Negative Sentiment (or "Sentiment Analysis is Sh*te")

Post on 01-Nov-2014

6,417 views 2 download

Tags:

description

I used to believe that sentiment analysis was one of the most important tools in a smart marketer's box. The rise of social media offered (I thought) a huge, free, and above all, reliable source of both qualitative and quantitative data about how real people really feel about brands, and how our marketing contributed to those feelings. Over the years, though, I've become increasingly disappointed in both the reality and the promise; to the point at which I'm actively recommending that our clients avoid using social media sentiment in their models or as a performance metric. It's time for us all to stop kidding ourselves, 'fess up, and end the conspiracy. In this short talk, I hope to explain why sentiment analysis doesn't function as a useful social media metric, now or EVER.

transcript

Mat Morrison@mediaczar

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Elephant in the roomTuesday, 5 July 2011

or Emperor’s ClothesTuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Volume

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

VolumeRelevanceAUTHORITYSentiment

qualified by

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

quick Question:

How Accurate

is Sentiment analysis?

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

The

stinks

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Robot Human

supervi

sed

Machin

eLearnin

g

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Robots first...

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

I’m unqualified to

make judgements

about the science...

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

I’m unqualified to

make judgements

about the science...

...and So are you.

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Because the Science Is hidden in a box

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Because the Science Is hidden in a box

But scientific Results are Reproducable!!!

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

What’s the buzz around “Green Lantern”?

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Positive Negative Net

Sysomos (Blogs) 40 17 23

TweetSentiment 29 11 18

WDTIT? 56.8 42 14.8

SocialMention 18 5 13

SM2 20 16 4

Sysomos (Tweets) 6.4 7.6 -1.2

Rotten Tomatoes 27 73 -46

A quick poll of a few sentiment engines’ analysis of the buzz surrounding the film “Green Lantern” demonstrates no correspondence.

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

RT @BangsandaBun: According to

some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/

cool enough to be there, but I

blogged about my Glastonbury

experience http://t.co/eEInrnu

Turk THis!

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

RT @BangsandaBun: According to

some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/

cool enough to be there, but I

blogged about my Glastonbury

experience http://t.co/eEInrnu

Turk THis!

Robot says Negative

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

I know the bands for Glastonbury

were great this year, but I still

don't think you could have paid me to

be part of that mental crowd! You?

Turk THis!

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

I know the bands for Glastonbury

were great this year, but I still

don't think you could have paid me to

be part of that mental crowd! You?

Turk THis!

Robot says positive

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

SENTIMENT scoring using Amazon Mechanical Turk disagreed with 16/40 (40%) robot judgments.

Only 13/40 (32.5%) of robotic judgments were passed by all three human Judges.

Raw Data available at http://mczar.me/mkue1p

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

But Are Humans Reliable?

Emotional State/Mood

Priming

Cultural bias

Cognitive Bias

Famously not.

???

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

It Gets Worse...

The Same Human Scorer,

when presented with the

same statement on

multiple occasions, may

score it differently each

time.cf. A Guerilla Experiment in Sentiment Analysis http://mczar.me/lrp7Yi

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

The

stinks

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Academic studiesgenerally focus on

Movies & the STOCK Market

Why is this?

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Social Media data are full of irrelevant...

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Social Media data are full of irrelevant...

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

VolumeRelevanceAuthoritySentiment

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

VolumeRelevanceAuthoritySentiment

All four are needed to make sense of data

But I’m only talking sentiment

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

The

stinks

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

To qualify social media buzz

Why might marketers want to perform Sentiment analysis?

To guide customer service interactions

As a Performance indicator

To identify fans

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Is sentiment actionable?

Product Query

Product Complaint

Product endorsement

Product review

Product COmparison

...I need to know more

Is it a

...

???

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

!"#$

#$

"#$

%##$

%"#$

&##$

&"#$

'##$

()*+,-+.$ /+0+,-+.$ 12342.5$ 6+-.42.5$ 72.08$ 9:.;<$ 725$

!"#"$%&'#

=)*;>$?)@2<$

A2.-4.@)3>$?)@2<$

B;3C>,;<<$?)@2<$

Massive (and unrepresentative) spike in Net Positive

Sentiment caused by specific campaign activity

THE KPI Problem

Should we be allowed to mark our own homework?

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Tuesday, 5 July 2011