Super Brains!Science fiction or fact?

John Moravec, PhDUniversity of Minnesotamoravec@umn.edu

Danger!

Industrial Thinking

John

Industrial Thinking

Knowledge Society

ICTs change how we communicate

ICTs change how we think

140

ICTs change how we learn

Leapfrog Institutes

Citizen Scientists

Leapfrog Institutes

The future is already here –

it is just unevenly distributed.

– William Gibson

Past Future% o

f pop

ulat

ion

with

acc

ess

Three Trends

•Accelerating change

•Continuing globalization

•Innovation society fueled by knowmads

Accelerating Change

The Technological Singularity

Level of Advancement

J

Time

Technological Singularity

This Means...

•The amount of information available is doubling at an exponential rate

•The half-life of useable knowledge is decreasing exponentially

Also...

•It’s important that we expand our capabilities to imagine and create preferred futures

•We need to explore ways to upgrade ourselves to adapt to an ever-changing world

Globalization

Leapfrog Institutes

Nomads

Knowmads

ParadigmParadigmParadigm

Domain 1.0 2.0 3.0

Fundamental relationships Simple Complex Complex creative

(teleological)

Conceptualization of order

Hierarchic Heterarchic Intentional, self-organizing

Relationships of parts Mechanical Holographic Synergetic

Worldview Deterministic Indeterminate Design

Causality Linear Mutual Anticausal

Change process Assembly Morphogenic Creative destruction

Reality Objective Perspectival Contextual

Place Local Globalizing Globalized

Moravec’s Paradox

the other

The mind of a machine

Are we getting smarter?

Processing power per kg

Time

Meat

Silicon

Time

Meat

Processing power per kg

vs.

+ = ?

Moravec’s Paradox

John

Get Smart(er)

What...

are relevant skills and competencies for the 21st century?

Formal Non-formal Informal Serendipitous

Invisible Learning

Mindware

dot nl

In lieu of conclusion...

We still don’t know much about the human brain.

What’s next?

Transhumans

Posthumans

Will humans dream of electric sheep?