Post on 20-Aug-2015
transcript
Core Questions of this Study
• Do certain types of social activities make engagement in risky behaviour more or less likely?
• If so, what are they?
• What is the effect of risky behaviour and social activities on educational attainment?
The LSYPE Dataset
Background to the Study• Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE) –
nationally representative study• Study began in 2004 when young people aged 13-14• Four completed waves, young people now aged 17-18• 15,000 pupils at Wave 1, 11,000 at Wave 4
Data Available• Interviews with YP and parent/s• Information on family background, attitudes and aspirations• Linked to NPD which includes attainment at Key Stages 2, 3
and 4
Young People’s Risky Behaviours
05
101520
25303540
Per
cen
t
Age 14 Age 15 Age 16
InternalisingExternalising
Young People Engaging in Internalising or Externalising Risky Behaviour
6355
48
1022
32
14 75
3 9 9
10 7 6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Age 14 Age 15 Age 16
Pe
r c
en
t
2+ ext + int
1 ext + int
Only ext
Only int
None
Interim Findings
• A majority of young people (largely) abstained from risky behaviour.
• While more young people drank, smoked or played truant at age 16 than at age 14, comparatively fewer also engaged in behaviours directed against other people or property.
• This does not mean that the two types of risky behaviour are not connected
• There remains a ‘hard-core’ of young people who engage in both types of risky behaviour and many have done so from an early age (although they were not the focus of our study)
Young People Engaging in Social Activities
30 28 23 17 15 11 4
82
33 3520 15 19
9 6
84 80 82
0102030405060708090
100
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Age 14 Age 15
Young People Engaging in Social Activities
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Per
cen
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Age 14 Age 15Socialising Self-development
Young People Engaging in Social Activities and Risky Behaviour
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4-6 0 1 2 3 4 5-12 0 1 2 3-4
Socialising activities Neutral activities Self-development activities
Number of social activities young person partakes in
Me
an
nu
mb
er
of
ris
ky
be
ha
vio
urs
yo
un
g p
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on
en
ga
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s
in
Externalising risky behaviours Internalising risky behaviours
Young People Engaging in Social Activities and Risky Behaviour
0.56
1.37
1.71
2.73
0.83
3.91
1.71
1.31
1.54
0.67
1.82
0.89
2.21
0.30
1.64
0.50
1.75
3.22
0.84
0.78
0.93
1.08
0 1 2 3 4
0
(reference category) 1
2
3
4
Decrease
(reference category) No change
Increase
0
(reference category) 1
2
3
Decrease
(reference category) No change
Increase
Increase in risky behaviour (odds ratio)
Increase in internalising risky behaviourIncrease in externalising risky behaviour
Young People Engaging in Social Activities and Risky Behaviour
1.08
1.37
1.74
0.84
0.77
0.58
0.75
1.99
1.10
1.63
1.71
0.75
0.41
0.79
1.54
0.65
0.49
0.32
1.47
0.66
0.62
0.79
0 1 2 3 4
0
(reference category) 1
2
3
4
Decrease
(reference category) No change
Increase
0
(reference category) 1
2
3
Decrease
(reference category) No change
Increase
Decrease in risky behaviour (odds ratio)
Decrease in internalising riskybehaviourDecrease in externalising riskybehaviour
Conclusions
• More socialising activities associated with more risky behaviour (internalising and externalising)
• Fewer socialising activities associated with fewer risky behaviours
• No clear-cut evidence that more self-development activities are associated with reduced risky behaviour
• But they are associated with better GCSE results
Take-home message
• Reversing a behaviour appears difficult
• Prevention may be a more promising approach, without being necessarily easier to implement