Post on 02-Aug-2020
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Bay St LouisGulfportPascagoula
MobilePensacola Freeport
Milton
St. Andrew
Apalachi
VeniceAtchafalaya
BayBarataria
Bay
BretonSound
ChandeleurSound
TerrebonneBay
VermilionBayWhite
Lake
CalcasieuLake
GrandLake
CaillouBay
85°0'0"W
85°0'0"W
86°0'0"W
86°0'0"W
87°0'0"W
87°0'0"W
88°0'0"W
88°0'0"W
89°0'0"W
89°0'0"W
90°0'0"W
90°0'0"W
91°0'0"W
91°0'0"W
92°0'0"W
92°0'0"W
93°0'0"W
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32°0'0"N 32°0'0"N
31°0'0"N 31°0'0"N
30°0'0"N 30°0'0"N
29°0'0"N 29°0'0"N
28°0'0"N 28°0'0"N
27°0'0"N 27°0'0"N
26°0'0"N 26°0'0"N
25°0'0"N 25°0'0"N
24°0'0"N 24°0'0"N
23°0'0"N 23°0'0"N
h
Bay St LouisGulfportPascagoula
MobilePensacola Freeport
Milton
St. Andrew
Apalachi
VeniceAtchafalaya
BayBarataria
Bay
BretonSound
ChandeleurSound
TerrebonneBay
VermilionBayWhite
Lake
CalcasieuLake
GrandLake
CaillouBay
85°0'0"W
85°0'0"W
86°0'0"W
86°0'0"W
87°0'0"W
87°0'0"W
88°0'0"W
88°0'0"W
89°0'0"W
89°0'0"W
90°0'0"W
90°0'0"W
91°0'0"W
91°0'0"W
92°0'0"W
92°0'0"W
93°0'0"W
93°0'0"W
32°0'0"N 32°0'0"N
31°0'0"N 31°0'0"N
30°0'0"N 30°0'0"N
29°0'0"N 29°0'0"N
28°0'0"N 28°0'0"N
27°0'0"N 27°0'0"N
26°0'0"N 26°0'0"N
25°0'0"N 25°0'0"N
24°0'0"N 24°0'0"N
23°0'0"N 23°0'0"N
NearshoreSurface Oil Forecast
Deepwater Horizon MC252
UncertaintyLightMediumHeavy
Trajectory
Potentialbeached oilX
This forecast is based on the NWS spot forecast from Monday, June 28 PM. Currents were obtained from several models(NOAA Gulf of Mexico, West Florida Shelf/USF, TGLO/TAMU, NAVO/NRL) and HFR measurements. The model wasinitialized from Sunday-Monday satellite imagery analysis (NOAA/NESDIS) and Monday overflight observations. Theleading edge may contain tarballs that are not readily observable from the imagery (hence not included in the modelinitialization). Oil near bay inlets could be brought into that bay by local tidal currents.
Forecast location for oilon 30-June-10 at 1200 CDT
Next Forecast:June 29th PM
Mississippi Canyon 252Incident Location
Winds are forecast to be predominantly SE through Thursday at speeds of 14-22 kts. These strongonshore winds will continue to move the northern edge of the slick northwest threatening thebarrier islands of Mississippi/Alabama and the Florida Panhandle west of Freeport, FL. TheChandeleur Islands, Breton Sound and the Mississippi Delta also continue to be threatened byshoreline contacts. To the west of the Delta, these winds may bring oil ashore between BaratariaBay and Caillou Bay – any remaining floating oil may be moved quickly to the west as a strongwestward coastal current develops over the next few days.
0 50 10025
Miles
The offshore forecast has been temporarily stopped due to smallamounts of oil offshore, the absence of recent observationsconfirming significant amounts of oil in offshore areas, and thelarge separation between the loop current complex and the oilslick. Forecasts will resume if the threat returns.
Nearshore
Estimate for: 1200 CDT, Wednesday, 6/30/10Date Prepared: 2100 CDT, Monday, 6/28/10
NOAA/NOS/OR&R