Post on 28-Dec-2015
transcript
http://www.eppo.go.th
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,090
Production 1,082 1,078 1,073 1,033
Import (Net) 1,082 1,121 1,171 1,295
Import/Consumption (%) 55 56 57 62
Growth Rate (%)
Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.2
Production 6.3 -0.4 -0.5 -5.4
Import (Net) 6.1 3.6 4.4 8.0
GDP (%) 7.3 2.8 0.9 2.9
- 2 -
Production, Consumption and Import (Net) of Primary Commercial Energy
Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Total Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,090
- Oil 710 730 734 775
- Natural Gas 889 909 916 926
- Imported Coal 230 217 261 270
- Domestic Lignite 98 101 97 78
- Hydro/Imported Elec. 55 46 44 41
Total Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.2
- Oil 5.2 2.8 0.6 3.0
- Natural Gas 9.8 2.3 0.8 2.0
- Imported Coal 12.4 -5.6 20.5 7.2
- Domestic Lignite -12.6 2.5 -3.3 -22.3
- Hydro/Imported Elec. 3.0 -17.6 -3.6 -21.0
- 3 -
Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 4 -- 4 -
Final Commercial Energy Consumption
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Total Consumption 1,300 1,317 1,364 1,429
- Oil 704 723 726 770
- Natural Gas 169 174 178 180
- Imported Coal 132 119 155 174
- Domestic Lignite 15 17 13 5
- Electricity 280 284 292 300
Growth Rate (%)
Total Consumption 5.7 1.3 3.6 4.9
- Oil 5.3 2.7 0.5 4.2
- Natural Gas 16.1 2.9 2.5 3.2
- Imported Coal 3.9 -10.0 29.9 21.8
- Domestic Lignite -43.7 10.5 -23.6 -64.4
- Electricity 6.8 1.6 2.8 3.3
GDP (%) 7.3 2.8 0.9 2.9
Elasticity 0.8 0.5 4.0 1.7
Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 5 -- 5 -
Crude Oil Supply
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Share (%)
2015*
DomesticProduction 149 149 139 143 14
Import 860 868 805 893 86
Total 1,009 1,017 944 1,036 100
Unit: KBD
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 6 -
Crude Oil Supply -- by Source 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Benjamas 25,439 20,652 22,663 19,968
Sirikit 28,423 32,889 27,948 28,031
Tantawan 3,748 2,754 1,645 2,059
Unocal (Big Oil Project) 28,281 29,816 24,051 22,078
Jusmin 10,408 10,478 9,796 9,745
Bualaung 7,200 12,317 12,496 12,572
Songkha 19,883 20,322 14,297 11,276
Lanta 6,671 4,331 6,688 6,486
Others 18,924 15,922 19,174 30,339
Total Domestic Prod. 148,977 149,481 138,758 142,554
Import 860,211 868,040 804,912 892,985
Grand Total 1,009,188 1,017,521 943,670 1,035,539
Unit: Barrels/Day
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 7 -
Condensate Production
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Bongkot 20,556 27,359 32,480 28,877 29,397
Erawan 10,531 9,025 5,863 6,756 5,610
Pailin 18,048 11,861 11,234 10,525 8,538
Funan & Jakrawan 5,508 7,842 7,671 6,850 5,772
Arthit 15,811 10,548 9,230 9,403 8,673
Others 13,682 23,004 24,681 31,919 41,118
Total 84,136 89,639 91,159 94,330 99,108
Unit: Barrels/Day
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 8 -- 8 -
RefineryRefining Capacity(BBL/D)
Crude Oil Intake*(BBL/D)
Utilization Rate(%)
Thai Oil 275,000 305,269 111
Bangchak 120,000 112,111 93
ESSO 177,000 142,600 81
IRPC 215,000 193,937 90
PTTAR 280,000 197,011 70
SPRC 165,000 180,456 109
RPC 17,000 - -
FANG 2,500 655 26
Total 1,251,500 1,132,040 90
Refinery Utilization Rate 2014
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 9 -
BB
L/D
