Post on 20-Aug-2015
transcript
Copyright William W Bayer 2013
TV HistoryDate Milestone
1939 Black & White TV Exhibit at World’s Fair
1948-1959 Community Antenna Television in US & Canada
1952 UHF Broadcasting allowed by FCC (70 channels)
1954 Color Television – Rose Bowl Parade
1956 Wireless TV Remote Control
1962 Satellite TV Transmission
1971 First Cable TV converter
Copyright William W Bayer 2013
TV History (Continued)Date Milestone
1972 HBO – First Pay TV network in US
1975 VHS (and Betamax) videotaping formats
1995 DVD’s and DVD Players
1998 High Definition TV
1999 Digital Recorders – TiVo, PVR, DVR
1999 Plasma and LCD Displays
2010 3D TV at Consumer Electronics Show
Copyright William W Bayer 2013
Office EquipmentDate Milestone
1869 Remington Typewriter
1945 Army – Electronic Numerator, Integrator, Analyzer, and Computer (ENIAC)
1950’s Electric Typewriters
1950’s Univac – first commercial computer system
1970’s Typewriter competes with Word Processors
1976 Wozniak and Jobs found Apple Computer
Copyright William W Bayer 2013
Office Equipment (Continued)Date Milestone
1960’s Copiers use ordinary paper
1970’s Facsimile (Fax) machines in common use
1981 IBM personal computer (DOS)
1985 Windows – makes computer “easy to use”
1990’s Computer networks in most offices
1990’s Email, internet, connecting personal computer
2000’s Cell Phones, Tablets, Mobile Internet Access
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Family Demographics Changes
196072% married5% Divorced9% Widowed15% Never Married
201051% married14% Divorced6% Widowed28% Never Married
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Family Demographics Changes
196011% of children live apart from their father4% live apart from MomAvg. hours Dads spend with children = 2.6Moms = 10.6
201027% of children live apart from their father8% live apart from MomAvg. hours Dads spend with children = 6.5Moms = 12.9
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Stock Market Returns - Dow Since 1900, Total Dow = 9.4%.(P=4.8%; Div=4.6%) Since 1929, before the crash, total return of 8.8% Since end of 1932 (after the crash), 11.1% 25 years from 1987 through 2012, 10.6% 13 years since 1999 (Dot Com bubble peak) 3.4% Since 2007 - 2.6% Total return in 2012 – 10.1%
Copyright William W Bayer 2013
Stock Market Returns - NASDAQ Price in 1978 – 99.77 Peak in 1987 – 455.20, avg. annual gain of 18% 1994, before internet boom – average of 14% Peak in 2000 – average 19.5% To low in early 2009 – average 8.5% To end of 2012 – average of 10.5%
(Excludes dividends)
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Realities About Change Change happens continuously Change is occurring at a faster pace Instant access to information today accelerates
change Recent social changes (divorce, married women
working, single parent homes, abortion, gay rights, children raised by unmarried couples, etc.) have occurred at a higher pace than any time in history.
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The Ultimate Reality About Change
If we do not learn to deal with change in a timely and effective manner, our ability to succeed is impaired and our ability to survive is threatened.
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Conclusion The ability to deal effectively with
change is critical to success in all phases of life.WorkplaceFamily and RelationshipsPersonalWealth Creation
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The Challenge
How do we equip ourselves to consistently be able to adapt to change more efficiently than others do?
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Why do we Resist Change?
Security Fear of Loss Influence of and Resistance from Others
Behavioral Style
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Impact of Behavior Styles DISC
High D’s and High I’s Enjoy Change (32%)
High S’s and High C’s Resist Change (68%)
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Attitudes About Change Limit Change
Cultural bias for the status quo Workplace and school rules and traditions emphasize structureExample – Medicating those who are inattentive in school
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Attitudes About Change(Cont.)
Change is seen as threatening Change is often associated with pain
Most people are pessimists Change requires strong self-belief
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First Change your Attitude Make a decision to equip yourself for change
Become pro-active about change
Embrace change as an opportunity when it comes
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Timely Information is Critical
Change that surprises is difficult to deal with and emotionally damaging
Information allows us to anticipate change
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Increase Your Information
Timely Accurate Dependable Different point of view Learn from experts
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Identify Exceptional Sources
Publications Blogs Internet and other Newsletters Pay for quality information from experts
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Information Ideas
Barron’s WSJ The Economist Industry newsletters Books
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More Information Ideas
Good internet sites Blogs
CalculatedRisk.comMichaelHyatt.comBillBayer.net
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Information Ideas – Social Trends
Pew Research Gallup Polls Political Trends – RealPolitics NY Times
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Information Ideas on the Edge
Magazines at the library Shopping Mall Research New Music - The Lyrics Talk to your Kids (Or someone else’s)
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When Change Happens . . .
Or when you initiate itWhat is the threat or reason for the change?
What is the Goal?Why is it important to Change?
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Set Clear Goals for the Change
What is the specific expected result?
How will you measure success? How will you measure progress?
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Develop a Plan
Step by step list of everything that needs to be done.
If others are involved, list what they need to do.Also develop a plan to educate and motivate the team
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Actions – Individual Change Take Action Taking the first step is key Your plan should include specific scheduled time on a regular basis to work on the changes
Measure progress daily vs. plan
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Actions Needed to Lead Others
Initiate Personal Action Communicate the Plan Clearly Lead by Example Continuously Communicate & Encourage
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Leading Change - Initiate
If you are to successfully lead change, the team needs to visibly see you taking action to implement the change – esp. at the beginning
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Leading Change - Communicate
Meet with team to discuss the reasons for the change and why it is critical
Go over the plan and modify the plan based on feedback – But not the goal!
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Leading Change - Example
Initiate action Set an example by doing the hard stuff
Be cool under pressure or when obstacles are encountered
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Leading Change - Encourage
Be visible throughout the process
Anticipate obstacles and resistance and respond to them like they were expected
Over-communicate if necessary
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In Closing Change happens continuously Change is occurring at a faster pace Instant access to information today
accelerates change Expect more social changes Successful people must master the skills
required to change quickly and effectively.