Sustainagility - Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility -...

transcript

Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

SustainAgility

Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)

Sustainagility- Greentech Innovation, Sustainable Business and Corporate Social Responsibility -

Keynote for Alstom (2013)

500 videos of keynoteswww.youtube.com/pjvdixon

over 4 million views

www.globalchange.com14 million unique visitors

Most debates about future are about timing

What if green tech / gas balancing takes off faster ?

“80-95% carbon reduction” Fantasy or Future?

Related Issues

Wild Cards: Risk Management

Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million

Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia

• Click to edit Master text styles

The future is about

EU330m more

EU1 trillion debt

The future is about

EMOTION

Passions Change

Demands for more responsible capitalism, socially-minded SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS following global banking crisis

300 million cities in China by 2020Commodity price pressure

1 trillionpages a month

"Perfection!, Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views.“

Telford UK, May 20, 2012This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly and good value.

“Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed down.“ Paris April, 2012

NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty. Many guests got sick.

33% in UK don’t watch live TV

Some users in France > 30 gig in days

95% EU bandwidth soon video

> 200 million mobile payments > $160bn

Vodafone Mastercard Sprint

Vamoosle

Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay

2010 2013 2015

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

Data accepted widelyScience of global warming is highly influentialPassion - government - regulation - subsidy

Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA

350-393ppm in 30 years x

420,000 Years - CO2 and Earth Temperature ”Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over some of northern hemisphere 15,000 years ago”

“400,000 sq miles of Arctic ice melted in 30 years”

China water crisis“In 20 years, 18,000 square miles of ice melted” “3000 out of 4000 Tibetan lakes dried up”

Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”

Shale gas 33% US supplies

200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years

5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind

30 million acres lost

EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food

25% of 2010 US grain fuel

30% US grain burnt in cars

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert

“33-49% EU power = wind by 2050” Surplus wind to methane ?Gas power - load balancing

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use

QUEBEC from ARIZONA

Solar cell generation parity <1-3 yrs --> ?

Heat Pumps

• 70% new buildings in Sweden• 45% new buildings in New Zealand• Up to 50% energy savings• Payback 15 years but boosts electricity demand

Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 peak $10,000 per MWhr

Managing peak demand• Variable pricing - weather and time of day - appliance control

Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week

• Only 5% EU power crosses borders

Street Lights - Philips5% 2% of US / EU energyPayback period 4 years 120 million EU street lamps 75% replace in 15 years at unit cost

of $750 including labour

Will we be ready?

For individualsFor familyFor community / investorsFor whole earth

Making Life Better