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
TOC BCP ESSO IRPC PTTGC SPRC RPC FANG
Capacity Intake
Refinery Utilization Rate 2015 *
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 10 -
Energy Type 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
Share(%)
2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*
GASOLINE 9,853.3 9,886.5 4,807.8 5,338.1 0.3 11.0 17
Regular 4,786.7 4,843.1 2,371.4 2,585.0 1.1 9.0 8
Premium 5,066.6 5,043.3 2,436.4 2,753.1 -0.4 12.9 9
- Gasohol 4,135.5 4,430.4 2,108.9 2,433.7 7.1 15.3 8
- ULG 95 931.1 612.9 327.5 319.5 -34.1 -2.4 1
KEROSENE 694.9 1,098.0 480.6 688.5 58.0 43.2 2
DIESEL 25,524.9 24,068.1 11,736.4 13,464.4 -5.7 14.7 43
JET PETROLEUM 6,680.1 6,638.5 3,267.3 3,551.0 -0.6 8.6 11
FUEL OIL 5,939.6 5,667.4 2,693.5 2,830.1 -4.5 5.0 9
LPG 10,087.1 10,196.7 4,996.4 5,113.0 1.0 2.3 17
TOTAL 58,779.8 57,555.0 27,981.9 30,985.2 -2.0 10.7 100
Petroleum Product ProductionUnit: Million Litres
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 11 -
** Including Propane and Butane
Unit: Million Litres
Petroleum Product Consumption
* Jan - Jun
Energy Type 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
Share(%)
2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*
GASOLINE 8,194.9 8,506.1 4,090.1 4,663.0 3.7 14.0 18
Regular 3,445.8 3,594.8 1,726.5 1,979.0 4.3 14.6 8
Premium 4,749.1 4,911.3 2,363.6 2,684.0 3.4 13.5 10
- Gasohol 4,132.9 4,413.1 2,107.7 2,433.2 6.7 15.4 9
- ULG 95 616.2 498.2 255.9 250.8 -19.1 -1.9 1
KEROSENE 11.0 10.8 5.5 5.5 -1.9 0.0 0.02
DIESEL 20,907.4 21,083.9 10,825.7 11,116.4 0.8 2.6 42
JET PETROLEUM 5,562.4 5,513.1 2,802.4 3,020.1 -0.8 7.7 12
FUEL OIL 2,175.1 2,092.8 1,110.3 1,029.3 -3.7 -7.2 4
LPG ** 13,934.7 13,917.0 6,896.6 6,343.8 -0.1 -8.0 24
TOTAL 50,785.5 51,123.5 25,730.6 26,178.2 0.6 1.7 100
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec
2012 267
276
279
260
278
280
271
283
284
285 292 278
278
2013 290 310 309 291 314 310 307 317 310 309 314 303 307
2014 304 326 327 302 318 317 319 319 320 316 318 313 317
2015 304 319 329 299 316 312 313*
∆ (%) from previous
year0.0 -2.1 0.6 -1.0 -0.6 -1.6 -0.8*
∆(%) from previous month
-2.9 4.9 3.1 -9.1 5.7 -1.3
- 12 -
NGV ConsumptionUnit: MMSCFD
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 13 -
Energy Type 2013 2014Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%) Share(%)
2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*
GASOLINE 262.2 884.3 598.0 488.7 237.2 -18.2 24
DIESEL 196.7 348.1 291.4 117.5 76.9 -59.6 6
JET PETROLEUM 16.2 4.2 2.5 1.9 -74.3 -26.4 0.1
FUEL OIL 268.4 370.8 203.5 104.6 38.1 -48.5 5
LPG** 3,651.2 3,887.4 1,915.2 1,334.6 6.4 -30.3 65
TOTAL 4,394.7 5,494.7 3,010.6 2,047.1 25.0 -32.0 100
Import of Petroleum ProductsUnit: Million Litres
** Including Propane and Butane
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 14 -
Export of Petroleum ProductsUnit: Million Litres
* Jan - Jun
Energy Type 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%) Share(%)
2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*
GASOLINE 1,634.4 1,339.7 698.0 618.6 -18.0 -11.3 11 Regular 1,369.5 1,205.7 611.9 563.7 -11.9 -7.8 10 Premium 95 264.9 134.0 86.2 54.8 -49.4 -36.3 1
KEROSENE 4,874.3 4,316.9 1,580.8 2,561.9 -11.4 62.0 45
DIESEL 19.2 29.8 4.2 7.9 55.1 87.2 0.1
JET PETROLEUM 1,536.6 1,296.6 344.7 756.8 -15.6 119.5 13
FUEL OIL 3,774.3 3,835.9 1,648.7 1,731.3 1.6 5.0 30
