MOSL Wealth Creation Study Summary Subash Nayak

Post on 18-Jan-2016

222 views 0 download

transcript

MOSL Wealth Creation Study Summary

Subash Nayakhttp://art-of-mental-modelling.blogspot.in/

Wealth Creatio

n

Management

Macro

Business

Valuation

Quality

• Outstanding management• Unquestionable Integrity• Focused on core business• First generation

entrepreneur

• ROE/ROCE > 20%

• Growth > 25%

• PEG < 1• Payback ratio < 1

• Favorable Tailwind

• Huge size of Opportunity

• Not in commodity business• Non cyclical• High entry barrier business• Leadership market position (1st or

2nd)• Low capital Intensity

DNA of an Wealth Creator - 1

• Businesso Not in commodity businesso Non cyclicalo High entry barrier businesso Leadership market position (1st

or 2nd)o Low capital Intensity

• Valuationo PEG < 1o Payback ratio < 2

• High ROE/ROCE• Sustained earning

growth (>25%)

• Managemento Outstanding managemento Unquestionable Integrityo Focused on core businesso First generation entrepreneur

• Macroo Favorable Tailwindo Huge size of Opportunity

• Sizeo Preferably Midcap

DNA of an Wealth Destroyer

• Commodity Business• Manufacturing of intermediate products• Low ROE

DNA of an Wealth Creator - snippets

1999

2000

DNA of an Wealth Creator - snippets

2004

2004

DNA of an Wealth Creator - snippets

2005

2006

DNA of an Wealth Creator - snippets

2007

2008

2009

2010

DNA of an Wealth Creator - snippets201

0

2012

5 forces of Wealth Creation

1. High ROE2. Increasing CE3. Growth4. Cost of Capital5. Margin of Safety

3 Component of Value

Valuation and Growth

Valuation

Consistency of Growth

Profitable Growth

(FCF gen capability)

Sustainability of

Growth

How much capital needed

for Growth

Non cyclical Secular Growth

Longevity of Earning

Deconstructing ROE

Great, Good, Gruesome

Great, Good, Gruesome

Winning Investment

• Winning Investmento Winner Category

• Sector growing 1.5x of GDP

o Category Winner• Moat + Growth + Management

o Reasonable Valuation

Uncommon Profit

Uncommon Profit

Uncommon Profit

SQGLP Framework

Quality of Management

Growth vs Quality

Commodity Investing

Phases of Commodity

Cycle

Commodity Investing

Commodity Investing