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8/3/2019 Thayer Vietnams Security Outlook: Power Point Slides
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ProfessorCarlyleA.Thayer
PresentationtoInternationalWorkshoponAsiaPacificSecurity,NationalInstituteofDefense
Studies,Tokyo,
Japan,
January
17
18,
2012
8/3/2019 Thayer Vietnams Security Outlook: Power Point Slides
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Introduction
ecur y a enges ac ng e nam
ImplicationsforDefenseSector
ProspectsforRegionalCooperation
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14th mostpopulous
GDP(ppp)
US
$277
42nd inworld
GDP(official
exchange
rate on
LowerMiddleIncome
capitaincome
of
US
$3,100(ppp)
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VietnamPeoplesArmy
MilitaryService Size
,
Navy 13,000
NavalInfantry 27,000
,
subtotal 482,000
BorderDefence
Command40,000
Total 522,000
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2.SecurityChallengesFacingVietnam
Impactglobalfinancialcrisis
Disputesoversovereignty
Nontraditionalsecurityissues
2009
Defence White
Paper
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Current
Security
ChallengesManagingexternalrelations
SouthChinaSeasovereigntydisputes
Forcemodernization
Borderissues
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, ,
development
,
diversification
of
relations
a
friend
and
SecuritythroughASEAN
Vietnamas
the
pivot
in
U.S.
China
relations
RelationswithJa an India FranceandUK
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VietnameseNavalModernisation
BPS500MissileBoatSvetlyakclassFastAttackCraft
Gepardclass
Guided
Missile
Frigates
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ExtendedRange
ArtilleryMunitions
BastionAntiShip
BrahMos Cruise
Missile
ss e
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SouthChinaSeaDisputes
VietnamsMaritimeDevelopmentStrategyto2015
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China
Cambodia
ar me
InternationalPeacekeeping
Commitmentto
serve
under
United
Nations
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Funding
12 Modernizenationaldefence industry
Internationaldefence cooperation
56 Deve oping
Joint
Operations
Forces
Reducesizeofstandingarmy
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Transferbordersecurityduties
78 Expand
capabilities
Maritime
Police
Divestitureofcommercial
10 Upgrade
Professional
Military
Education
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.
ASEAN ARF ASEAN+
ADMM
ADSOM ISMMS
ADMMPlus
EWGMS
ServiceChiefs
APSC
AMF AMFPlus?
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e ence n sters eet ng
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EvolvingRegionalSecurityArchitecture
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ProfessorCarlyleA.Thayer
PresentationtoInternationalWorkshoponAsiaPacificSecurity,NationalInstituteofDefense
Studies,Tokyo,
Japan,
January
17
18,
2012