LPG 11.2 18.5 13.9 23.6 65.2 69.1 0.4
TOTAL 11,850.0 10,837.4 4,290.3 5,699.9 -8.5 32.8 100
http://www.eppo.go.th- 15 -
Supply and Demand of LPG, Propane and Butane
2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate
(%)Share(%)
2014 2015* 2015*
TOTAL SUPPLY 7,416 7,419 7,605 3,482 2.5 -6.7 100.0
- PRODUCTION 5,686 5,447 5,506 2,761 1.1 2.3 79.3
- IMPORT 1,730 1,972 2,099 721 6.5 -30.3 20.7
TOTAL DEMAND (CONSUMPTION+EXPORT) 7,396 7,531 7,525 3,438 -0.1 -7.9
- CONSUMPTION 7,386 7,525 7,515 3,426 -0.1 -8.0 100.0
Household 3,047 2,409 2,188 1,035 -9.2 -6.0 30.2
Industry 614 602 577 294 -4.2 4.6 8.6
Automobile 1,061 1,775 1,974 891 11.2 -7.7 26.0 Petrochemical Industry 1,285 1,327 1,546 476 16.5 -43.1 13.9
Own Use 1,380 1,412 1,231 729 -12.9 35.4 21.3
- Feed Stock 1,270 1,314 1,129 657 -14.1 34.4 19.2
- Energy 110 98 102 72 3.4 45.5 2.1
- EXPORT 10 6 10 13 65.2 69.2
BALANCE (SUPPLY-DEMAND) 20 -112 80 43
Unit: 1,000 Tons
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 16 -- 16 -
Crude Oil Import by Source
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Growth Rate(%) Share
(%)
2014 2015* 2015*
Middle East37,460 37,572 31,002 16,813 -17.5 8.1 65
Far East4,022 4,370 4,517 4,787 3.4 145.8 19
Others8,575 8,431 11,192 4,098 32.7 -27.0 16
Total 50,056 50,374 46,710 25,698 -7.3 11.2 100
Unit: Million Litres
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
Growth Rate (%)
2012 2013 2014 2015* 2013 2014 2015*
QUANTITY (KBD) 860 868 805 893 0.9 -7.2 11.2
VALUE (Billion Baht) 1,119 1,072 980 315 -4.2 -8.6 -39.7
PRICE(US$/Barrel) 113.94 109.69 102.25 58.88 -3.7 -6.8 -46.6
- 17 -
Crude Oil Import Increased by 11.2%
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Jan-
04
Jul-0
4
Jan-
05
Jul-0
5
Jan-
06
Jul-0
6
Jan-
07
Jul-0
7
Jan-
08
Jul-0
8
Jan-
09
Jul-0
9
Jan-
10
Jul-1
0
Jan-
11
Jul-1
1
Jan-
12
Jul-1
2
Jan-
13
Jul-1
3
Jan-
14
Bah
t/M
.BTU
Fuel Oil*
Natural Gas*
Import Coal**
Comparison of Energy Prices
* Average retail prices** Average import price of Thailand (CIF)
http://www.eppo.go.th- 19 -- 19 -
Natural Gas Supply
2012 2013 2014 2015*Share(%)
2014
DomesticProduction 3,996 4,044 4,073 3,895 76
Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,258 24
Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,153 100
Unit: MMSCFD
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
MMSCFD
2012 2013 2014 2015*
Total Domestic Product 3,996 4,044 4,073 3,895
- Bongkot 869 1,008 975 1,004
- Erawan 255 197 219 203
- Pailin 361 363 314 271
- Arthit 268 252 246 230
- JDA 748 735 761 687
- Others 1,495 1,489 1,558 1,500
Total Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,258
- Import (Myanmar) 820 822 843 928
- Import (LNG) 130 191 182 330
Grand Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,153
- 20 -
Natural Gas Supply by Source
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
2012 2013 2014 2015*
MAE-MOH (EGAT) 16,590 17,072 17,140 7,448
OTHERS 1,476 1,039 842 346
Total Domestic Prod. 18,066 18,111 17,982 7,794
Imported Coal 18,404 17,328 20,881 10,806
Grand Total 36,470 35,439 38,861 18,600
- 21 -
Lignite/Coal Production
Unit: 1,000 Tons
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 22 -- 22 -
Lignite/Coal Consumption by Sector
Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Power Gen. 9,005.8 9,048.2 9,521.2 4,185.2
