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Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 1
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 2
Neighbourhoods City Neighbourhood Name EPSB Neighbourhood Name
Glenwood Afton North*, Afton South* Glendale
Terra Losa Afton North*, Afton South*
West Meadolark Park Afton North*, Afton South*
Summerlea Afton North*, Afton South*
Meadowlark Park Meadowlark
West Jasper Place Sherwood
Sherwood Sherwood** *Dividing boundary is 165 Street **Dividing boundary is 95 Avenue
Attendance Area School Attendance Area (EPSB Neighbourhoods) Afton Afton North, Afton South, Glendale West, Tera Losa, Summerlea
Glendale Glendale
Sherwood Sherwood
Westlawn Afton North, Afton South, Glendale West, Glendale, Tera Losa, Sherwood, Summerlea, Laperle, Belmead, Steward Greens, Rosenthal
*Dividing Boundary is 90 Avenue and 170 Street ** Dividing Boundary is 92 Avenue
City Neighbourhood – the boundary defined by the City of Edmonton as the “neighbourhood” boundary. This is the name of the neighbourhood as it relates to Municipal and Federal census data.
EPSB Neighbourhood – the boundary defined by Edmonton Public Schools as the “neighbourhood” boundary. These neighbourhoods make up attendance areas for schools. While the most of the boundaries will be the same as City of Edmonton neighbourhoods, some boundaries will be different and in many cases a City of Edmonton neighbourhood will be made up of more than one EPSB neighbourhood.
Attendance Area – the area that includes all the EPSB neighbourhoods designated to a school. Not all EPSB schools have attendance areas.
2015/2016 School Utilization* School Total
Enrolment Adjusted
Enrolment Net
Capacity School
Utilization
Afton 302 292 562 52%
Glendale 153 167.5 208 81%
Sherwood 160 160 265 60%
Westlawn 268 314 654 48%
Cluster 883 933.5 1689 55%
*Provincial utilization reports are received every spring by EPSB (March 2016)
School Utilization – a measure of how “full” a school is. This is based on a new formula (Instructional Area Model) based on the instructional areas (areas used by students for instruction) of a school building and the adjusted enrolment of the school. School Utilization (%) = Adjusted Enrolment/Net Capacity
Adjusted Enrolment – the total enrolment for a school adjusted by weighting kindergarten and pre-kindergarten students at 0.5 and all “severe” special needs students (students with special needs codes of 41-47) at 3 (shown by the adjusted enrolment at Westlawn). Adjusted Enrolment = 0.5*(Pre-K/Kindergarten students) + (grades 1-12 students) + 2*(“severe” students)
Net Capacity – The total number of student spaces in the building less any exempt uses. Exempt uses are administrative uses or not-for-profit leases. The total number of student spaces based on the instructional areas of a building and not the other areas such as staff rooms, gathering areas, mechanical rooms or corridors. There are a number of factors considered in the complex formula such as grades taught in the building and rating of CTS, gymnasium and library spaces.
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 3
2016 Municipal Census Information Employment
Length of Residency
Dwelling Ownership
Age and Gender Population Pyramid
11.4%
1.6%
30.2%
3.8% 17.6%
35.4%
Child/School/PostSecondary
Homemaker
Employed
Unemployed
Retired/Unable to Work
No Response
35%
8%
12% 7%
1%
37% > 5 Years
3 to 5 Years
1 to 3 Years
< 1 Year
Child < 1 Year
No Response
0
500
1000
1500
Glenwood MeadowlarkPark
Sherwood Summerlea Terra Losa West JasperPlace
WestMeadowlark
Park
Rented Owned No Response
344 298 257 316 390 456 522 478 368 413 257 509 454 298 234 237 203 193
314 306 310 304 413 464 580 477 445 458 310 607 551 464 400 501 338 345
650 550 450 350 250 150 50 50 150 250 350 450 550 650
0 - 4
5 - 9
10 - 14
15 - 19
20 - 24
25 - 29
30 - 34
35 - 39
40 - 44
45 - 49
50 - 54
55 - 59
60 - 64
65 - 69
70 - 74
75 - 79
80 - 84
85 +
Population
Age
Ran
ge
Westlawn Cluster Totals Female Male
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 4
2016 Municipal Census Information
Observations/Trends - What does the data tell you?
Pretty heavy, age 55+ group, Large number of older people
Stable from age 0 – 19
Broken down by neighborhood
Working community (employed)
People that live here tend to stay here
Mature area
A lot of apartments
Employment trend indicates stability and staying in the area; so may rent vs. own
Very small percentage of homemakers suggesting child care is important
Relatively high rental population, especially in Glenwood and West Jasper Place. Hard to predict population trends in those areas
Questions/Wonderings – What do I still need to know?
Seniors – services/programs
Comparison to city averages and other areas (see link to full census – bottom of page)
Need to see trending for age
Can we compare child bearing age numbers to expected levels of school age?
What about infill stats? Can this cluster expect infill?
