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Texas and Waco: Demographic Characteristics and Trends
Waco Business LeagueApril 10, 2012
Waco, TX
2000Population*
2010Population*
NumericalChange
2000-2010
PercentChange
2000-2010United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%
15.7% of numerical change in U.S.
Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
Growing States, 2000-2010
3
Percent Change Due to
Year* PopulationNumericalChange**
PercentChange
NaturalIncrease
NetMigration
1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.091970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.261980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.421990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.152000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.352009 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 54.04 45.332010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.62011 25,674,681 529,120 2.1 54.79 44.99
All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous decade/time period
Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.
Components of Change Texas and McLennan County, 2010 to 2011
Geographic AreaTotal
Population Change
Natural Increase
Vital Events Net Migration
Births Deaths Total Inter-national Domestic
Texas 529,120 288,479 493,650 205,171 238,956 93,641 145,315
McLennan County 3,658 1,792 4,197 2,405 1,855 477 1,378
49% 51%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division.
Population Change in McLennan County, 1980-2010
County 1980 1990 2000 2010
McLennan 170,755 189,123 213,517 234,906
1980 1990 2000 2010150,000170,000190,000210,000230,000250,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Census Counts 1980-2010.
McLennan County Population by Year, 2000-2010
April 1, 2
000120002
20012002
20032004
20052006
20072008
2009
April 1, 2
010
July 1, 2
010200,000205,000210,000215,000220,000225,000230,000235,000240,000
McLennan County
6
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division.
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Demographic Characteristics of Waco, McLennan County and Texas
WacoMcLennan
County TexasPopulation, 2010 124,805 234,906 25,145,561Population, percent change, 2000 to 2010 9.7% 10.0% 20.6%Population, 2000 113,726 213,517 20,851,820Persons under 5 years, percent, 2010 7.7% 7.1% 7.7%Persons under 18 years, percent, 2010 24.7% 25.4% 27.3%Persons 65 years and over, percent, 2010 11.3% 12.5% 10.3%Female persons, percent, 2010 52.1% 51.4% 50.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Census Counts 2000 and 2010.
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Race and Ethnic Characteristics of Waco, McLennan County and Texas, 2010
WacoMcLennan
County TexasPercent White 59.2% 69.8% 70.4%
Percent Black 21.5% 14.8% 11.8%
Percent American Indian and Alaska Native 0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
Percent Asian 1.8% 1.4% 3.8%
Percent Native Hawaiian & Other Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Percent 2 or More Races 2.8% 2.5% 2.7%
Percent Hispanic (any race) 29.6% 23.6% 37.6%
Percent White Not Hispanic 45.8% 58.9% 45.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Census Count 2010.
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Businesses by Ownership and Retail Sales for Waco, McLennan County andTexas
WacoMcLennan
County Texas
Total number of firms, 2007 7,912 16,888 2,164,852
Black-owned firms, percent, 2007 S 5.1% 7.1%American Indian- and Alaska Native-owned firms, percent, 2007 0.7% 0.7% 0.9%
Asian-owned firms, percent, 2007 S 1.6% 5.3%
Hispanic-owned firms, percent, 2007 S 8.9% 20.7%
Women-owned firms, percent, 2007 24.9% 28.4% 28.2%
Retail sales per capita, 2007 $16,068 $12,892 $13,061S – suppressed value due to small values
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. State and County QuickFacts.
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Housing and Households for Waco, McLennan County and Texas
WacoMcLennan
County Texas
Housing units, 2010 51,452 95,124 9,977,436
Homeownership rate, 2006-2010 46.6% 60.1% 64.8%Housing units in multi-unit structures, percent, 2006-2010 38.4% 24.3% 24.1%Median value of owner-occupied housing units, 2006-2010 $86,600 $101,000 $123,500
Households, 2006-2010 44,349 82,998 8,539,206
Persons per household, 2006-2010 2.61 2.68 2.78
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. State and County QuickFacts.
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Income and Employment Change forWaco, McLennan County and Texas
WacoMcLennan
County TexasPer capita money income in past 12 months (2010 dollars), 2006-2010 $17,323 $20,652 $24,870
Median household income, 2006-2010 $31,288 $40,672 $49,646Percent below poverty level, 2006-2010 28.7% 20.5% 16.8%Percent change private nonfarm employment, 2000-2009 - 4.3% 11.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. State and County QuickFacts.