Industry 7,400.8 6,797.5 8,375.7 4,439.2
Total 16,406.6 15,845.7 17,897.0 8,624.4
Consumption ShareSector 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Power Gen. 54.9 57.1 53.2 48.5
Industry 45.1 42.9 46.8 51.5
Total 100 100 100 100
Unit: Ktoe
Unit: %
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 23 -
43%
39%
10%8%
IPP
EGAT
Import/ExchangeSPP
(2,405MW)(3,817 MW)
(15,482 MW)
(13,166 MW)
Total 36,171 MW
Power Generation – Installed Capacity as of June 2015
http://www.eppo.go.th- 24 -
Power Generation by Fuel Type
Year Natural Gas
Coal & Lignite Oil Hydro Import
Renewable
EnergyTotal
2012 119,368 34,583 1,363 8,431 10,527 2,701 176,973
2013 119,218 35,352 1,418 5,412 12,572 3,427 177,398
2014 120,314 37,572 1,643 5,164 12,260 3,993 180,945
2015* 64,501 16,628 453 2,112 6,437 2,304 92,434
Growth Rate (%)
2012 10.3 9.1 2.4 6.3 -2.3 15.9 9.0
2013 -0.1 2.2 4.0 -35.8 19.4 26.9 0.2
2014 0.9 6.3 15.9 -4.6 -2.5 16.5 2.0
2015* 10.6 -13.4 -53.5 -37.0 3.0 6.0 2.4
Unit: GWh
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 25 -
Peak Demand and Load Factor
YEAR PEAK DEMAND LOAD FACTOR RESERVE JunGIN
(MW) (%) (%)
2005 20,538 74.9 33.5
2006 21,064 76.9 29.4
2007 22,586 74.3 32.0
2008 22,568 74.8 40.1
2009 22,045 75.0 36.1
2010 24,010 75.9 31.9
2011 23,900 75.6 38.8
2012 26,121 75.2 27.6
2013 26,598 74.1 29.9
2014 26,942 75.7 32.9
2015* 27,346 76.3 30.1
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 26 -- 26 -
Electricity ConsumptionUnit: GWh
2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)
2012 2013 2014 2015*
MEA 48,244 47,984 48,236 24,556 9.2 -0.5 0.5 2.7
PEA 111,718
114,619
118,637 60,594 8.5 2.6 3.5 3.7
EGAT’s Direct Customers
1,817 1,738 1,747 923 6.0 -4.4 0.5 4.3
Total 161,779
164,341
168,620 86,072 8.7 1.6 2.6 3.4
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th
Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Growth rate (%)2015*Share (%)2012 2013 2014
2015*
Residential 36,447 37,657 38,993 20,292 11.1 3.3 3.5 4.5 23.6
Small General Service 17,013 18,374 18,807 9,679 10.1 8.0 2.4 4.1 11.2
Business 27,088 30,413 31,362 16,247 14.5 12.3 3.1 5.6 18.9
Industrial 72,336 72,536 73,782 37,015 6.5 0.3 1.7 2.1 43.0
Government and Non-Profit Org.
3,799 149 152 85 -22.3 -96.1 2.0 13.8 0.1
Agriculture 377 354 414 206 27.1 -6.2 17.2 -23.6 0.2
Free of Charge 2,191 2,379 2,517 1,344 1.1 8.6 5.8 10.7 1.6
Other 2,527 2,479 2,592 1,203 52.7 -1.9 4.6 -7.3 1.4
Total 161,779 164,341 168,62
0 86,072 8.7 1.6 2.6 3.4 100.0- 27 -
Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Sector) Unit: GWh
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 28 -
Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by TSIC)
Unit: GWh
Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Growth Rate (%)
2012 2013 2014 2015*
1. Food 9,721 9,69710,281 5,010 8.5 -0.2 6.0 1.4
2. Iron and steel 6,954 7,065 7,252 3,469 4.9 1.6 2.7 -2.2
3. Textiles 6,038 6,040 6,036 2,909 -2.3 0.0 -0.1 -2.2
4. Electronic 6,325 6,547 6,960 3,470 -5.9 3.5 6.3 2.5
5. Plastics 4,458 4,531 4,539 2,307 7.1 1.6 0.2 2.0
6. Automotive 4,042 4,028 5,125 2,688 6.8 -0.3 -1.8 7.6
7. Cement 4,950 5,220 4,137 2,217 27.2 5.4 2.7 5.9
8. Chemicals 2,155 2,117 2,098 1,060 -1.7 -1.7 -0.9 2.5
9. Rubber and rubber products 3,012 3,086 3,059 1,533 8.4 2.4 -0.8 1.6
10. Manufacture of ice 2,697 2,651 2,705 1,439 11.5 -1.7 2.1 5.2