Can we get populations divided by neighborhood? (see link to full census – bottom of page)
Does the city have any forecasts about the impact of LRT or planned development on neighborhood populations?
For more census information go to https://www.edmonton.ca/city_government/facts_figures/municipal-census-results.aspx
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 5
Enrolment Information Historical Enrolment (Total School Enrolment)
All neighbourhoods in the cluster have stabilized and do not show signs of further decline or significant growth (a lesser amount of growth may naturally occur as homes turn over to new families).
Not all students that live in an attendance area attend their designated school. This means that students travel into an attendance area to attend a school and students also travel out of an attendance area as well.
Historical EPSB Neighbourhood Totals
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Afton Glendale Sherwood Westlawn
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Afton (Pre K to 6) Glendale (Pre K to 6) Sherwood (Pre K to 6) Westlawn (7 to 9)
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 6
Afton by Grade and Program
Grade Arts Core Total
Kindergarten 44 44
Grade 1 43 43
Grade 2 48 48
Grade 3 35 35
Grade 4 47 47
Grade 5 47 47
Grade 6 38 38
Total 302 302
Sherwood by Grade and Program
Grade Regular Opp* Total
Kindergarten 20 20
Grade 1 18 7 25
Grade 2 15 4 19
Grade 3 17 9 26
Grade 4 18 6 24
Grade 5 15 10 25
Grade 6 14 7 21
Total 117 43 160 *Opportunity Program
Glendale by Grade and Program
Grade Regular Interactions Total
Kindergarten 23 23
Grade 1 18 2 20
Grade 2 18 5 23
Grade 3 23 4 27
Grade 4 20 1 21
Grade 5 19 19
Grade 6 20 20
Total 141 12 153
Westlawn by Grade and Program
Grade Regular BLA* ISP** Strategies Total
Grade 7 73 5 1 13 92
Grade 8 76 2 1 10 89
Grade 9 70 8 5 4 87
Total 219 15 7 27 268 *Behaviour and Learning Assistance **Individual Supports Program
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 7
Enrolment Information Observations/Trends - What does the data tell you?
General downward
Spikes? Schools open, Arts program
Stable population
There are many, many students who are leaving Westlawn Junior High enrolment – 300, students in neighborhood 550. Why?
Does there need to be programming to bring them in?
Some schools have only one class/grade that’s very difficult for programming
From 1980 onwards enrolment looks pretty steady, best fit line would be helpful
Neighborhood totals tend to mirror enrolment numbers so in/out of students seems to even out
Afton and Westlawn enrolment seems more volatile than the others
Both jump and fall within a range
Sherwood and Glendale seem to be consistently declining, but gradually
Questions/Wonderings – What do I still need to know?
What impacted Westlawn’s population in 2003 or 1997?
Glendale numbers looks high. Net capacity is 208 but late 60’s to early 70’s is over 300?
What are enrolment predictions for next five years? This is more important than historical numbers
Context/explanations from major peaks and valleys
What would happen to the special needs programs?
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 8
Migration Information
Afton - Other EPSB Junior High Schools
School Total over
5 years School
Total over 5 years
Hillcrest** 42 Crestwood 1
Westminster 25 D. S. MacKenzie 1
Victoria 19 Edith Rogers 1
Parkview 12 Edm Christian West 1
S. Bruce Smith 12 L. Y. Cairns 1
Bessie Nichols 7 Meadowlark Christian 1
Academy King Edward 2 Oliver 1
Britannia 2 Westmount 1
Winterburn 2 Total 132
Argyll Centre 1 **Afton South NHBD Designated to Hillcrest Glendale - Other EPSB Junior High Schools School Total over 5 years
Hillcrest 10
Meadowlark Christian 8
Parkview 3
S. Bruce Smith 3
Bessie Nichols 2
Britannia 2
Westminster 2
Westmount 2
Edith Rogers 1
Total 33
18 16
12 14
15
29 30 30
19
24
11 10
8
14
4 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Afton Grade 6 to Grade 7
Westlawn
Other
Left the District
12 13
5
10
13
9
6
10
5
3 2
1 1 1 1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Glendale Grade 6 to Grade 7
Westlawn Other Left the District
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 9
*Includes Afton, Glendale, Sherwood, Belmead and LaPerle.
