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Technology Trends :Impacts to Thai Industries

Assoc.Prof. Dr. Thanachart NumnondaDirectorSoftware Park Thailand22 September 2012

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IT Trends

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Things that Baby Born after 2011does not know

Video tape

Travel Agents

Paper maps

Long distance call

Wired phones

Yellow and White Pages:

etc..

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Current Technologies My Newborn Son Won’t Use

http://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use

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Current Technologies My Newborn Son Won’t Use

http://gizmodo.com/5901576/15-current-technologies-my-newborn-son-wont-use

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Digital Revolution

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Gartner Hype Cycle of Emerging Technologies 2011

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Gartner Technology Trends 2012

Media tablets and beyond

Mobile-centric applications and interfaces

Social and contextual user experience

Application stores and marketplace

The Internet of everything

Next-generation analytics

Big data

In-memory computing

Extreme low-energy servers

Cloud computing

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Media tablets and beyond

By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50% of laptop shipments

the smartphone arena, prices will fall to $75

iOS/Android will dominate the market with 80% of tablets shipped by 2015.

The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where Windows is one of a variety of environments IT

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Mobile-centric applications and interfaces

By 2014, there will be more than 70 billion mobile application downloads from app stores every year

By 2014, at least half of the tools optimized for app store application development in 2010 will have been acquired or will have ceased to exist.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Social and contextual user experience

By 2015, 40% of the world's smartphone users will opt in to context service providers

The tipping point here could be technology such as near-field communications getting into more and more devices

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Application stores and marketplace

The key here is the rise of enterprise application stores that can develop specific apps for users.

Enterprises should use a managed diversity approach to focus app store efforts and segment apps by risk and value.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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The Internet of everything

The idea here is that we are building on pervasive computing where cameras, sensors, microphones, image recognition -- everything -- is now part of the environment.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Next-generation analytics

IT can focus on developing analytics that enable and track collaborative decision making..

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Big Data

By February 2011, a Google search on "big data" yielded 2.9 million hits, and vendors now advertise their products as solutions to the big data challenge.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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In-memory computing

We will see huge use of flash memory in consumer devices, entertainment devices, equipment and other embedded IT systems.

As lower-cost -- and lower-quality -- flash is used in the data center, software that can optimize the use of flash and minimize the endurance cycles becomes critical.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Extreme low-energy servers

What if you could turn 10 virtual machines in one box into 40 slow physical servers that are tiny and use very low amounts of energy?

Gartner says that 10%-15% of enterprise workloads are good for this.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Cloud computing

This topic went from No. 1 last year to No. 10 this year, but it's still an important trend.

It will become the next-generation battleground for the likes of Google and Amazon.

Going forward, enterprise IT will be concerned with developing hybrid private/public cloud apps, improving security and governance.

Source: By Michael Cooney, Network World

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Top 10 Gadget Trends

Nintendo Wii U

Android 4.0

iPad Mini

UltraBook

New MacAir

Kindle Fire II

iPhone 5

New iPad

Playstation Vista

Windows 8

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IT Trends

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Mega IT Trends

Mobile Computing

Cloud Computing

Social Technologies

Intelligent Devices

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Mobile Technologies

56Source: wikipedia

Mobile Cloud Computing

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2014Mobile will become the most common

way of accessing the Internet

Source :Trending the future: Mobile Trends 2011

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Welcome toThe Post-PC Era

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SmartPhones

Smartphone usage in Thailand in 2010 is 18% and expect to grow to 60-65% in 2015 [Frost & Sullivan]

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62Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com

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SmartPhone Market Shares Q3 2011

Source :Gartner 2011

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Smartphone Market Share

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Smartphone Sales Prediction

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Global smartphones annual sales will grow about 46 percent to 687.9 million units this year

and will touch 1.05 billion units in 2014

[Credit Suisse; Apr 2012]

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More than 480,000 Tablets sold in Thailand

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One Tablet per Child (OTPC)

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Tablet Sales Prediction

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Mobile Payments Heat Up

Near field communications (NFC)

U.S. made strides toward the tech, especially with the arrival of Google Wallet, which allows users to store credit and loyalty cards on their mobile device.

Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011

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QR Codes

QR codes started to pop up more in digital and print marketing campaigns in 2011.

For example,Sears and Kmart integrated the concept into their holiday marketing initiatives.

Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011

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Mobile Gaming Explode

Games were the most popular type of apps among smartphone users, beating out search, maps/navigation, and social networking and music apps for the top spot.

93% of all users are willing to pay for a mobile game.

Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011

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The Cloud

Apple introduced its highly-anticipated iCloud service.

Google also launched a similar music service earlier in the year,

Source :8 Big Trends That Shaped the Mobile Phone Industry in 2011

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Intelligent Devices

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เครื่องวัดความดัน

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81Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com

82Source :London Futurists; mz@envisioningtech.com

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Mobile Cloud Computing

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Copyright VisionMobile 2012

It’s no longer about smartphonesKey ecosystems are expanding across 4 screens

Mac computers

iPhone iPad Apple TV

Chrome browser

Android Android tablets

Google TV

Windows, Office

Windows 8Windows Phone

Xbox

PC smartphone tablet smart TV

Copyright VisionMobile 2012

2015

Convergence in 2015 will be around ecosystemsand experience roaming across many types of devices

one ecosystem, 10s of screens

ecosystems

experience roaming

20102005

one bill,triple play

one device, 1,000s of apps

network device

vision

focalpoint

competebased on

price ofservice

number of apps

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Mobile Applications

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องค์กรในยุค 2012

Mobile Worker

Global (ลูกค้า ผู้ร่วมงาน พันธมิตร)

Anywhere, Anytime

การทำงานอย่างต่อเนื่อง (Business Continuity)

การเปล่ียนแปลงสู่ชีวิตดิจิตอล (Digital Life Convergence)

Source : http://www.rickscloud.com/

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แนวโน้มการใช้ซอฟต์แวร์

ต้องสามารถใช้ได้กับทุกอุปกรณ์ Notebook,Tablet,SmartPhone

สามารถเข้าถึงข้อมูลได้ทุกที่ ทุกเวลา และ ทุกอุปกรณ์สามารถใช้งานได้อย่างต่อเนื่อง โดยไม่หยุดชะงัก และข้อมูลไม่สูญหายคิดค่าใช้จ่ายตามการใช้งาน OPEX ไม่ใช่ CAPEX

เป็นบริการ (Service) ไม่ใช่ ผลิตภัณฑ์ (Product)

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Ten Cutting Edge Mobile App 2012

Location Based Services

Social Networking

Mobile Search

Mobile Commerce

Mobile Payment

Context Aware Service

Object Recognition

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Ten Cutting Edge Mobile App 2012

Mobile Instant Messaging

Mobile e-mail

Mobile Video

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GMail

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Picasa

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Google Calendar

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Google Calendar

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Dropbox

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Dropbox

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Wongnai

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OokBee

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B2S BookStore

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E-Book / Newspaper

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e-Booking

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e-Commerce

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e-Commerce

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Internet Banking

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Mobile Banking : Example

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Your Bank

Source : @2009 Tieto Corporation

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Why Trends?

In 1950; GDP per capita < $100; Need Financial aids

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The Chonggyechon river,South Korea

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Time to Change!! for The New Opportunities

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www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand

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Thank you

thanachart@swpark.or.thtwitter.com/thanachartwww.facebook.com/thanachartwww.swpark.or.thwww.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand