Monitoring of RISK Informed Situations Mr Kasiviswanadham PAPHRDI/DRR/2019/Risk... · Transforming...

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Transforming Business - Enriching Lives

Monitoring of RISK Informed SituationsMr Kasiviswanadham P

Subject Matter Expert – Geospatial TechnologyIIC Academy, Hyderabad

AGENDA

Transforming Business - Enriching Lives

1• Can we define RISK?

2• Can we list types of RISK?

3• What are the technologies available to monitor RISK?

4• How well can we rely on our monitoring systems?

5• Duties and responsibilities to have RISK free environments to

safeguard our future generations.

Thinking RISK in Mind

DesignEvaluateDecide

Prepare

PlanManage

Measure

AnalyzePredict

IIC Academy: Demo presentation on Geospatial Technology

Monitor

• Risk could be a natural or man-made that has adverse effects andcan cause significant damages to local environment and people.

• Natural risks usually occurs abruptly, affecting large areas – ex.Earthquakes, Tsunamis, and Tornados etc.

• Flood and Landslide can be predicted and mapped.

• Also potentially affected people within the known vulnerable areascan be alerted in advance to prevent more damages.

Transforming Business - Enriching Lives 4

Introduction

What is Risk ?

Calculational Framework for Risk/Uncertainty analysis TheSource: National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP)

What is Risk ?

Calculational Framework for NRAP Risk/Uncertainty analysis

The most conventional representation of the risk:Risk = Probability X Consequence(loss)/Time

Monitoring Risk System

Atmospheric Monitoring

Near Surface Monitoring

Subsurface Monitoring

Remote sensingSensors(satellites, Flights and Drones)

Direct observation,Sensors, and pressure gauges, Mobile vehicles

Geophysical, Surface signatures of subsurface phenomenon, Topography

• Satellite sensors

• Direct co2 detectors

• LiDAR

• Tracers

• Eddy covariance

Atmospheric Monitoring

• Aerial methods ( Flight, Satellite, Drone)

• Tracers

• Ground water monitoring

• Soil gas monitoring

• Electrical, including resistivity, Sp, induced polarization

Near Surface Monitoring

• Surface and seismic time lapse

• Magneto telluric sounding

• Deep electromagnetic induction

• Time lapse gravity

• Well logging

• Fluid chemistry

• SAR

• Sensors/GIS can not cure/ solve any risk ( the disease)

• Monitor, predict and handle the risk(disease) with better

preparedness and preventive measures where the GIS

data model can also include the individuals diagnostic

test report data( blood test, urine test, stool).

• Disease spread monitoring

• Initial sensor configuration( define the risk)

• Number of iterations ( for predictions)

• Cost constraints (Risk for sensors itself)

Sensors for Monitoring

3D City Modelling -approach to Monitor RISK

Use of Bentley software in creating 3D cities

3D Laser scanning- Risk at Oil Rigs

Graphic Model Point cloud Model

Sample of RISK at temples/structures

• There are numerous alternatives and complementary risk

informed decision criteria.

• Time to anomaly detection

• Characterization and exploration

• Optimization analysis

Risk informed Optimization Principles

• Sensor definitions

• Data sampling

• Design-Phased deployment of sensors

• Costing

• Inference and mitigation models (Successful models can

be repeated for refined analysis

• Sensor reliabilities

Future forward

• Survey (including emergency field survey services using flight

..say)->Digitization->webGIS, mobileGIS Portal rendering-

>Spatial visualization->Spatial BI visualization using AI, ML .

Basically AI is used here to analyse the data gathered from

satellites and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) to assess the

impact of a disaster in (almost) real time, inform our response,

and deliver life-saving assistance

Drones

Future forward

• Surveying and mapping

• Transportation

• Forest and Agriculture

• Marine

• Aviation

• Time

• Public safety and disaster relief

Role of GPS in RISK Monitoring(Mobile Phones)

• Are associated with readiness and mitigation measuresusually involves landslide and flood disaster prevention

• Mitigation involves activity that minimizes the impactsof disaster within potentially vulnerable areas likeidentifying the mud slide prone area, flood inundationarea etc.

• Readiness involves the activities that facilitates thepreparation for response to disaster occurrence. Ifoccurs how to safe guard like identifying elevated areaduring flooding

Risk Management

• Time is a critical component of any successful rescue operation

• To know the precise position of any landmarks, streets, buildings, emergency service resources, and disaster relief sites we should have accurate GPS position to reach in time.

• GPS has played a vital role in relief efforts for global disasters likehud-hud, guno, Pethai etc. Search and rescue teams used GPS,geographic information system (GIS), and remote sensingtechnology to create maps of the disaster areas for rescue andaid operations, as well as to assess damage.

Public Safety and Risk Relief

Risk Management Process

Disaster Event

Pre-Disaster

During Disaster

Post-Disaster

Prediction and Monitoring of

Vulnerable area

Detection and Monitoring events

Damage Assessment

Disaster Event

Pre-Disaster

During Disaster

• In earthquake prone areas, GPS is playing anprominent role in helping scientists to anticipateearthquakes.

• Using the precise position information provided byGPS, scientists can study how strain builds up slowlyover time in an attempt to characterize, and in thefuture perhaps anticipate, earthquakes.

Monitor Earthquake Prone Area

Monitor small scale phenomenon

• Crustal evolution

• Sea-level changes

• ionosphere studies

• Tropospheric studies

Monitor Landslides

Landslide Monitoring Process.

(Source: Abidin et al 2004)

Tsunami Monitoring Process

(source: Geogarage 2012)

Forest Management

• Utilization of Geomatics technologies i.e GPS, RS and GIS is being used increasingly for flood assessment.

• Integration of inventory mapping, location of surface structures and roughness providing information on flow emplacement parameters (i.e. rate, velocity and rheology), and factors such as lithology, location of faults, slope, vegetation and land use.

• To managing a flood disaster, can GPS and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imageries to estimate water depth from SAR images.

• APIIC

Flood prediction and management

Water Pollution

• Role of meteorologists: storm tracking and flood

prediction also rely on GPS.

• They can assess water vapor content by analyzing

transmissions of GPS data through the atmosphere.

Meteorologists

Urban Agglomeration

Transportation

• Wireless telephone and data networks use GPS timeto keep all of their base stations in perfectsynchronization. This allows mobile handsets toshare limited radio spectrum more efficiently.

• Similarly, digital broadcast radio services use GPStime

• Companies worldwide use GPS to time-stampbusiness transactions, providing a consistent andaccurate way to maintain records and ensure theirtraceability.

Communication

• AP real time governance with GIS for AP govt.

and UNICEF.

Real Time Monitoring

Real Time Governance System (RTGS)

Risk along the coasts

Guess RISK of this Situation

Any Questions ?

Mr. Kasiviswanadham PSME – Geospatial Technology

IIC Academy, Email: kasi.Ponnapalli@iictechnologies.com,

Tel:9885840209

• http://blog.geogarage.com/2012/05/gps-on-commercial-ships-could-improve.html?m=1 12:00pm 23/08/2015

• https://www.ajouronline.com/index.php/AJAS/article/viewFile/3597/1881

• http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/blog/2017/2/10/U

sing-drones-to-address-climate-change-risks-in-the-Maldives.html

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JNiPQnMlXYk

• http://apiic.in/

References

Thank You

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