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SWOT ANALYSIS ON POWR GENERATION AND DISTRIBUTION
Karan.S.Sahni
Agenda
Overview
Exploration
Refinery and Pipelines
Natural Gas
New and Renewable Energy
Power
Types of power generation
SWOT ANALYSIS
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Overview
World Overview
35% of world energy need is supplied by crude oil, 25% by coal and 21% by gas.
Most of the reserve is concentrated in the Middle-east region . (IRAN ,EGYPT, SUADI ARABIA,IRAQ,ISRAEL,ETC.)
World Primary Energy Sector growing at 2%
India Overview
54% Coal, 32% Oil, 9% Natural Gas
India is the 5th largest energy consumer
India has vast potential in the Exploration Sector.
Indian Primary Energy Sector growing at 5%
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REFINING - World Consumption Pattern
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At current rate of consumption & production, oil in India would last only for about 20 to 25 years.
PIPELINES - Crude and LPG Pipe Lines
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GAIL owns and operates 6700 km. of natural gas transmission network which is over 82% of the total pipeline infrastructure in the country
Increasing urbanization and greater concern for environment and safety, the share of pipeline transportation is likely to increase in India
About 50-60% of the primary transportation of petroleum products in developed countries is done through pipelines
Pipeline network of Indian Oil has grown to 9273 km with a capacity of about 62 million metric tonnes per year.
PIPELINES - Transportation
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USA
INDIA
Share of pipeline transportation in India much lower as compared to USA.
Total POL pipeline length currently under operation in India – 12,204 kms
POL pipelines under implementation – 5,561 kms (Investment of USD 1.5 ban)
GAS SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE:CURRENT AND FUTURE –A COMPOSITE PICTURE
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LNG
Existing (7.5 MMTPA)
Transmission Pipelines
Existing (6,300 Kms)
Upcoming (16.25 MMTPA , US$ 2 Billion)
Planned (8,400 Kms, US$ 5 Billion)City Gas/ CNG
Existing (10 cities)Planned (40 cities, US $ 2 Billion)
Gas By Sea Receipt (Likely Location)LNG Terminal
TOTAL INVESTMENT – US$ 9 Billion (Rs.40000 Cr – NEXT 5 YRS )
INTEGRATED GRID TO LINK ANY SOURCE TO ANY MARKET
JAGDISHPUR
PHOOLPUR
BHATINDA
JAMNAGAR
BAREILLY
DISPUR
DELHI
AGARTALA
BARODASURAT
KANPUR
LUCKNOW
PATNA
AHMEDABAD
RAJKOT
KOTA
MATHANIA
GWALIOR
UJJAIN
AGRA
KOLKATA
GAYA
BOKAROVARANASIJHANSI
DAHEJ I & II10 mmtpa*
HAZIRA2.5 mmtpa
MYANMAR-India PipelineA 1 BLOCK, MYANMAR
COIMBTORE
MANGLORE
MUMBAIBHUBANESHWAR
KRISHNAPATNAM
NELLORE
CHENNAI
TUTICORIN
TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI
PUNE
BHARUCH
HASANBANGLORE
KOLHAPUR HYDERABADSOLAPUR
RAJAMUNDRY
VIJAYAWADA
DAMRA
DABHOL5 mmtpa
COCHIN5 mmtpa KANJIRKKOD
AURAIYA
Iran-Pak-India Pipeline
Turk-Afg-Pak-India Pipeline
KAKINADA
BHOPALVIJAIPUR
INDORE
GOA
CUTTACK
India plans to bring 200 of its cities under the gas pipeline network by 2020.
India at present uses around 150 million cubic meter of gas a day.
At present economic growth rate, consumption to increase 3 fold by 2012.
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Solar Power
Location advantage
Average annual temperature – 25-27 degree centigrade
South-East coast has the highest temperature
Major players PV cell - Central Electronics Ltd., BHEL
Reliefs offered by Government on SPV manufacturers and users of SPV based products
- No excise duty for manufacturers
- Low import tariff for several raw materials and components
- Soft loans to users, intermediaries and manufacturers
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RENEWABLE ENERGY - Hydro power
Good indicator: High annual rainfall
The dominant annual rainfall is located on the north-eastern part of India: Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram
Good water management and storage needed.
Advantages
Start up and shut down quick and economical
Long and productive lives Eg. Bhakra Nangal dam
Proposed Hydro Power projects in India
Rampur Hydropower Project
Vishnugadh Pipalkoti Hydropower Project
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Only 20% of the potential is currently being utilized (18000 MW out of 90000 MW)
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind Energy
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Wind energy is plentiful, renewable and clean. Therefore, it is considered by experts to be more environmentally friendly than many other energy sources.
Wind Energy Potential In India
Sl. No. StateGross Potential
(MW)(a)
Technical Potential(MW)
(b)
Installed Capacity(MW)
(c)
1. Andhra Pradesh 8275 1920 121.1
2. Gujarat 9675 1780 667
3. Karnataka 6620 1180 847
4. Kerala 875 605 2.0
5. Madhya Pradesh 5500 845 58
6. Maharashtra 3650 3040 1485
7. Orissa 1700 780 2
8. Rajasthan 5400 910 470
9. Tamilnadu 3050 1880 3460
10. West Bengal 450 450 1.6
11. Other States - - 0.5
Total 45195 MW 13390 MW 7114 MW
Source : M N E S
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind resource in India
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Major Player
Suzlon
- Started in 1995
- Ranked 5th in terms of global market share
- 50% market share in India
- Suzlon is in the process of developing Asia’s largest wind park in Maharashtra (1,000 MW ).
Other major players – Vistas, Emerson and GE wind energy
India is second largest exploiter of Wind Energy – 1000 MW
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Biomass and Bio-fuel
BIOMASS
4th world ranking in power generation
Various Applications:
- Power Generation
- Biomass gasification for heating
- Cooking
Top 3 States in biomass potential
- Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat
BIOFUEL
Bio-fuel initiative using- Atrophy
- Sugarcane Molasses
Supreme Court of India ruling - compulsory blending of 10% ethanol
Technology
Initiatives - SBI, Indian Railways, AP Government Agreement with Reliance Industries
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SWOT ANALYSIS
Major Strengths
Population in India is biggest strength .
Low labour cost as compared other countries.
Never ending demand
India ranks 5th in windmill power sector
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Major Weaknesses
Still 19% villages haven’t seen what is electricity
State Electricity Board are in a weak financial position .
Raw materials & Components used as for power generation (Thermal)are scarce .
Theft of electricity is one of the major concern for this Industry .
Political Interference is more .
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Major Opportunities
Setting up a world’s largest 3,300 MW gas-based power project at the Dhirubhai Ambani Energy City at Dadri in Uttar Pradesh.
Various projects in generation, transmission, distribution and trading of power.
Lowest level of Per Capita power consumption in India Planning to set up a dry transformer plant ranging between 100 KVA to 3000 KVA .
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Major Threats
From the competitors and government controlled organizations
Outsourcing of key raw materials and Components
Raw materials used are subject to heavy price volatility.
Limited experience in designing and manufacturing 220 KV class
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