Matrix Revolution, a shared land, a common destiny

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Grammenos Mastrojeni. Tema III: Gobernanza Multinivel del Desarrollo Económico Local: articulación local-nacional. Mesa 5: La sostenibilidad ambiental y la gestión de los recursos naturales

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MATRIX REVOLUTION

A shared land, a common destiny

3 PARTS

• A common land: everyone is important

• If we do not protect the environment…

• If we do protect the environment

Anticipating conclusions…

• If we do NOT protect our planet

CONFLICTS, GENERAL DISRUPTION OF

SOCIAL COESION AND SOCIAL

WELFARE

If we DO protect the environment…

Even if we do not aim at it…

Increased PEACE, SECURITY and

GLOBAL JUSTICE

Or…THE MATRIX…

THE BUTTERFLY EFFECT

• Alan Turing,

STILL… THE SAME

BUTTERFLY

EARTH, a GLOBAL CLOSED

SYSTEM

The struggle between

CHAOS

and

BALANCE

BALANCE…

WHO CARES?

NO BOUNDARIES…

GEOGRAPHIC GLOBALITY

GAIA’S MATRIX: no isolated sector

SYSTEMIC GLOBALITY

Environment

Peace H. Rights

Development

LAND

PART 2 – CATASTROPHY

THRESHOLD

GAIA’S MATRIX PREDICTIONS,

In case we do not change our course

Lessons learnt from a century of

horrors

And the true nature of peace…

Let’s just take an example…

CLIMATE CHANGE

Not only climate…

Small and alien… yet still

important

Even smaller… but essential

Ocean acidification and the Permo-Triassic mass extinction

M. O. Clarkson et al. A rapid injection of massive amounts of carbon into the atmosphere acidified the oceans, causing mass extinction

Some figures…

The daily over-intake of energy of planet

Earth due to man-made green house

effect equals…

400.000 HIROSHIMA BOMS PER

DAY… 356 days a year

Calculated by J. HANSEN in 2012

= 0,60 watt per square metre

3 numbers about global warming…

Ongoing warming

0,78°C / 0,85°C = 400 ppm

Conventional Security Threshold

2° C = +/- 550 ppm

Worst Case Scenario

5,8° C

In other words…

Positive feed-back cycles and

tipping points

• Permafrost

• Gulfstream

• Ice sheets

• Albedo…

• Lightening

And much more!

It’s now, and it’s real…

Non linear impacts

WARMING

CONSEQUENCES

THE HIMALAYA SCENARIO

Millions on the move…

The Doomsday Clock

• Regulated 23 times since 1948

• 2 minutes closer to midnight in 2007

January 23, 2015: 3 minutes to midnight!

Once more: it’s now and it’s

real…

Arab «springs»?

Researchers Link Syrian Conflict to a Drought Made Worse by

Climate Change

By HENRY FOUNTAINMARCH 2, 2015

“A new report suggests

extreme drought in Syria was

most likely a factor in the

violent uprising that began

there in 2011…”

A threat in a distant future?

2030: THE PERFECT STORM…

- Hitting the poor first

- Refugees…

- Arctic

- Water

- Agricoltural lands

And much more…

PART 3

The planet of wonders

What if we protect the

environment?

What’s good for you is good for

your planet

Healthy diet Env. impact

A planetary game of balances…

LAND AND SOIL RECOVERY

DO WE HAVE SOLUTIONS?

• GEO – ENGINEERING?

• NEW TECHNOLOGIES?

A reasonable cost (Sir. Stern), a

solution at hand..

Socolow’s and Pacala’s STABILIZATION

WEDGES

Why don’t we make the right

choice?

• Illusion of sustainability sector by sector/

global unsustainability

• Common threat, noone’s challenge

• Structure of market economy

Marrying economy and politics…

• Politics (pigouvian taxes, technology

transfers, cap and trade, etc.) perceived

as an interference over the market

• The market dominates politics so…

LET US MAKE ENVIRONMENT A VISIBLE

GAIN FOR THE MARKET!

GREEN ECONOMY AND A NEW

WAY TO MEASURE WEALTH

WELL BEYOND GROSS NATIONAL

PRODUCT

• UNDP’s HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX

• Amartya SEN

• NEW NATIONAL WEALTH

MEASUREMENTS (WORLD BANK)

MANKIND AT THE CROSSROADS

A question of scale:

Initiatives consistent with the dimensions of

the climate change problem imply

humanizing economy and a significative

redistribution of wealth

A MORE SOCIALLY JUST PLANET

CONCLUSIONENVIRONMENT: OUR BEST GUARANTEE OF

PEACE, DIGNITY AND JUSTICE