Post on 09-Nov-2014
transcript
INVESTMENT IN LNG TERMINALS &
FUTURE FOR THE DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRIES
Petronet LNG Ltd., India
By: Rajender Singh, Director(Technical)
OVERVIEW
Global & India’s Energy Consumption Scenario
Downstream Consumers & India’s Gas import Position
India-A Major Gas/ LNG Consumer
LNG Trade
Typical LNG Terminal process
LNG extended chain and PLL presence
PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION (MTOE) - WORLD
Source : BP Statistical Review-June 2012
Fuel 2005 % 2011 %
Oil 3901 37 4059 33
Gas 2501 24 2954 24
Coal 2982 28 3724 30
Nuclear 627 6 599 5
Hydro 662 6 791 6
Renewables 84 1 195 2
Total 10537 100 12322 100
36%
23%
28%
6%
6% 1%Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Renewables
Year 2005
33%
24%
30%
5%6%2% Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Re-new-ables
Year 2011
PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION (MTOE) - INDIA
Year 2005
Source : BP Statistical Review-June 2012
Fuel 2005 % 2011 %
Oil 120 33 162 29
Gas 32 9 55 10
Coal 184 51 296 53
Nuclear 4 1 7 1
Hydro 22 6 30 5
Renewables 2.0 1 9.0 2
Total 364 100 559 100
33%
9%
51%
1% 6%1%
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Re-new-ables
29%
10%
53%
1% 5%2%
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Hydro
Re-new-ables
Year 2011
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2019-20 2026-27 2029-300
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
101.1 102.5 111.26 120.63156.7 172.2
211.79 231.42227 248272
307
358
442
625
713Demand Domestic Supply
(8.0) (8.8)(9.6)
(10.9)
(12.7)
(15.7)
(22.2)
(25.3)
(3.6) (3.6) (3.9) (4.3)(5.6) (6.1)
(7.5) (8.2)
(MMSCMD)(Bcf/day)
Source : Vision 2030, Natural Gas Infrastructure in India
CURRENT GAS DEMAND &
DOMESTIC SUPPLY SCENARIO
Present Downstream Consumer-A Snap Shot
Gas Based Power Generation Feedstock
• Fertilizer Plants• Petrochemicals• Refineries
City Gas Distribution Captive fuel for furnace/boiler/power in industries Transport Sector
• Natural Gas Driven heavy vehicles• Light commercial vehicles• Trains• Barges/ Ships etc.
CNG/ LCNG fuelling stations
Gas Demand (MMSCMD)
Source : Vision 2030, Natural Gas Infrastructure in India
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2019-20 2026-27
Power 86.17 103.94 121.72 139.49 157.26 202.26 307.26
Fertilizer 59.86 59.96 60.39 72.09 96.85 105.65 110.55
City Gas 15.3 16.22 17.19 18.22 22.32 35.94 67.96
Industrial 20.00 20.00 22.00 25.00 27.00 35.00 52.06
Petchem/ Refineries / Internal Cons. 38.37 40.29 42.3 44.41 46.64 53.99 75.76
Sponge/ Iron/ Steel 7.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 10.00 12.19
Total 226.7 248.41 271.6 307.21 358.07 442.84 625.78
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2019-20 2026-270
50
100
150
200
250
300
350Power
Fertilizer
City Gas
Industrial
Petchem/ Refineries / Internal Cons.
