Post on 08-May-2015
transcript
Prospective scenarios about city in 2030
Mathieu Baisez – Research & Innovation Division
Ecocity World Summit 2013
Cities in 2030: a changing and booming market
2
R&I of GDFSUEZ decided to carry out a prospective study about cities in 2030
in order to build contrasted and consistent scenarios
Vegetal City - Luc Schuiten
ZAC de Bonne – Grenoble / France Dongtan - China
Bus district in Mentougou - China
A methodology thought to build
4 consistent and contrasted scenarios
3
• Relying on a tried and tested scientific methodology (prospective
methodology of CNAM – Michel Godet)
• Structured on critical
cities evolutions in order
to build consistent cities
scenarios
• Based on information and implication of various Group
representatives (Energy, Energy Services, Environmental Services)
City with strong
political autonomy
City with weak
political autonomy
“Environmental”
focus
“Economic”
focus
SELF CITY - 1
PLANET CITY - 2
3 - CASTLE CITY
4 - PATCHWORK CITY
Self city
Dwellings
Shops and offices
Industries
Agriculture
A participatory and autonomous city with a
committed society
Sustainable development and relocation of activities
A city with several mixed villages
The advent of the decentralised renewable and
shared system
Services with strong territorial roots, requiring an integrated, shared system and a global environmental
approach
A territoriality that works in favour of town planners and
developers
Planet city
Dwellings
Shops and offices
Industries
Agriculture
An informed and active supranational governance structure that introduces environmental regulation
An individualistic services consumer society, cocooning oriented A widely spread and well-
connected city where location no longer matters
Maintaining of centralised systems that improve their
environmental efficiency and become “smart”
An integrated, multiservice approach that depends chiefly on the ability to manage and supervise
systems
A dominating position for IT players and equipment
suppliers
Castle city
Dwellings
Shops and offices
Industries
Agriculture
An autonomous city that wants to safeguard and
develop its economic appeal A planned and densely
populated city
Cost cutting and security of supply provide the best compromise between a
centralised and a decentralised system
Standardised energy and water efficiency solutions combined with specific
management and supervision of the city
A city scenario which is not in anyone’s favour
Patchwork city
Dwellings
Shops and offices
Industries
Agriculture
A free-market city, with no autonomy or policy
An unequal and individualistic society that seeks self-sufficiency and
safety
A privatised city that is widely spread and
segregated into specialised neighbourhoods
Coexistence of systems that depend on income:
centralised and generic or decentralised and specific A diversity of services
related to citizens’ income
The privatisation of the city works in favour of players in the financing sector and the
construction and public works sector
4 stories and 4 urban forms contrasted
City with strong
political autonomy
City with weak
political autonomy
“Environmental”
focus “Economic”
focus SELF CITY - 1
PLANET CITY - 2
3 - CASTLE CITY
4 - PATCHWORK CITY
Thank you for your attention
Mathieu.baisez@gdfsuez.com
A brochure about these
2030 city scenarios is
available on the internet
http://www.gdfsuez.com/en/
news/what-will-cities-be-
like-in-2030/