Update on EcoOBM: Hybrid ecologicalphysical model, with Officer

Box Model for physical transports

Mark BrushCHRP Dec 2014 Project Meeting

Recent Papers & Presentations:

Brush and Harris. In press. Ecological modeling. In: Kennish (ed), Encyclopedia of Estuaries. Springer: Heidelberg.

Ganju, Brush, Rashleigh … Grear … Vaudrey. Submitted. Review article for Estuaries and Coasts from Woods Hole workshop.

Lake and Brush. Submitted. Estuaries and Coasts.

Lake and Brush. Submitted. Marine Ecology Progress Series.

Brush and Lake. In prep. Chapter 4 in hypoxia book

Brush and Nixon. In prep. EcoOBM overview

Brush. 2014. Invited seminar, Chesapeake Biological Lab, Solomons, MD.

Brush. 2014. Narragansett Bay EcoOBM v1a. Online CHRP models.

White Paper, Gulf of Mexico Hypoxic Zone Modeling Technical Review Meeting

Papers:

In prep:

Talk:

Online Model:

Report:

Scope of Work / Timeline:

Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Status

Online model X X

OBM vs. ROMS 2007 X

Include new years

X(2010)

Ongoing(2010-13)

Variable salinity X X Ongoing

Scenario analyses X X Ongoing

Online EcoOBM

www.vims.edu/research/departments/bio/programs/semp/models/index.php

Online EcoOBM

Empirically-Varying Salinities

Insomniacs data, 2001-09:

Flow into Box 1

Empirically-Varying Salinities

x = 10-day moving average FW input to Box 1, m3 d-1

y = mean layer salinity from Insomniacs cruises, 2001-09

To do:• NuShuttle• Buoys• Other FW

sources• Other moving

average windows

CHRP II Scenario Runs

ScenarioAnalysis

Effect of Timing

Interactive Effects of Nutrients and Warming

Cross-SystemComparisons

Scope of Work / Timeline:

Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Status

Online model X X

OBM vs. ROMS 2007 X

Include new years

X(2010)

Ongoing(2010-13)

Variable salinity X X Ongoing

Scenario analyses X X Ongoing