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 29 -
Unit: GWh
Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Commercial Cluster)
Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Growth Rate (%)
2012 2013 2014 2015*
1. Department Store 4,491 4,595 4,743 2,409 8.0 2.3 3.2 2.9
2. Hotel 3,671 3,814 3,797 1,999 9.9 3.9 -0.3 4.9
3. Apartment & Guest House 3,291 3,494 3,687 1,992 12.9 6.2 5.5 10.0
4. Retail sale 2,969 3,141 3,317 1,743 14.4 5.8 5.6 6.5
5. Real Estate Service 2,789 2,866 2,881 1,452 11.2 2.8 0.5 2.0
6. Hospital 2,222 2,337 2,388 1,229 9.7 5.2 2.2 4.2
7. Wholesale 2,242 2,277 2,411 1,264 18.1 1.6 5.9 7.7
8. Construction 980 1,036 1,338 659 3.2 5.6 0.5 -0.1
9. Financial Institute 950 935 688 375 7.0 -1.6 7.6 13.9
10. Restaurant & Night Club 869 884 893 464 10.1 1.8 0.9 4.8
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 30 -
Value of Energy Import
Unit: Million Baht
ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
2014 2015 2012 2013 2014 2015*
CRUDE OIL 1,119,338 1,072,221
979,704
523,754
315,543 14.5 95.8 -8.6 -39.8
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 124,171 139,021
202,265
111,739
54,060 29.2 12.0 45.5 -51.6
NATURAL GAS 116,325 111,911 117,172
49,093
57,774 24.4 -3.8 4.7 17.7
COAL 46,702 39,714
47,947
24,937
22,472 10.3 -15.0 20.7 -9.9
ELECTRICITY 15,440 18,546
18,919
9,691
9,642 11.4 20.1 2.0 -0.5
LNG 24,023 34,827
33,304
22,449
22,149 50.2 45.0 -4.4 -1.3
TOTAL 1,445,999 1,416,239 1,399,311
741,664
481,640 16.7 -2.1 -1.2 -35.1
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 31 -
Value of Energy Export
ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*
CRUDE OIL 51,531 29,115 8,653 8,011 0 -43.5 -70.3 -100.0
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 344,384 342,208 301,425 144,135 102,897 -0.6 -11.9 -28.6
ELECTRICITY 5,223 4,424 5,116 3,540 3,927 -15.3 15.6 10.9
TOTAL 401,138 375,747 315,194 155,685 106,824 -6.3 -16.1 -31.4
Unit: Million Baht
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 32 -
Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption
ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 1,312,2071,326,937 1,336,615 686,597 599,970 1.1 0.7 -12.6
ELECTRICITY 562,655 621,328 662,474 324,237 332,091 10.4 6.6 2.4
NATURAL GAS 122,509 121,005 123,964 60,108 56,239 -1.2 2.4 -6.4
LIGNITE/COAL 31,607 26,096 33,483 15,723 16,870 -17.4 28.3 7.3
RENEWABLE ** 118,276 125,962 123,100 64,132 71,761 6.5 -2.3 11.9
TOTAL 2,147,2532,221,328 2,279,6361,150,7961,076,930 3.4 2.6 -6.4
** Estimate
Unit: Million Baht
* Jan - Jun
http://www.eppo.go.th- 33 -
ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014
Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)
2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*
GASOLINE 298,487 304,451 314,369 159,271 130,884 2.0 3.3 -17.8
Regular 91 210,016 121,836 130,975 66,197 54,782 -42.0 7.5 -17.2
Premium 88,471 182,615 183,394 93,074 76,102 106.4 0.4 -18.2
KEROSENE 484 390 380 196 173 -19.4 -2.5 -12.1
DIESEL 625,687 624,676 625,076 324,127 288,968 -0.2 0.1 -10.8
J.P. 183,075 197,243 194,279 99,373 94,242 7.7 -1.5 -5.2
FUEL OIL 60,821 50,682 47,284 25,279 20,206 -16.7 -6.7 -20.1
LPG 143,653 149,495 155,227 78,351 65,499 4.1 3.8 -16.4
TOTAL 1,312,207 1,326,937 1,336,615 686,597 599,970 1.1 0.7 -12.6
Unit: Million Baht
Expenditure on Petroleum Product Consumption
* Jan - Jun