Sherwood - Other EPSB Junior High Schools
School Total over
5 years School
Total over 5 years
Parkview 25 Edith Rogers 1
L. Y. Cairns 13 Hillcrest 1
Britannia 2 Rosslyn 1
Westminster 2 S. Bruce Smith 1
Westmount 2 Total 49
Dr. M. A. Armour 1
Westlawn – Other Elementary Grade 6 students
0 1
4
11
7
1 3
4
2 1
15 14
9
4
7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sherwood Grade 6 to Grade 7
Westlawn Other Left the District
42 45
30
50 52
25
16
26
15
25
14 11 11
17 15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Grade 6 into Westlawn Grade 7 Feeder Other New to District
School Total
over 5 years
School Total
over 5 years
School Total over 5 years
Aldergrove 10 Prince Charles 3 Mee-Yah-Noh 1
Brightview 9 Winterburn 3 Mount Royal 1
Thorncliffe 9 McArthur 2 Norwood 1
Youngstown 8 Michael A. Kostek 2 Princeton 1
Ormsby 7 Belmont 1 Queen Elizabeth 1
Callingwood 6 Grace Martin 1 Richard Secord 1
Elmwood 5 Hardisty 1 Rio Terrace 1
Mayfield 5 Inglewood 1 Sifton 1
Meadowlark 5 John A. McDougall 1 Stratford El Jr 1
Lynwood 4 Kensington 1 Vimy Ridge Academy 1
James Gibbons 3 Kildare 1 Virginia Park 1
Lymburn 3 Lago Lindo 1 Total 103
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 10
Migration Information Observations/Trends - What does the data tell you?
Junior High – 2 or 3 different
Opportunity students – gr. 7
Parkview K-9 - When grade 6 goes to 7 and have siblings at Sherwood, they sometimes go too. Whole families more to Parkview
What happens to the Afton students who are currently designated to Hillcrest?
What if they’re in a new K-9 school? Will they continue at the new school and not go to Hillcrest?
How does this affect Hillcrest?
More students are coming from the district and other parts of the city than are leaving the district for Afton, Glendale and Westlawn, but not for Sherwood
Programming is probably more important than the facility but there is a relationship between the two
Afton’s migration away from Westlawn could be partly because no arts emphasis, and no music program at all
Glendale students don’t tend to migrate away from Westlawn
Sherwood students seem more likely to leave the district for junior high
Maybe they leave when they don’t need full day kindergarten?
Westlawn depends on feeder schools for the majority of its enrollment
Questions/Wonderings – What do I still need to know?
Is there any information that might suggest a reason for Sherwood’s out of district migration?
What does this mean for our planning? Why are students leaving the cluster? Is it for different programming or because they don’t like the options in the cluster?
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 11
Attendance Area Information Kindergarten to Grade 9 only, early years programming is not included as it is designed to serve a larger area
Comes into the Area for Programming
Stays in the Area for Programming
Leaves the Area for Programming
Lives in Area # of Students School # of Students School # of Students
Parkview 27 Afton 149 Hillcrest** 78
LaPerle 24 Glendale 106 Parkview 60
Belmead 22 Sherwood 73 Westminster 55
Hillcrest 22 Westlawn 171 Meadowlark Christian 49
Bessie Nichols 19 Total: 499 Stratford El Jr 44
Winterburn 19 Youngstown 28
Youngstown 19 Top 10 Alternative Programming Choices Meadowlark 26
Patricia Heights 17 Program # of Students Crestwood 24
Aldergrove 15 Regular 274 Rio Terrace 23
James Gibbons 15 Christian 61 Elmwood 20
Lymburn 15 International Baccal. 47 Lynnwood 19
Meadowlark 12 Cogito 45 Malcolm Tweddle 18
Britannia 10 French Immersion 30 Mayfield 17
Callingwood 10 Bilingual Chinese 29 S. Bruce Smith 16
Thorncliffe 10 Early Education 16 Edm Christian West 13
Inactive 9 Pre-Advanced Placement 12 Britannia
12
Brightview 8 Awasis 11 Laurier Heights 12
Other Less then 8* 109 Science Alternative 11 Victoria 12
Total:382 LaPerle 11
*Among 41 Schools Prince Charles 11 Other Less than 11* 131
Total:679
*Among 47 Schools **Afton South Neighbourhood Designated to Hillcrest
Space for Students in Mature Communities Westlawn Cluster Community Working Committee
Prepared by Infrastructure Planning Edmonton Public Schools November 30, 2016 Page 12
Attendance Area Information
Observations/Trends - What does the data tell you?
499+679=1178
Rental
Programs are drawing students away so let’s keep good programs in
Band?
Too many are leaving, what programs are we missing?
More students are leaving than coming, doesn’t seem to match the data on the previous pages?
Sherwood has the lowest local attendees and Afton/Westlawn have higher numbers of local attendees. Does this recommend the Afton / Westlawn option?
Surprised at some of the distances people travel for programming. Speculated that school choice could be affected by location of grandparents (aging neighborhoods) or location of work (hospital)
Does a large percentage of students leaving for regular programming mean they are leaving because of perception or reputation? If they’re not leaving for special programming then why leave the area?
Questions/Wonderings – What do I still need to know?
Need some qualitative context
How are these stats lined up with other areas? What is normal?
Do other factors play a role in leaving? All day Kindergarten? Daycares? Nonprofits? Exc.
Can we get information for each school about how many kids are coming into the area and leaving the area for programming? Relates to how alternative programs draw.
What does Hillcrest have for programming?
Of these that leave (top 10) why are they choosing?
Languages, special programs?