Strong Cold Front Moves through Tonight · Hazard Impacts Location Timing Severe Weather Localized...

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Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Strong Cold Front Moves through Tonight

Decision Support Briefing # 4

As of: 2:30 PM Thursday

February 6th, 2020

Briefing applies to the

Morehead City/Newport, NC

Area Only

What Has Changed?

• Tornado Watch in Effect

• Quicker Timing

• Wind Advisory for the rest of eastern NC

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

Severe

Weather

Localized downed trees and

power lines, and isolated

structural damage associated

with the strongest storms. An

isolated tornado is possible.

All of Eastern NC.

Late this

afternoon through

tonight.

Coastal

Flooding/

High Surf

Minor soundside inundation

up to 2 ft. above ground level.

Large surf, minor beach

erosion, and ocean overwash.

Coastal flooding soundside

Outer Banks north of Hatteras

Inlet.

Beach erosion and overwash

for vulnerable locations south

of Oregon Inlet.

Tonight into Friday

Night.

Strong

Non-Storm

Winds

Scattered power outages

along the coast. Isolated

outages inland.

All of Eastern NC, strongest

winds will be along the coast.

Tonight into

Friday.

River

Flooding

Minor River Flooding possible

on main stem rivers by this

weekend.

Points along the Tar, Neuse,

and NE Cape Fear basins.

This weekend into

early next week.

MarineStrong Gale Force winds, with

dangerous seas.

All coastal waters, sounds, and

tidal rivers.

This Afternoon

into Friday

Evening.

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Marine

Summary of Greatest Impacts

Severe Weather

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Non-Thunderstorm Winds

Coastal Flooding

River Flooding

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Slight to Enhanced Risk for Severe

Storms for Eastern NC.Scattered Severe Thunderstorms.

Severe Weather Risk

TimingLate This

Afternoon

Through Tonight

Damaging winds

could bring trees

down and cause

minor damage to

structures

Impacts

Isolated

Tornado

Possible

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

More Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watches are possible for southern counties later today through tonight.

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

Follow us http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Presentation Created

2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

Follow us http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Presentation Created

2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Coastal Flood Advisory:

Minor coastal flooding expected

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

High Surf Advisory:Large 7-10 ft

breaking waves

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Confidence is HIGH that this event will occur, and we are expecting MODERATE impacts.

Period of greatest impact: Tonight through Friday.

o Severe Weather: Potential for damaging wind gusts, and a possible isolated tornado

across Eastern NC. Highest threat period will be late this afternoon through tonight.

o Coastal Flooding: Minor sound side coastal flooding possible along the Outer Banks

Tonight into Friday Night. Minor inundation up to 2 ft. (AGL) possible.

o Non-Thunderstorm Winds: Strong winds ahead of a cold front will develop tonight and

continue behind the cold front Friday. Strongest winds will be along the coast,

where scattered power outages are possible. Isolated outages inland.

Event Summary

Morehead City, NCWeather Forecast Office

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2/6/2020 2:41 PM

Contact and Next Briefing Information

Briefing Webpage

This will be the final

briefing on this event

unless needed.

Web:

http://www.weather.gov/mhx/

Phone (public):

(252) 223-5737 ext. 6

E-mail:

wxobs.mhx@noaa.gov

Facebook:

NWS Newport/Morehead City

Twitter:

@NWSMoreheadCity

YouTube:

NWSMoreheadCity