Sponge/ Iron/ Steel
SECTOR WISE PROJECTED GAS DEMAND
13th largest gas consumer – 70 BCM (~190 MMSCMD)
5th largest LNG importer – 16 BCM (~44 MMSCMD)
Economy increasing at CAGR of 7-8% p.a. with similar increase in Energy Consumption
Share of Natural Gas in Indian Energy basket to increase from 11% to 20% by 2025
Natural gas is environmentally friendly fuel and the consumption is bound to increase for longer sustainability of any organization
INDIA – A MAJOR GAS/LNG CONSUMER
Gas Production: Exploration/Developing of gas field in India PMT Field already declining KG Basin declining
Coal Bed Methane-under development
Import of Gas Cross Country Gas Pipeline: Many projects (TAPI, IPI, Myanmar-India
etc.) under discussion but long way to go LNG -Dahej, Hazira,Dhabol terminals operating -Kochi to be commissioned soon
Development of Gas Infrastructure to make gas available to end consumers
INDIA – Balancing Demand Supply GAP
Dahej LNG
Terminal
Kochi LNG Terminal
Gangavaram LNG Terminal
INDIA’S GAS INFRASTRUCTURE
Hazira LNG
Terminal
Dabhol LNG
Terminal
Existing P/L Network : 11900 KMS (283 MMSCMD)Proposed additional P/L Network :14000 KMS (540 MMSCMD) by 2016-17
LNG Business
Current demand supply scenario in India makes for a good business case for setting up LNG terminals
Even with all the announced terminals coming on stream in future. Huge demand supply gap is expected going forward indicating scope for more LNG terminals
Huge opportunity for unlocking the latent demand through infrastructure expansion given that natural gas is cheaper than feedstock for many industry sectors
Easy availability of capital through project financing
LNG supplies are expected to increase by 2016-17 with many Australian/US projects coming on stream. Further, the domestic gas prices are expected to go higher, thus brining down the gap between domestic gas price & imported gas price
LNG CHAIN
Gas Field
Liquefaction
Storage
TransferLoading
Transportation (Loaded)
Unloading
TransferStorage
Pumping
Regasification
Vaporised LNG to Gas Consumers
Transport(Ballasted)
TYPICAL-LNG CHAIN COST
InternalConsumption
Metering
SHIPLNG TANK
LPPUMP
HP PUMP
RECONDENSOR GTG
HW PUMP
STV-C
WS PUMP
AIR HEATER
BOG COMP.
UNLOADING/ VAPOR RETURN ARMS
SCV
FUEL GAS
FOR BACKUP
TYPICAL-LNG TERMINAL FLOW DIAGRAM
HW / GW EXCHANGER
CW / GW EXCHANGER
HVAC
STV-A/B
Extended LNG Chain
Container
Container
Petronet’s Initiatives to mitigate Demand Supply –GAP and to
encourage downstream industry in INDIA
DEVELOPMENT OF LNG SATELLITE TERMINAL
LNG Terminal
Small LNG vessels
LNG Satellite terminal
NG Power Plant
NG
NG
Industrial users
Residential users
LNG Trucks LNG Trains
PLL proposes to set up LCNG stations in India for supply of LNG & CNG as a fuel in vehicles.
PLL also proposes to operate a few LNG buses for company and public transportation as a pilot
WORKING ON DEVELOPMENT OF LCNG STATION
Such LCNG Station/Hub can also be used for piped natural gas in nearby area
LNG TRUCKS
Development of LNG TRANSPORTATION IN TRUCKS
VAPORISATION FACILITIES
Satellite Hub
DEVELOPMENT OF SATELLITE LNG HUB
WORKING ON DEVELOPMENT OF LNG TRANSPORTATION THROUGH SMALL SHIPS
WORKING ON DEVELOPMENT OF LNG TRANSPORTATION BY TRAIN
Train can also run on LNG (Example-CANADA)
WORKING ON DEVELOPMENT OF LNG TRANSPORTATION BY TRAIN
CONTD..
WORKING ON DEVELOPMENT OF LNG TRANSPORTATION BY AIRCRAFT
Recommendations
There exists very good potential for investment in LNG terminals in the Country fuelled by the wide gap in demand supply
Investment in the downstream infrastructure also provides good business potential
Conversion of existing liquid fuel user industries to natural gas offers good returns
Indian EPCC contractors can collaborate with the internationally renowned contractors to develop the LNG projects jointly and develop their capabilities locally
Thank You
www.petronetlng.com