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WacoMcLennan County Texas
Percent living in same house 1+ years 75.6% 81.1% 81.5%
Percent foreign born 10.5% 8.2% 16.1%Percent age 5+ where language other than English spoken at home 23.6% 18.2% 34.2%Percent age 25+ that are High school graduates 75.5% 80.3% 80.0%Percent age 25+ with Bachelor's degree or higher 20.3% 20.6% 25.8%Mean travel time to work (minutes) for workers age 16+ 16.4 18.5 24.8
Income and Employment Change forWaco, McLennan County and Texas, 2006-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. State and County QuickFacts.
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2000 to2001
2001 to2002
2002 to2003
2003 to2004
2004 to2005
2005 to2006
2006 to2007
2007 to2008
2008 to2009
InternationalState-to-State
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates.
Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000-2009
Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, 2000-2009
Net domesti
c migr
ation
International
migrati
onTotal
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
44%24% 33%
28%50% 40%
23% 8% 15%
5%18% 12%
OtherBlackHispanicWhite
67% of all migrants
(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)
52% of all migrants were international
Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.
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States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010
State Estimate (thousands) Range
California 2,550 (2,350 - 2,750) Texas 1,650 (1,450 - 1,850) Florida 825 (725 - 950)
New York 625 (525 - 725) New Jersey 550 (425 - 650)
Illinois 525 (425 - 625) Georgia 425 (300 - 550) Arizona 400 (275 - 500)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011).
6.5% of Texas’ 2010 Population
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Estimated Domestic Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Legend-20 to -45%
-19 to -10%
-9 to -5%
-4 to 0%
1 to 5 %
6 to 20%
21 to 30%
31 to 65%
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
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Legend0-1%
1-2.5%
2.5-3.5%
3.5-5%
5-10%
Estimated International Migration (2000-2008) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
18http://www.forbes.com/special-report/2011/migration.html
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010
NH White53%
NH Black12%
NH Other
4%
His-panic or Latino32%
2000
NH White45%
NH Black11%
NH Other6%
Hispanic or Latino
38%
2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.
20
Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010
Unde
r 1 ye
ar4
year
s8
year
s12
year
s16
year
s20
year
s24
year
s28
year
s32
year
s36
year
s40
year
s44
year
s48
year
s52
year
s56
year
s60
year
s64
year
s68
year
s72
year
s76
year
s80
year
s84
year
s88
year
s92
year
s96
year
s10
0 to
104
y...
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
White (non-Hispanic) Hispanic
Age
Popu
latio
n
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
Under 1 year4 years8 years
12 years16 years20 years24 years28 years32 years36 years40 years44 years48 years52 years56 years60 years64 years68 years72 years76 years80 years84 years88 years92 years96 years
100 to 104 years
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non HispanicFemale White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
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Under 1 year4 years8 years
12 years16 years20 years24 years28 years32 years36 years40 years44 years48 years52 years56 years60 years64 years68 years72 years76 years80 years84 years88 years92 years96 years
100 to 104 years
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Male White, Non-Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic
Texas Population Pyramid by White (non-Hispanic), 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
23
Under 1 year4 years8 years
12 years16 years20 years24 years28 years32 years36 years40 years44 years48 years52 years56 years60 years64 years68 years72 years76 years80 years84 years88 years92 years96 years
100 to 104 years
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non HispanicFemale Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.
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McLennan County Population Pyramid, 2010
0-4 yrs
5-9 yrs
10-14 yrs
15-19 yrs
20-24 yrs
25-29 yrs
30-34 yrs
35-39 yrs
40-44 yrs
45-49 yrs
50-54 yrs
55-59 yrs
60-64 yrs
65-69 yrs
70-74 yrs
75-79 yrs
80-84 yrs
85+ yrs
-6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%
MalesFemales
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Decennial Census, SF1.
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Total Population by County, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Legendco48_d00'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop10
82 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,001
100,001 - 500,001
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 4,100,000
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Numeric Change of Total Population by County, 2000-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Legendco48_d00'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpopch0010
-3,200 - 0
1 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 700,000
27Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections.
Year
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
28
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
AngloBlackHispanicOther
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario.
Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, 2000-2040
2040 PopulationP_40
36 - 1000
1001 - 10000
10001 - 50000
50001 - 100000
100001 - 500000
500001 - 1000000
1000001 - 8000000
Projected Population by Texas Counties, 2040
Source: Texas State Data Center. Vintage 2008 Population Projections, 2000-2007 Migration Scenario. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.
Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2008-2040
31
Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more) for Texas, 2009
19%
6%
71%
3%
67%
8%
15%
9%
Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer.Less Than High School
College and Greater
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.
No High School Diploma
High School Graduate Some College Bachelor's Degree Graduate/Professional Degree
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
18.8
29.0 28.7
18.2
5.3
30.128.7
23.9
12.9
4.4
2000 2040
Perc
ent
33
Percent of Persons Aged 25+ without HS Degree
1970 1980 1990 2000 2006-2010
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
TexasMcLennan County
Source: Alexander Marre, ERS, USDA
34
Percent of Persons Aged 25+ with College Degree
1970 1980 1990 2000 2006-20100
5
10
15
20
25
30
TexasMcLennan County
Source: Alexander Marre, ERS, USDA
35
Grade 9 Longitudinal Graduation, Completion, and Dropout Rates, Class of 2010
Graduated Continued Received GED Dropped outGraduated or
continued
Graduated or continued, or received GED
District Class Number Rate (%) Number Rate (%) Number Rate (%) Number Rate (%) Number Rate (%) Number Rate (%)
Texas 314,079 264,632 84.3 22,532 7.2 3,927 1.3 22,988 7.3 287,164 91.4 291,091 92.7Axtell ISD <100 - 85.2 - 3.3 - 3.3 - 8.2 - 88.5 - 91.8Bosqueville ISD 49 49 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 100 49 100Bruceville-Eddy ISD <100 - 89.7 - 2.9 - 1.5 - 5.9 - 92.6 - 94.1China Spring ISD <200 - 98.1 - 0 - 0.6 - 1.2 - 98.1 - 98.8Connally ISD <150 - 94.6 - 3.9 - 1.6 - 0 - 98.4 - 100Crawford ISD <100 - 96.2 - 1.9 - 1.9 - 0 - 98.1 - 100La Vega ISD <200 - 81.2 - 5.3 - 2.4 - 11.2 - 86.5 - 88.8Lorena ISD <200 - 89.6 - 1.3 - 1.9 - 7.1 - 90.9 - 92.9Mart ISD <50 - 88.2 - 0 - 2.9 - 8.8 - 88.2 - 91.2McGregor ISD <100 - 96.1 - 0 - 1.3 - 2.6 - 96.1 - 97.4Midway ISD 425 405 95.3 9 2.1 6 1.4 5 1.2 414 97.4 420 98.8Moody ISD <100 - 90.9 - 0 - 5.5 - 3.6 - 90.9 - 96.4Riesel ISD 45 45 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 100 45 100Robinson ISD 181 181 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 181 100 181 100Waco ISD 920 678 73.7 66 7.2 14 1.5 162 17.6 744 80.9 758 82.4West ISD <150 - 94.1 - 0.8 - 0 - 5.1 - 94.9 - 94.9
Source: Texas Education Agency
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High School Graduates (2008-2009) Enrolled in College the Following Year
District nameTotal high school
graduates In-stateOut-of-
state PercentTexas 264,275 134,548 14,178 56%McLennan county 2,347 1,408 62 63%Axtell ISD* 50 32 - 64%Bosqueville ISD* 42 30 - 71%Bruceville-Eddy ISD* 70 44 - 63%China spring ISD 140 94 6 71%Connally ISD* 134 87 - 65%Crawford ISD* 40 31 - 78%La Vega ISD* 106 58 - 55%Lorena ISD* 99 72 - 73%Mart ISD* 43 21 - 49%McGregor ISD* 71 34 - 48%Midway ISD 465 316 31 75%Moody ISD* 48 27 - 56%
Riesel ISD 32 21 -
66%
Robinson ISD 174 110 -
63%Waco ISD 722 357 13 51%
West ISD 111 74 -
67%
Source: Texas Education Agency, PEIMS
* A small number of students in these districts enrolled in college out-of-state but numbers were masked to comply with FERPA
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Demographics and Destiny
38
Contact
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usInternet: http://osd.state.tx.us
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.