Display Devices

Low-Power-Consumption

Mobile/Display Devices

Real-Time Infra-

structure

Real-Time Infra-

structure

Transition to Service-oriented

architecture

Transition to Service-oriented

architecture

2006/72006/7

Google Wireless

•San Francisco…Philly, Fredericton, •And more

SEC Filing in 2005 – 18 more cities now.

Google invests in wired …

A $189,000,000 pilot

Bidirectional wireless module

Hydro Broadband

What if. . .

Users have materially changed?

The Scary re-wiring of the Millennials and post-Millennials

Principled /

Values

More Friends More Diverse Respect Intelligence

Optimistic /

Positive

Internet Natives More Choices Format Agnostic

Balanced Lives Adaptive / Flexible Civic Minded High Expectations

Collaborative Nomadic Gamers Experiential

Independent Confident Direct More Liberal

Multi-taskers Inclusive Patriotic Entrepreneurial

Healthy Lifestyle Family Oriented Graphical Achievement Oriented

Millennial Characteristics

Credit: Richard Sweeney, NJIT

Reminder:150,00-250,000

A DAY!

What if. . .

The entire entertainment world mutates? Streaming everything everywhere.

What if. . .

CD-Rom and DVD retire in 2012?

How will you handle the new non-containers?

Podcasting

Video iPod etc.

What if. . .

Google Scholar and Google College actually work?

Add hundreds of database Suppliers (MS already has about 120.

Make it OpenURLcompliant

Make it Browserless

Add a toolbar that behavesin a research way

Integrate e-commerce for articles, standards, etc.

Predict their needs through mining of Gmail, surfing, and behaviours

Personalize it and track your needs andAdd alerts …

Add for online discussions, communities of practice, group and Individual blogsand connections through social networking software

Add tools – citation, RefWorks,ProCite, stat packages,

Add virtual reference

Do OCLC stuff

Add hundreds of database Suppliers (MS already has about 120.

Make it OpenURLcompliant

Make it Browserless

Add a toolbar that behavesin a research way

Integrate e-commerce for articles, standards, etc.

Predict their needs through mining of Gmail, surfing, and behaviours

Personalize it and track your needs andAdd alerts …

Add for online discussions, communities of practice, group and Individual blogsand connections through social networking software

Add tools – citation, RefWorks,ProCite, stat packages,

And then ally withSun to build a new OS

for wireless world…Writely!

Add virtual reference

Do OCLC stuff

What if. . .

Everything goes personal?

Personalization

What if. . .

Search gets better and needs new hooks?

Are you up on tagging?How about folksonomies?

The Long Tail of QUESTIONS

libraries

Great Expectations

•The future is already here, it’s just not evenly distributed yet.

Expectations 1.0

• Search• Retrieve• Print• Link• Navigate• Read• . . .

WEB 2.0

•RSS – really simple syndication•Wikis•New Programming Tools: AJAX, API•Blogs and blogging•Recommender Functionality•Personalized Alerts•Web Services•Folksonomies, Tagging and Tag Clouds•Social Networking•Open access, Open Source, Open Content

•Commentary and comments•Personalization and My Profiles•Podcasting and MP3 files•Streaming Media – audio and video•User-driven Reviews •Rankings & User-driven Ratings•Instant Messaging and Virtual Reference•Photos (e.g. Flickr, Picasa)•Socially Driven Content•Social Bookmarking

Shhhhhhhh…

6 specific Areas to Focus on

• Lesson level implementation• Mandate integration (workflow)• Supporting Edgelessness• Seamless find (OpenURL)• Social spin (data-driven)• Get beyond lists

The power of libraries

Connected Society

Wireless

Wearables

WiFi

Smart Phones

Location-Based Services

Ultrawideband

Ad Hoc Communities

Identity and Profiles

Collaboration: I, borg

Privacy, Preference and Discrimination

Augmented Reality

Healthcare as a Utility

Connected Objects and Places

On-chip wireless/RFID

On-chip sensors/MEMS

Low-power displays

Ad hoc networking/ mesh networks

Low-power CPUs

Smart dustDisposable computers

Personalized retail

Smart spaces

Smarter people

What should objects know? Location, owner, safety ...

Products as services

Connected Enterprises

Real-time Infrastructure

Compliance and Data Visibility

Voice/Data Convergence

Offshore Outsourcing

Semantic Standards

Service-Oriented Everything

Enterprise as Ecosystem

Exploiting Network Effects: Innocentive

Communications-Enabled Business Processes

Measuring Knowledge Work

Business Process Fusion

Shifting Job Roles

Shared Ideas Shared Creation

Shared Presence

CollaborativeDesign

E-Mail

Instant MessagingNetworked Virtual Worlds

Videoconferencing

Web Conferencing

DiscussionDatabases

WorkflowContent Mgmt.

Intranets

Avatars

Portals

Knowledge Workplace

It’s an Information Ocean, not a Highway.

It’s an “Exploration Space” not a

collection space.

Stephen Abram, MLSVP Innovation, SirsiDynix

Cel: 416-669-4855stephen.abram@sirsidynix.com

http://www.sirsidynix.comStephen’s Lighthouse Blog

http://stephenslighthouse.sirsi.com

Let’s Go!

You Know You're Web 2.0 When...• You can easily comment on, or preferably, actually change the content that you

find on a Web site. • You can label your information with tags and use them to find that information

again. • Your Web page doesn't reload even once as you get a whole lotta work done. • You are actively aware of other users' recent activity on a site. • It's possible for you to easily share with others the information you're contributing

on the Web site. • You can syndicate your information on a Web site elsewhere on the Internet

through a feed like RSS or Atom. • You can pick and choose the pieces of a Web site that you like and then add that

functionality to your own site.

• There are easy ways to find out what content is the most popular or interesting at the moment.

• You heard about a new Web site because a friend enthusiastically recommended it to you out of the blue.

• There happens to be a mind boggling amount information and a lot of people on a site, yet it seems easy to find what you want and communicate with others.

• Everything you ever added to a given Web site can be removed easily at your whim.

• The Web site actively encourages you to share and reuse its information and its services with others.  And it even provides a license to do so.